Old Gravel Pits Lodges EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m100y
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 127 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Arthurian | 4/9 open 1.40 | 4/9 open 1.36 | 4/9 open 1.40 | 4/9 open 1.40 | 4/9 open 1.40 | 4/9 open 1.40 | 4/9 Bet365 |
| 2 Austin | 11/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 William Hill |
| 3 Bayraktar | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Stellar Quest | 50/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bayraktar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Bayraktar (SR:155, 3/1) is the most able horse in this four-runner field by a clear margin — 9 points clear of Austin (SR:146) and 49 points clear of Arthurian (SR:106). K.R. Burke runs at a 20% career strike rate and Bayraktar is unambiguously the yard's #1 runner here, booked with Pierre-Louis Jamin (15%) over stablemate Stellar Quest who gets Jack Nicholls (3) at 12%. The drop of one class (ClassMv:↓1) is a positive, and a runner-up debut form figure of '2' suggests a composed, forwards-learning type. The 7% market drift is the one concern — money has come for the favourite Arthurian instead — but Arthurian's SR of 106 is well below Bayraktar's 155, and the drift likely reflects market layering on the outsider rather than genuine negative information. Each-way alternative: Austin. Main danger: Austin — Austin's 15% market inward move at 10/1 suggests informed money, and at SR:146 it is the only other runner capable of matching Bayraktar on ability if that debut 8th masked more than it showed.