Midnight Pass shaped with distinct promise when third last time out, and she rates third on our figures; carrying 166 lb after 69 days off is the concern, but her profile marks her out as a genuine threat in this field.
Form last 64-P4P3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR88RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Lady Fortune returns after 58 days off carrying a hefty 158 lb, and her recent form is inconsistent — unplaced last time out sandwiches two wins in her last five starts, but our rating of 76 leaves her well below the top of this field.
Form last 6P-1410
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR76RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Guinness Lad has been winless in his last five starts and rarely threatens, though he is rated 78 and ranks sixth of the ten on our figures, and returns on a fresh 36-day break that could spark improvement; the 153 lb burden makes that task harder.
Form last 675608/
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR78RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed third in two of his last five starts, Hawa Jumeirah brings solid recent consistency to the table and has run over today's trip, with our rating of 81 marking him out as a genuine threat; the main concern is that he remains winless in recent starts.
Form last 6-58336
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR81RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Major Major rates as the standout on our figures, ranked top of the field, and the significant weight break from 152 days off could spark a revival — though winless in his last five starts, and that lengthy absence remains the principal concern.
Form last 675798-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR89RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and off the track for 139 days, No Mean Feat faces a fitness query on his return, though he has run over today's trip and a rating of 79 offers encouragement that he retains ability.
Form last 64P46-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR79RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Lucky In Taipan offers little encouragement, though a third two starts back shows he can at least get into the frame, and 18 days between runs leaves no fitness concerns.
Form last 660-63P
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR72RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last four starts, including a pull-up, and returning after 119 days off for a trainer without a winner in 22 recent attempts, Callero carries 147 lb and is ranked bottom two on our figures — hard to make a case for him here.
Form last 6P67-5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR70RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unexposed and lightly raced, Bacardi Blue has shown consistent ability in recent starts — third last time out and third two starts back — and, yet to win, he remains one to watch as his profile suggests further improvement is well within reach.
Form last 65-2633
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR—RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Winston's Oath owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4James OwenSean Bowen
74%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Lady Fortune
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
15/2 · Barry Brennan✓ Value Signal
Major Major
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Cynthia Woods◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Winston's Oath (SR:80, 7/2) holds the second-highest SR in the field and is the strongest on ability among horses carrying reasonable weight at 10-11, giving him a clear lbs edge over Lady Fortune (SR:82, 11-4) who carries 7lb more. The market has shortened 14% from opening, signalling meaningful support, and the James Owen/Sean Bowen combination (19%/24% career strike rates respectively) is a formidable booking for what looks a winnable Class 5 novice limited handicap. The visor is applied and the step up in class (↑1) is offset by the light weight and progressive profile of a 4-year-old, with GoingFit:~ suggesting the good ground is manageable.
Each-way alternative: Lady Fortune.
Main danger: No Mean Feat — No Mean Feat has steamed 20% in the market at 9/1, carries the lightest competitive weight at 10-8, and the cheekpieces application on a 7-year-old with place form could sharpen it up on good ground at a track that suits waiting tactics.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads 36-397 with a latest run of 7th — that's a deteriorating trend, not a progressive profile, and the visor is being applied to arrest a slide rather than enhance a horse already going well.
Going Fit flagged as 'v' (very different from preferred) suggesting today's good ground at Fontwell is outside his comfort zone, undermining the 'manageable' assumption.
Lucky In Taipan (SR:70, 5/1) has run within 18 days like Winston's Oath but is notably shorter in the market despite the SR gap — its 27% drift out is suspicious, yet it still trades closer than expe…
Lady Fortune's SR:82 superiority is not fully neutralised by the 7lb pull — on a sharp, turning track like Fontwell where class and jumping accuracy matter, the raw rating gap may reassert itself ove…
ShortlistWinston's Oath, Lady Fortune, No Mean Feat