Warwick 16:48 RESULTED
Class 4 22 Sep 2026

Tuesday 22 September Abi And Brad Divorce Handicap Hurdle Race

Abi And Brad Divorce Handicap Hurdle Race · 3m2f0y

Official Result

Abi And Brad Divorce Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Belles Benefit (IRE) Harry Bannister · Ben Case
    3/1
  2. 11/2
  3. 9/4F
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Lacrima silks
Lacrima
Age 5 · 11-12
-84514
108
108
108
5
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 31/19 3/1
Winless in his last four starts and rated the lowest of the five runners on our figures, Lacrima does at least have a win two starts back to his name, though 74 days off the track and a hefty 166 lb to carry make him hard to fancy here.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Back In The Bay silks
Back In The Bay
Age 7 · 11-10
3-752P
106
103
110
7
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 32/17 11/4
Back In The Bay shaped with plenty of promise when second two starts back, and at a rating of 110 she holds strong claims here despite being yet to score in recent starts; the pulled-up effort last time is the one thing punters must forgive.
AI verdict

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Prince de Juilley silks
Prince de Juilley
Age 9 · 11-10
22-465
106
105
113
9
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 4/1 5/2
Prince de Juilley rates as the most dangerous rival in the field on our figures, and has run over today's trip with a pair of seconds in recent starts suggesting he is capable of threatening — the risk is that he has been winless in his last five outings and returns after 60 days off carrying a hefty 164 lb.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Belles Benefit silks
Belles Benefit
Age 10 · 11-9
68-135
105
105
109
10
11-9
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 9/2 10/3
Belles Benefit shaped well when third two starts back before landing a win three starts back, and with today's trip familiar and a 22-day break suggesting she arrives fresh, she merits plenty of respect under 163 lb despite a below-par fifth last time.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Pipers Cross silks
Pipers Cross
Age 9 · 11-2
53345-
98
99
108
9
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 6/1 11/2
Pipers Cross has shown consistent placed efforts in her recent starts, finishing third twice in her last five, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions — but 214 days off the track is the significant doubt, and she remains yet to score.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Lacrima 3/1 open 3.25 10/3 open 2.63 10/3 open 2.88 10/3 open 2.88 10/3 open 2.88 10/3 open 2.63 10/3 Paddy Power
2 Back In The Bay 11/4 open 2.88 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 Bet365
3 Prince de Juilley 4/1 open 7.00 3/1 open 5.00 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 5/2 open 5.00 4/1 Bet365
4 Belles Benefit 7/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 7.00 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.50 7/2 Bet365
5 Pipers Cross 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 11/2 open 7.50 6/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lacrima

Live signal

Lacrima owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (60) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Nick Scholfield Jack Stenhouse(7)
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Prince de Juilley

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Alastair Ralph
✓ Value Signal

Pipers Cross

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

6/1 · David Evans
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Lacrima
61.3 3/1
2 3. Prince de Juilley
60.1 4/1
3 4. Belles Benefit
58.3 7/2
4 2. Back In The Bay
58.1 11/4
5 5. Pipers Cross
57.5 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Prince de Juilley
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 7 · 11-10
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 103 🐾 —

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 11-12
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾 —

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 10 · 11-9
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾 —

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 9 · 11-10
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾 —

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 9 · 11-2
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾 —

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Prince de Juilley
Confidence: Speculative

Prince de Juilley (SR 105, 9/2) is the most compelling selection when multiple signals are stacked together. His Course:W1P3 record at Warwick is the standout qualifier in this field — course specialists at tracks like Warwick over extreme trips carry a meaningful edge, and no other runner can claim that familiarity. His DistFit:+ confirms he stays 3m2f reliably, which matters enormously at this distance where stamina doubts can be race-ending. The market has steamed 13% (Mkt:in13%), indicating informed confidence, and his weight of 11-10 is competitive — only 2lb above the lowest meaningful runner. His recent form 22-465 shows consistent involvement at a similar class level, and the blinkers (b) suggest connections are working to sharpen him for a big effort. Lacrima (SR 108, 15/8) is the SR leader but steps up in class (ClassMv:↑1), carries top-weight at 11-12, and has a DistFit:? and GoingFit:? — too many unknowns at a price that offers poor value. Each-way alternative: Belles Benefit. Main danger: Lacrima — Lacrima holds the field's highest SR at 108 and is trained by a handler with a 15% strike rate — if the class rise and trip uncertainty prove unfounded, that raw ability advantage could prove decisive at a short price.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form 22-465 shows a slide from placed efforts to a 6th last time out — he is trending the wrong way rather than building into this race.
  • 60-day absence means he returns after a two-month layoff; trainer Alastair Ralph's 12% strike rate offers little confidence he can have a horse spot-on first run back.
  • MarkMv:+6 means he has risen 6lb since his best recent form, eroding the advantage of course familiarity — he must match those Warwick runs off a higher mark.
  • Jockey Ciaran Gethings hits only 11% winners, the joint-weakest strike rate in the field, and the combination with a 12% trainer creates a low-confidence handler pairing.
Shortlist Prince de Juilley, Lacrima, Belles Benefit
Each-way: Belles Benefit Danger: Lacrima

🗺 The Course Class 4

3m2f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Warwick Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade