Southwell (AW) 19:30 RESULTED
Class 6 22 Sep 2026

Tuesday 22 September Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes · 2m102y

Official Result

Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Last Flight (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Horton
    5/4F
  2. 40/1
  3. 6/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Beverley

13:30–17:35 · 8 races

Listowel

13:47–17:16 · 7 races

Warwick

13:55–16:48 · 6 races

Fontwell

14:12–17:07 · 6 races

Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Edwardtheninth silks
Edwardtheninth
Age 5 · 10-0
945131
58
68
61
5
10-0
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 FCST 10/3
Edwardtheninth showed his best when winning last time out and was a winner three starts back too, giving him two wins in his last six, but a third in between suggests inconsistency, and 140 lb is no easy burden despite having run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Further Measure silks
Further Measure
Age 9 · 9-13
447565
57
54
70
9
9-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 10/1 14/1
Further Measure arrives here 19 days fresh, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 70 puts him clear of his rivals at the head of this field; winless in his last six starts, but consistent proximity figures make him the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.

3
Lady of Clover silks
Lady of Clover
Age 3 · 9-6
314314
59
60
61
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 11/2 9/2
Returned a winner two starts back and a winner five starts back, Lady of Clover also has going experience in her favour, though a fourth last time out and carrying 132 lb are the checks on her claims here.
AI verdict

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Fabled Spirit silks
Fabled Spirit
Age 3 · 9-5
080321
58
68
61
3
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 7/2 11/4
Fabled Spirit won last time out and has placed in two of his three most recent starts, giving him a lively current profile, though patchy earlier form and a mark of 58 suggest he remains exposed at this level.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Rogue Desire silks
Rogue Desire
Age 3 · 9-4
3-5755
57
33
61
3
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 FCST 33/1
Rogue Desire catches the eye on our rating, sitting ahead of several rivals in the field, and has run over today's going — though her recent placings of fifth, fifth, seventh and fifth suggests a win remains elusive.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

6
Head Girl silks
Head Girl
Age 3 · 9-4
-93912
57
64
64
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 5/1 7/1
Head Girl shaped well when second last time out, and her win two starts back shows she can deliver on a going she has already experienced — the main risk is that her finishing ninth three starts back hints at inconsistency.
AI verdict

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Last Flight silks
Last Flight
Age 3 · 9-4
775331
57
72
60
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
6/5 9/4 11/10
Last Flight has shown some ability — a winner last time out and placed on two of her four previous starts — but ranked ninth of ten on our figures with a speed rating of 55, she faces a stiff ask at 130 lb here.
AI verdict

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Galahad Threepwood silks
Galahad Threepwood
Age 9 · 9-1
5/7786
45
33
66
9
9-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 20/1 22/1
Galahad Threepwood rates significantly higher than his official mark of 45 suggests, and he has experience over today's trip and conditions, but he has been winless in his last five starts and will need to find a sharper turn of foot to convert that latent promise.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
Sir Griflet silks
Sir Griflet
Age 3 · 9-1
600433
54
58
60
3
9-1
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 13/2 15/2
Winless in his last six starts, Sir Griflet has at least shown consistency of late with back-to-back thirds, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; however, ranked eighth of ten on our figures, he faces a stiff task.
AI verdict

SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Stopherandgo silks
Stopherandgo
Age 9 · 9-1
0746
34
15
39
9
9-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 66/1 25/1
Winless in her last four starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Stopherandgo faces a stiff ask here, though she has been running regularly and returns on a fresh enough 15-day break carrying 127 lb off an official mark of 34.
AI verdict

SR 15 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Edwardtheninth 7/2 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 7/2 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 7/2 Bet365
2 Further Measure 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 14/1 Bet365
3 Lady of Clover 6/1 11/2 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 11/2 open 7.00 6/1 Bet365
4 Fabled Spirit 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 4/1 William Hill
5 Rogue Desire 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365
6 Head Girl 10/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 8.00 12/1 Paddy Power
7 Last Flight 6/5 open 4.33 11/10 open 4.00 6/5 open 4.00 6/5 open 4.00 11/10 open 4.00 6/5 open 3.25 6/5 Bet365
8 Galahad Threepwood 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 Bet365
9 Sir Griflet 15/2 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 15/2 8/1 Paddy Power
10 Stopherandgo 66/1 50/1 open 67.00 25/1 open 67.00 25/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Fabled Spirit

Speculative

Fabled Spirit owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Archie Watson Luke Morris
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Last Flight

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/5 · James Horton
✓ Value Signal

Stopherandgo

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · David Flood
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Fabled Spirit
51.3 7/2
2 7. Last Flight
51.2 6/5
3 1. Edwardtheninth
51.1 7/2
4 3. Lady of Clover
44.6 6/1
5 9. Sir Griflet
43.6 15/2
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Last Flight
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 3 · 9-4
6/5
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-0
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-5
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-6
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 9-1
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-4
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 9 · 9-13
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Last Flight
Confidence: Speculative

Last Flight (SR:72, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin over Edwardtheninth and Fabled Spirit (both SR:68), and crucially carries only 9-4 — a significant weight advantage over top-weight Edwardtheninth (10-0). The form string 775331 shows a progressive improver who won last time out at the same class level (ClassMv:=), and the market has backed this up emphatically with a 23% market move in since opening — the only genuine steamer in the race. Jockey Daniel Muscutt (14% strike rate from 1,706 career rides) is a quality booking, and GoingFit:~ on good ground is not a concern at this level. The combination of top SR, lightest competitive weight, recent winning form, and meaningful market support makes this a clear selection. Each-way alternative: Edwardtheninth. Main danger: Edwardtheninth — Edwardtheninth (SR:68, 7/2) has Course:W1P3 — genuine course specialist form at Southwell — and a recent winning run (form 945131) at the same class, making him the most credible threat despite carrying 10-0.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Last Flight is unproven at Southwell AW — no Course W/P record listed, unlike Edwardtheninth (W1P3) and Further Measure (W3P4) who have demonstrated ability on this specific Fibresand surface.
  • 26 days since last run is the longest layoff among the leading fancies; form string 775331 shows the wins came at the tail of a progressive sequence that may now attract harsher assessments or stiffe…
  • GoingFit:~ with no HG code recorded suggests no proven all-weather or Fibresand experience — Southwell's unique surface regularly catches horses out who haven't handled it before.
  • Trainer James Horton has an 11% strike rate from only 390 rides — a modest operation, and at 9/4 the margin for error is slim if anything goes wrong on an unfamiliar surface.
Shortlist Last Flight, Edwardtheninth, Fabled Spirit, Sir Griflet
Each-way: Edwardtheninth Danger: Edwardtheninth

🗺 The Course Class 6

2m102y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade