Victory Tip shaped well when second two starts back and rates highly here, with experience over today's trip and going in his favour; the 96-day absence is the one query, but he carries top weight from stall 8 as the one to beat.
Form last 61920
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR99RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Two consecutive defeats follow back-to-back wins three and four starts back, and a struggling trainer without a winner in 27 attempts over the past fortnight makes Eddie G very hard to fancy, despite him having run over today's trip and going and returning quickly enough from stall one.
Form last 6391185
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR82RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked eighth of nine on our figures, Goal Exceeded looks hard to fancy despite winning last time out and a fourth two starts back; his trainer's dire 0/27 run over the past 14 days is a significant concern, though he arrives fit at 22 days and has distance and going experience in his favour.
Form last 6031441
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR81RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Galileo Noir won two starts back and shaped with promise when third three starts back, giving him some recent encouragement, but 136 days off the track is a concern and he has not recaptured that form on his latest outing.
Form last 67-315
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR82RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, Glyndwr does show a third three runs back and a fourth two runs back to suggest he is finding a level, though a sixth last time out and 130 lb to shoulder are the stiffening factors here; he has run over today's trip and going, and returns fit on a 12-day turnaround.
Form last 6075346
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR83RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Son Of Beauty shaped well when third last time out and third two starts back, with his sole recent win coming five starts back; experience over today's trip and going underpin his claims, though 102 days off the track is the obvious query.
Form last 6316533
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR86RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Morehampton arrives here in decent heart after back-to-back placed efforts, and he has run over today's trip and going before; at 128 lb from stall 6, the main concern is a trainer who has gone without a win in 26 attempts over the past fortnight.
Form last 6050932
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR84RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Exquisite Acclaim showed up well with a third last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, making him a strong threat at a rating of 84, fourth best of the nine, though a winless recent run of form and a trainer yet to land one from 27 attempts in the last fortnight is the concern.
Form last 6360463
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR84RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of nine on our figures and drawn from stall two, Highbury See See faces a stiff ask, with a struggling trainer at just 5% in the last 14 days adding little confidence; yet he is winless in his last six starts, returns on a quick 13-day turnaround, and has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 6403092
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR78RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Goal Exceeded owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Adrian McGuinnessAdam Caffrey
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Highbury See See
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · A. Slattery✓ Value Signal
Son Of Beauty
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
9/1 · Stephen Thorne◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Eddie G (SR 86, 15/2) is the standout market mover in this field — a 29% inward shift from opening price is the strongest steaming signal in the race and demands respect. At 9-6 he carries a workable weight, and his GoingFit:+ confirms he handles good ground, unlike stablemate Goal Exceeded (GoingFit:~) and Highbury See See (GoingFit:-). His form-string 391185 shows a recent '5' and '8' before a sharp rebound to '1', suggesting a horse back in form and freshened by a 14-day turnaround. Within the McGuinness yard, Eddie G is flagged as the market's preferred runner over Goal Exceeded despite the latter's stronger recent form (031441), because Goal Exceeded carries a DistFit:- at this mile trip — a meaningful structural concern — and has only drifted 10% in comparison. The trainer's yard record of 9% is modest but the money here is talking loudly enough to override that caution.
Each-way alternative: Morehampton.
Main danger: Goal Exceeded — Goal Exceeded's form-string 031441 is the most consistent recent sequence in the field — four finishes of 4th or better in the last five — and his 10% market inward move suggests connections believe he's live despite the DistFit:- concern at the mile trip.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Eddie G's form string 391185 contains a '8' and '9' — two very poor runs sandwiching the '1', making that win look isolated rather than a sustained return to form; the '5' immediately before the win…
Jockey Reese Holohan (claiming 7lb) has a strike rate of just 11% from 256 rides — notably weaker than Colin Keane (16%) on the drifting Galileo Noir and Ben Coen on the shorter-priced Morehampton.
Trainer Adrian McGuinness runs three horses in this race (9% yard strike rate); Goal Exceeded at 7/2 is much shorter in the market and has a superior recent form string (031441), suggesting stable's…
The 29% market move brings Eddie G only to 15/2 — still a bigger price than Goal Exceeded (7/2) and Morehampton (5/1), meaning the market overall still does not rate him the most likely winner despit…
ShortlistEddie G, Goal Exceeded, Morehampton, Highbury See See