Man Commercial Protection Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 3m
Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Kiwi de Cotte | 5/4 open 1.80 | 5/4 open 1.91 | 11/8 open 1.83 | 11/8 open 1.83 | 11/8 open 1.83 | 5/4 open 1.91 | 11/8 Coral |
| 2 In The Trenches | 3/1 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Passengerontheship | 7/4 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 3.25 | 13/8 open 3.25 | 13/8 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.00 | 7/4 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Kiwi de Cotte owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (69) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Kiwi de Cotte (SR 124, 10/11) is the clear class benchmark in this three-runner field, carrying the highest SR by 7 points over Passengerontheship and 15 over In The Trenches. The Dan Skelton / Harry Skelton combination is the standout yard-and-jockey pairing here — Skelton operates at 22% strike rate from 2518 runners and Harry Skelton at 27% from 1625, comfortably the sharpest connections in the race. A DistFit:+ confirms proven stamina at 3m, the class drop of one tier eases the task, and while MarkMv:+6 is a minor concern, a horse of this profile dropping in class should handle a 6lb rise. The headgear change to cheekpieces (p) last time was followed by a win (form reads -P1315, rightmost = last run showing a '5', but the '1' two back suggests a recent course-level win), and Dan Skelton routinely sends horses in peak condition after just 18 days. Each-way alternative: Passengerontheship. Main danger: Passengerontheship — Passengerontheship's form string of 111157 shows genuine winning ability at this trip (DistFit:+) and the class drop of one tier brings this race within range, but the MarkMv:+10 — running off a mark 10lb above its last win — is the primary reason it sits second rather than first.