THE RACE ENGINE · Ayr · 15:35 · 19 Apr 2026

This Saturday Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase

Ayr — 3 · 3m7½F · 27 Fences

1848-Hr decs
27Fences
3m7½FDistance
£250,000Prize Fund
1/5 1-5EW Terms
ITV1Live On

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

🦊 Mr Fox Head Tipster · Saturday Racing
Fox's Verdict
"In a wide-open Scottish Grand National, AI models largely converge on leading contenders like Kim Roque, King Of Answers and MONTREGARD based on strong ratings and market support. However, the Fox sides with value, sticking with ante-post pick PROMONTORY at 16/1 (33/1 antepost) — a lightly raced, progressive runner with each-way potential."
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
4

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick, the Fox's call and the AI view — all on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🦊 Mr Fox
Promontory
Experience over noise

The benchmark pick. If you beat the Fox, you're ahead of the field.

See full Fox reasoning →
🤖 AI view
Montregard
2 of 3 agree

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
Crowd leader Katate Dori is carrying 50% of the Cub vote right now.

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 7 · 11-12
6/1
J: Derek Fox
T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
★★★☆☆ SR 147 🐾 2

SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

15
Kim Roque FAV
Age 6 · 10-13
6/1
J: J J Slevin
T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
★★★★☆ SR 139 🐾

SR 139 backed by market confidence at 6/1 — a genuine contender.

2
Age 7 · 11-13
8/1
J: Harry Cobden
T: Paul Nicholls
★★★☆☆ SR 132 🐾

SR 132 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 7 · 11-1
8/1
J: Stan Sheppard
T: Tom Lacey
★★★☆☆ SR 149 🐾

SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 11-8
10/1
J: Sam Twiston-Davies
T: Paul Nicholls
★★★☆☆ SR 144 🐾

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 8 · 11-4
14/1
J: Dylan Johnston
T: Sam Thomas
★★☆☆☆ SR 130 🐾 2

SR 130 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

20
Age 7 · 10-9
14/1
J: Jamie Hamilton
T: Mark Walford
★★★☆☆ SR 142 🐾

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 8 · 12-0
16/1
J: Danny Mullins
T: Ms Margaret Mullins
★★☆☆☆ SR 122 🐾

SR 122 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 9 · 11-5
16/1
J: James Bowen
T: Warren Greatrex
★★☆☆☆ SR 132 🐾

SR 132 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Age 10 · 10-12
16/1
J: Jonathon Burke
T: Jamie Snowden
★★☆☆☆ SR 130 🐾

SR 130 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Age 6 · 10-12
16/1
J: Sean Houlihan
T: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White
★★★☆☆ SR 140 🐾

SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

BETTING FORECAST Kim Roque 6/1, King Of Answers 6/1, Montregard 8/1, Quebecois 8/1, Road To Home 9/1, Isaac Des Obeaux 10/1, J'Arrive De L'Est 10/1

🤖AI Intelligence Three engines. Independent analysis.

Claude
Montregard

Tops the model. Highest SR in the race at 149, RPR 155, TS 143 — the only horse in the top four tiers on all three metrics. Form figures -11P21 show a horse on an upward curve with a recent win, and 11-1 is a workable weight. Soft ground is a plus. Composite score: 82.1

ChatGPT
Montregard

To bring structure to a typically chaotic handicap, ChatGPT used a composite scoring model built around both ability and race-specific factors. The core is an ability score (60%), blending Saturday Rating, AI score, RPR and TS, all normalised across the field. This is supported by recent form (12%), rewarding horses arriving in peak condition, alongside adjustments for stamina profile, favouring 7–9-year-olds, and weight suitability, with preference for those in the 10-10 to 11-4 range. A light market check is included to keep the model grounded without overriding the data, producing a balanced framework tailored to the demands of the Scottish Grand National.

Gemini
Kim Roque

AI Rating Score: Kim Roque holds the highest AI-generated score of 65.2, indicating the system views its current profile as the most robust in the field. Rating Balance: With a saturday_rating of 139 and a respectable RPR of 148, the horse is well-handicapped relative to the top weights while showing more consistency in its recent form compared to others in the top tier of the market. Reliability: The AI analysis highlights the horse as a "genuine contender," distinguishing it from horses with higher peak RPRs (like Montregard or King of Answers) that may carry more volatility in their performance profiles.

🦊 Mr Fox's SelectionPromontoryFull analysis →

This is where Cubs make their call. This is where the Fox sharpens his edge. This is where the race is decided — before it's run.

The Field 18 at 48hr · 3 non-runners · 4 Cub votes

Voting open · Pick your horse below · Join free to vote
No. Horse Age Wgt SR Form Jockey / Trainer ⭐ AI 🐾 Votes Odds Pick
1
Blaze The Way

SR 122 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8 12-0 122 624157
Danny Mullins
Ms Margaret Mullins
★★☆☆☆ 16/1
2
Quebecois

SR 132 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7 11-13 132 -24223
Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls
★★★☆☆ 8/1
3
King Of Answers

SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7 11-12 147 -51412
Derek Fox
Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
★★★☆☆ 2 6/1
4
Isaac Des Obeaux

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8 11-8 144 3-3121
Sam Twiston-Davies
Paul Nicholls
★★★☆☆ 10/1
5
Our Power

SR 113 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

11 11-6 113 33-F64
Danny Gilligan
Sam Thomas
★☆☆☆☆ 25/1
6
Road To HomeNon-Runner 7 11-6 133 3533P2
NA
W P Mullins
★★★☆☆ 9/1
7
Herakles Westwood

SR 132 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9 11-5 132 -52410
James Bowen
Warren Greatrex
★★☆☆☆ 16/1
8
Ask BrewsterNon-Runner 7 11-4 141 11-151
Mr S Cotter
Mrs C Williams
★★★☆☆ 10/1
9
Katate Dori

SR 130 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8 11-4 130 P-7628
Dylan Johnston
Sam Thomas
★★☆☆☆ 2 14/1
10
Stolen Silver

SR 88 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

11 11-2 88 4-0P30
Miss Olive Nicholls
Georgina Nicholls
★☆☆☆☆ 100/1
11
Famous Bridge

SR 121 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10 11-1 121 P-7707
Sean Quinlan
Nicky Richards
★★☆☆☆ 25/1
12
Montregard

SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7 11-1 149 -11P21
Stan Sheppard
Tom Lacey
★★★☆☆ 8/1
13
Maximilian

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10 11-1 124 -22233
William Maggs
Donald McCain
★★★☆☆ 25/1
14
Gabbys Cross

SR 117 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11 11-0 117 043P22
Sean Bowen
Nick Scholfield
★★☆☆☆ 25/1
15
Kim RoqueFAV

SR 139 backed by market confidence at 6/1 — a genuine contender.

6 10-13 139 422454
J J Slevin
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
★★★★☆ 6/1
16
Collectors Item

SR 120 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9 10-13 120 8-294P
Jonjo O'Neill Sr
Jonjo & A J O'Neill
★★☆☆☆ 33/1
17
Git Maker

SR 130 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10 10-12 130 0-3P53
Jonathon Burke
Jamie Snowden
★★☆☆☆ 16/1
18
Kap Vert

SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6 10-12 140 271341
Sean Houlihan
Philip Hobbs & Johnson White
★★★☆☆ 16/1
19
Promontory

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9 10-10 116 -70521
Donagh Meyler
Sarah Joanna Connell
★★★☆☆ 25/1
20
Chasingouttheblues

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7 10-9 142 351211
Jamie Hamilton
Mark Walford
★★★☆☆ 14/1
21
Magna SamNon-Runner 12 10-1 112 31P-66
NA
Alastair Ralph
★★☆☆☆ 66/1
1
Age 8 · 12-0 · 16/1
SR122
AI★★☆☆☆
ConnectionsDanny Mullins · Ms Margaret Mullins

SR 122 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 7 · 11-13 · 8/1
SR132
AI★★★☆☆
ConnectionsHarry Cobden · Paul Nicholls

SR 132 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 11-12 · 6/1
2
SR147
AI★★★☆☆
ConnectionsDerek Fox · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 11-8 · 10/1
SR144
AI★★★☆☆
ConnectionsSam Twiston-Davies · Paul Nicholls

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 11 · 11-6 · 25/1
SR113
AI★☆☆☆☆
ConnectionsDanny Gilligan · Sam Thomas

SR 113 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

6
Road To Home
Age 7 · 11-6 · 9/1
SR133
AI★★★☆☆
ConnectionsNA · W P Mullins
7
Age 9 · 11-5 · 16/1
SR132
AI★★☆☆☆
ConnectionsJames Bowen · Warren Greatrex

SR 132 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Ask Brewster
Age 7 · 11-4 · 10/1
SR141
AI★★★☆☆
ConnectionsMr S Cotter · Mrs C Williams
9
Age 8 · 11-4 · 14/1
2
SR130
AI★★☆☆☆
ConnectionsDylan Johnston · Sam Thomas

SR 130 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 11 · 11-2 · 100/1
SR88
AI★☆☆☆☆
ConnectionsMiss Olive Nicholls · Georgina Nicholls

SR 88 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

11
Age 10 · 11-1 · 25/1
SR121
AI★★☆☆☆
ConnectionsSean Quinlan · Nicky Richards

SR 121 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 7 · 11-1 · 8/1
SR149
AI★★★☆☆
ConnectionsStan Sheppard · Tom Lacey

SR 149 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Age 10 · 11-1 · 25/1
SR124
AI★★★☆☆
ConnectionsWilliam Maggs · Donald McCain

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Age 11 · 11-0 · 25/1
SR117
AI★★☆☆☆
ConnectionsSean Bowen · Nick Scholfield

SR 117 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 6 · 10-13 · 6/1
SR139
AI★★★★☆
ConnectionsJ J Slevin · Joseph Patrick O'Brien

SR 139 backed by market confidence at 6/1 — a genuine contender.

16
Age 9 · 10-13 · 33/1
SR120
AI★★☆☆☆
ConnectionsJonjo O'Neill Sr · Jonjo & A J O'Neill

SR 120 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Age 10 · 10-12 · 16/1
SR130
AI★★☆☆☆
ConnectionsJonathon Burke · Jamie Snowden

SR 130 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Age 6 · 10-12 · 16/1
SR140
AI★★★☆☆
ConnectionsSean Houlihan · Philip Hobbs & Johnson White

SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

19
Age 9 · 10-10 · 25/1
SR116
AI★★★☆☆
ConnectionsDonagh Meyler · Sarah Joanna Connell

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

20
Age 7 · 10-9 · 14/1
SR142
AI★★★☆☆
ConnectionsJamie Hamilton · Mark Walford

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

21
Magna Sam
Age 12 · 10-1 · 66/1
SR112
AI★★☆☆☆
ConnectionsNA · Alastair Ralph

🗺 The Course 27 fences

3m7½FDistance
to cover
Good to SoftExpected
going
18Confirmed
runners
AyrTrack and
setting
ITV1Where the
story unfolds