Fontwell 17:07 RESULTED
Class 5 22 Sep 2026

Tuesday 22 September Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m1f162y

Official Result

Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner No Mean Feat (IRE) James Davies · Simon Hodgson
    11/1
  2. 3/1F
  3. 4/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Beverley

13:30–17:35 · 8 races

Listowel

13:47–17:16 · 7 races

Warwick

13:55–16:48 · 6 races

Fontwell

14:12–17:07 · 6 races

Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Midnight Pass silks
Midnight Pass
Age 5 · 11-12
4-P4P3
91
73
88
5
11-12
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 9/2 11/2
Midnight Pass shaped with distinct promise when third last time out, and she rates third on our figures; carrying 166 lb after 69 days off is the concern, but her profile marks her out as a genuine threat in this field.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Lady Fortune silks
Lady Fortune
Age 6 · 11-4
P-1410
83
82
76
6
11-4
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 9/2 15/2
Lady Fortune returns after 58 days off carrying a hefty 158 lb, and her recent form is inconsistent — unplaced last time out sandwiches two wins in her last five starts, but our rating of 76 leaves her well below the top of this field.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Guinness Lad silks
Guinness Lad
Age 6 · 10-13
75608/
78
77
78
6
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 4/1 11/2
Guinness Lad has been winless in his last five starts and rarely threatens, though he is rated 78 and ranks sixth of the ten on our figures, and returns on a fresh 36-day break that could spark improvement; the 153 lb burden makes that task harder.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Hawa Jumeirah silks
Hawa Jumeirah
Age 5 · 10-12
-58336
77
74
81
5
10-12
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 11/1 13/2
Placed third in two of his last five starts, Hawa Jumeirah brings solid recent consistency to the table and has run over today's trip, with our rating of 81 marking him out as a genuine threat; the main concern is that he remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Winston's Oath silks
Winston's Oath
Age 4 · 10-11
36-397
78
80
88
4
10-11
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 10/3 2/1
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Major Major silks
Major Major
Age 6 · 10-10
75798-
75
55
89
6
10-10
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 50/1 66/1
Major Major rates as the standout on our figures, ranked top of the field, and the significant weight break from 152 days off could spark a revival — though winless in his last five starts, and that lengthy absence remains the principal concern.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
No Mean Feat silks
No Mean Feat
Age 7 · 10-8
4P46-4
73
71
79
7
10-8
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 8/1 7/1
Winless in his last five starts and off the track for 139 days, No Mean Feat faces a fitness query on his return, though he has run over today's trip and a rating of 79 offers encouragement that he retains ability.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Lucky In Taipan silks
Lucky In Taipan
Age 6 · 10-7
60-63P
72
70
72
6
10-7
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 10/3 7/2
Winless in his last five starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Lucky In Taipan offers little encouragement, though a third two starts back shows he can at least get into the frame, and 18 days between runs leaves no fitness concerns.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Callero silks
Callero
Age 4 · 10-7
P67-5
74
67
70
4
10-7
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 9/2 17/2
Winless in his last four starts, including a pull-up, and returning after 119 days off for a trainer without a winner in 22 recent attempts, Callero carries 147 lb and is ranked bottom two on our figures — hard to make a case for him here.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Bacardi Blue silks
Bacardi Blue
Age 5 · 10-5
5-2633
68
48
68OR
5
10-5
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 16/1 14/1
Unexposed and lightly raced, Bacardi Blue has shown consistent ability in recent starts — third last time out and third two starts back — and, yet to win, he remains one to watch as his profile suggests further improvement is well within reach.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Midnight Pass 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 Bet365
2 Lady Fortune 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 Betfred
3 Guinness Lad 7/1 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 11/2 7/1 Bet365
4 Hawa Jumeirah 15/2 open 17.00 8/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 15.00 13/2 open 15.00 15/2 open 15.00 15/2 open 12.00 8/1 Paddy Power
5 Winston's Oath 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.50 9/4 open 5.50 85/40 open 5.50 2/1 open 4.33 9/4 Bet365
6 Major Major 66/1 open 51.00 70/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 70/1 Paddy Power
7 No Mean Feat 8/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 9.00 8/1 Bet365
8 Lucky In Taipan 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 7/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 4.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 Betfred
9 Callero 17/2 open 5.50 11/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 5.50 9/1 open 7.00 11/1 Paddy Power
10 Bacardi Blue 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 22/1 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Winston's Oath

Speculative

Winston's Oath owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 James Owen Sean Bowen
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lady Fortune

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · Barry Brennan
✓ Value Signal

Major Major

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Cynthia Woods
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Winston's Oath
56.5 9/4
2 2. Lady Fortune
52.4 15/2
3 1. Midnight Pass
50.8 6/1
4 3. Guinness Lad
50.3 7/1
5 9. Callero
49.2 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Winston's Oath
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 4 · 10-11
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 6 · 10-7
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 11-12
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 10-13
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 11-4
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 10-12
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 7 · 10-8
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 10-7
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Winston's Oath
Confidence: Speculative

Winston's Oath (SR:80, 7/2) holds the second-highest SR in the field and is the strongest on ability among horses carrying reasonable weight at 10-11, giving him a clear lbs edge over Lady Fortune (SR:82, 11-4) who carries 7lb more. The market has shortened 14% from opening, signalling meaningful support, and the James Owen/Sean Bowen combination (19%/24% career strike rates respectively) is a formidable booking for what looks a winnable Class 5 novice limited handicap. The visor is applied and the step up in class (↑1) is offset by the light weight and progressive profile of a 4-year-old, with GoingFit:~ suggesting the good ground is manageable. Each-way alternative: Lady Fortune. Main danger: No Mean Feat — No Mean Feat has steamed 20% in the market at 9/1, carries the lightest competitive weight at 10-8, and the cheekpieces application on a 7-year-old with place form could sharpen it up on good ground at a track that suits waiting tactics.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 36-397 with a latest run of 7th — that's a deteriorating trend, not a progressive profile, and the visor is being applied to arrest a slide rather than enhance a horse already going well.
  • Going Fit flagged as 'v' (very different from preferred) suggesting today's good ground at Fontwell is outside his comfort zone, undermining the 'manageable' assumption.
  • Lucky In Taipan (SR:70, 5/1) has run within 18 days like Winston's Oath but is notably shorter in the market despite the SR gap — its 27% drift out is suspicious, yet it still trades closer than expe…
  • Lady Fortune's SR:82 superiority is not fully neutralised by the 7lb pull — on a sharp, turning track like Fontwell where class and jumping accuracy matter, the raw rating gap may reassert itself ove…
Shortlist Winston's Oath, Lady Fortune, No Mean Feat
Each-way: Lady Fortune Danger: No Mean Feat

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m1f162y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Fontwell Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade