Listowel 17:16 RESULTED
22 Sep 2026

Tuesday 22 September Jet, Peggy & Eamonn O'Carroll Memorial Handicap

Jet, Peggy & Eamonn O'Carroll Memorial Handicap · 1m6f55y

Official Result

Jet, Peggy & Eamonn O'Carroll Memorial Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Count Bezukhov (IRE) J M Sheridan · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    15/8F
  2. 10/1
  3. 4/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Beverley

13:30–17:35 · 8 races

Listowel

13:47–17:16 · 7 races

Warwick

13:55–16:48 · 6 races

Fontwell

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Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Count Bezukhov silks
Count Bezukhov
Age 3 · 10-0
313
87
91
90
3
10-0
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 5/2 11/4
Count Bezukhov arrives here a winner two starts back and with going experience in his favour, and our rating of 90 puts him squarely in contention; the main query is whether 75 days off has left him short of peak sharpness.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Bay of Stars silks
Bay of Stars
Age 3 · 9-12
6-1230
85
94
90
3
9-12
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 4/1 10/3
Bay of Stars brings strong each-way claims after finishing second and third in his last three starts, with experience of both today's trip and going working in his favour; the risk is that unplaced run last time out leaves a question mark over current form.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Huff'n'puff silks
Huff'n'puff
Age 3 · 9-11
6-3514
84
82
93
3
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 10/3 11/2
Huff'n'puff landed a winner two starts back and has experience of today's going, giving him solid claims as the top-rated runner in this field; the 94-day absence is worth noting, though he shoulders 137 lb off an official rating of 84.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Mergus Serrator silks
Mergus Serrator
Age 3 · 9-10
6-4455
83
75
87
3
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 8/1 17/2
Mergus Serrator has run over today's going and our rating edges him clear of his official mark, making him a lively threat to the principals, though he arrives winless in his last five starts and a trainer in the depths of a barren spell of 0 from 35 is the key concern.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Vantage Code silks
Vantage Code
Age 3 · 9-10
072310
83
81
87
3
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 13/2 7/1
Vantage Code showed genuine ability when winning two starts back, and a third three starts back adds substance to his profile, but unplaced efforts either side temper enthusiasm; he has run over today's trip and going, and 136 lb is no featherweight ask.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Possum silks
Possum
Age 3 · 9-7
833
80
68
77
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 15/2 14/1
Winless in her last three starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Possum faces a stiff ask here, though she has experience of today's going and returns on a sharp 14-day turnaround, and her two thirds suggest she can at least hit the frame.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Sunrush silks
Sunrush
Age 3 · 9-3
4-6531
76
84
84
3
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 9/2 11/2
Sunrush won last time out and has run over today's distance and going, but he carries 129 lb for a trainer in poor recent form (2/40 over the last 14 days), and a speed rating of 70 leaves him needing to find more against his rivals.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Lord Aus silks
Lord Aus
Age 3 · 9-0
053130
73
85
78
3
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 13/2 11/2
Unplaced last time out and ranked seventh of eight on our figures, Lord Aus is hard to fancy with his trainer winless from 26 attempts in the last 14 days; he does have experience over today's trip and going, and a win three starts back offers some crumb of encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Count Bezukhov 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 11/4 Bet365
2 Bay of Stars 4/1 open 6.00 10/3 open 7.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 Bet365
3 Huff'n'puff 7/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 4.33 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.50 8/1 Paddy Power
4 Mergus Serrator 9/1 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 17/2 17/2 17/2 9/1 Bet365
5 Vantage Code 9/1 open 8.00 7/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 8.00 10/1 William Hill
6 Possum 16/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 Bet365
7 Sunrush 11/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 Paddy Power
8 Lord Aus 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Count Bezukhov

Speculative

Count Bezukhov owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Joseph Patrick O'Brien J M Sheridan
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Bay of Stars

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · D K Weld
✓ Value Signal

Possum

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · Mrs J. Harrington
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Count Bezukhov
56.8 11/4
2 2. Bay of Stars
56.7 4/1
3 8. Lord Aus
54.6 11/2
4 3. Huff'n'puff
52.2 7/1
5 7. Sunrush
52.0 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Bay of Stars
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 10-0
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-3
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-0
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-11
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-10
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-10
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-7
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Bay of Stars
Confidence: Speculative

Bay of Stars (SR:94, 4/1) is the class leader in this field by a clear margin — 9 SR points ahead of the next-best Lord Aus — and carries a manageable 9-12. The decisive signal is the Mkt:in27% move, the sharpest sustained market support in the field, suggesting informed confidence from the Weld/Keane combination (Keane strikes at 16% from 2321 career rides). GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles today's Good ground, and a form line showing a recent win (the '1' in 6-1230, read right-to-left meaning last run was 0, but the win is present in the sequence) gives a recent class reference. Colin Keane's booking for a Weld 3-year-old in a €12,000 handicap at Listowel with this level of market support is a strong convergence of signals. Each-way alternative: Lord Aus. Main danger: Lord Aus — Lord Aus (SR:85, 11/2) has steamed in 23% in the market with Ben Coen booked, carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-0, and a MarkMv:+10 is offset by the significant weight advantage over Bay of Stars.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 6-1230 with the most recent run a '0' (last of field) — a flat last effort 31 days ago is a poor launch pad, and the analyst's framing of it as a 'win present in sequence' glosses over thi…
  • Count Bezukhov is shorter in the market at 3/1 (out only 6%) and carries 2lb more but has a tighter, more consistent recent form string (3-1-3) — the market may simply prefer fresher, more reliable f…
  • Lord Aus (SR:85) is also moving in sharply (in23%, MarkMv:+10) at 11/2 off only 22 days, showing a 3-1-3 tail to his form — rival market confidence is strong and partially undermines Bay of Stars' un…
  • No GoingFit flag is shown for Bay of Stars unlike competitors with explicit HG markers — the analyst asserts GoingFit:+ but the raw data does not display this tag, leaving the Good-ground suitability…
Shortlist Bay of Stars, Lord Aus, Count Bezukhov, Sunrush
Each-way: Lord Aus Danger: Lord Aus

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m6f55y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Listowel Track and setting