Southwell (AW) 18:30 RESULTED
Class 4 22 Sep 2026

Tuesday 22 September Download The At The Races App Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Download The At The Races App Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 7f14y

Official Result

Download The At The Races App Fillies' Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Town Queen (IRE) Sam James · K. R. Burke
    5/1
  2. 11/1
  3. 18/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Beverley

13:30–17:35 · 8 races

Listowel

13:47–17:16 · 7 races

Warwick

13:55–16:48 · 6 races

Fontwell

14:12–17:07 · 6 races

Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Inside Story silks
Inside Story
Age 3 · 9-13
-54822
82
91
94
3
9-13
★★☆☆☆
—
10/3 3/1 5/2
Consistent and top-rated, Inside Story has finished second in each of her last two starts and, though yet to score, her rating of 94 puts her clear of this field; having run over today's trip and going, drawn seven carrying 139 lb, she looks the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Patricia R silks
Patricia R
Age 4 · 9-12
1210-
78
62
78
4
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 22/1 40/1
A long absence of 381 days is the dominant concern here, compounded by a trainer without a winner in 23 attempts over the past fortnight; ranked ninth of twelve on our figures, she is hard to fancy despite two wins in her last four starts and experience over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Chantelle silks
Chantelle
Age 3 · 9-10
-12235
79
81
83
3
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 FCST 8/1
Placed second on two occasions in recent starts and a winner in her last five, Chantelle has run over today's trip and going and arrives here fit on a 19-day turnaround, though a fifth last time out and 136 lb from stall 12 are factors to weigh.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Handle With Care silks
Handle With Care
Age 4 · 9-10
1-3471
76
73
83
4
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 15/2 16/1
Handle With Care won last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, giving her a solid platform to go well again; the concern is a layoff of 133 days, and whether she returns straight to peak form.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Merry silks
Merry
Age 3 · 9-10
-45212
79
85
80
3
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 4/1 11/2
Merry was a winner two starts back and has finished second on two of her last four outings, showing consistent form, though she carries a hefty 136 lb from stall one and a speed rating of 74 leaves some questions to answer here.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Afraj silks
Afraj
Age 3 · 9-9
1-3341
78
86
78
3
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 10/3 5/2
Ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Afraj faces a stiff task at the weights carrying 135 lb, and a speed rating of 74 does little to inspire confidence; in her favour, she won last time out and has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Miss Lady Grace silks
Miss Lady Grace
Age 3 · 9-8
217611
77
81
80
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 5/1 9/1
Back-to-back wins boost her claims, though 102 days off the track is a fitness question mark, and she has run over today's trip and going before; 134 lb from stall 8 keeps the task honest for a filly whose recent form blows hot and cold.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Bami silks
Bami
Age 3 · 9-6
314-12
75
81
84
3
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 17/2 16/1
Bami arrives here on the back of a win two starts back and a runner-up finish last time out, showing consistent recent form, and she has experience over today's trip and conditions; the main risk is a 32-day absence since that placed effort.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Town Queen silks
Town Queen
Age 3 · 9-6
22217
75
89
84
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 15/2 7/1
Town Queen won two starts back and has been placed on either side of that success, bringing strong recent consistency to this assignment; she has experience of today's trip and conditions, and at 132 lb the weight is the one factor to consider.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Lope El Fuego silks
Lope El Fuego
Age 3 · 9-3
30-990
72
51
78
3
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 FCST 33/1
Winless in her last five starts, with a string of ninths and unplaced efforts, Lope El Fuego is hard to fancy on these figures, though she has run over today's trip and a third five starts back shows she can find the frame on her day.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

11
Bella Bisbee silks
Bella Bisbee
Age 5 · 9-3
028366
69
51
76
5
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 FCST 22/1
Bella Bisbee arrives on the back of consecutive sixth-place finishes and is winless in her last six starts, making her hard to fancy ranked last on our figures; a third three starts back offers a crumb of hope, and she has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Enola Grey silks
Enola Grey
Age 6 · 9-2
668006
68
76
81
6
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 11/1 13/2
Winless in her last six starts, Enola Grey does at least bring experience of today's distance and going, and 19 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh; however, a run of unplaced efforts makes it hard to fancy her strongly from stall five off 128 lb.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Inside Story 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 10/3 3/1 10/3 Bet365
2 Patricia R 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365
3 Chantelle 9/1 8/1 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 17/2 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 Bet365
4 Handle With Care 16/1 open 8.50 18/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 10.00 20/1 Coral
5 Merry 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 13/2 Coral
6 Afraj 5/2 open 6.00 11/4 open 4.33 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 Coral
7 Miss Lady Grace 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.50 11/1 Coral
8 Bami 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 Coral
9 Town Queen 8/1 open 12.00 7/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 15/2 open 12.00 15/2 8/1 Bet365
10 Lope El Fuego 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 50/1 Bet365
11 Bella Bisbee 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 26.00 28/1 Bet365
12 Enola Grey 9/1 open 26.00 13/2 open 26.00 8/1 open 26.00 8/1 open 26.00 15/2 open 26.00 15/2 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Inside Story

Speculative

Inside Story owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 James Tate Rossa Ryan
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Town Queen

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/1 · K. R. Burke
✓ Value Signal

Patricia R

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Julie Camacho
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Inside Story
57.5 10/3
2 9. Town Queen
54.4 8/1
3 6. Afraj
54.0 5/2
4 5. Merry
53.1 6/1
5 3. Chantelle
52.2 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Town Queen
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 3 · 9-9
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-13
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-10
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 9-6
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-10
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 6 · 9-2
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-8
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-10
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-6
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Town Queen
Confidence: Speculative

Town Queen (SR:89, 15/2) combines the second-highest SR in the field with a powerful 29% market shortening — the clearest steam signal in this race — plus proven course form (W1P1 at Southwell), confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) and confirmed going fitness (GoingFit:+). Running off the same mark as her last win (MarkMv:=) and trained by K.R. Burke (20% career strike rate, 2139 runners — a yard that sends horses to run when ready), the alignment of SR, market confidence, course-and-going affinity, and stable quality makes her the standout pick. Her form string 22217 shows consistent proximity to the pace, and on this evidence the recent 7th is the aberration. The 9-6 weight is also comfortable — she carries 7lb less than top-weight Inside Story while being the higher-ability horse. Each-way alternative: Afraj. Main danger: Afraj — Afraj (SR:86, 4/1) is trained by John & Thady Gosden (24% strike rate — the highest in the field), carries only 9-9, showed a last-run win (Form:1-3341) and has confirmed distance fitness, making her a genuine threat at a competitive price.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Town Queen's form string 22217 ends in a 7th — her most recent run — which needs explaining before backing her at 15/2; the analyst dismisses it as an aberration without evidence.
  • SR:89 is only the second-highest in the field; Inside Story (SR:91) and Afraj (SR:86, Gosden yard at 24% strike rate, joint-favourite at 4/1) represent stronger or equally dangerous threats on abilit…
  • Despite the 29% market shortening, Town Queen is still only 15/2 — not actually a short price — suggesting the market as a whole is not making her favourite, with Afraj and Inside Story both at 4/1 p…
  • Jockey Sam James posts only a 14% strike rate (1250 rides), notably weaker than rival jockeys Rossa Ryan (18%) and Robert Havlin (15%) aboard the two 4/1 co-favourites, a meaningful edge at a tight t…
Shortlist Town Queen, Afraj, Chantelle, Merry
Each-way: Afraj Danger: Afraj

🗺 The Course Class 4

7f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade