Warwick 16:15 RESULTED
Class 5 22 Sep 2026

Tuesday 22 September Zulus Gonna Get Ya Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race

Zulus Gonna Get Ya Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m3f

Official Result

Zulus Gonna Get Ya Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Miracles Do Happen (GB) Gavin Sheehan · Billy Aprahamian
    8/1
  2. 10/11F
  3. 7/2
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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13:30–17:35 · 8 races

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13:47–17:16 · 7 races

Warwick

13:55–16:48 · 6 races

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Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Guts And Glory silks
Guts And Glory
Age 4 · 12-0
F225-1
101
100
103
4
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 18/13 2/1
Guts And Glory won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making her the one to beat under 168 lb; our rating of 103 heads the field and her recent consistency underlines her claims.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Jammy Jay silks
Jammy Jay
Age 6 · 12-0
48-242
98
88
94
6
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 5/2 7/2
Consistent at the top level, Jammy Jay has finished second twice in her last five starts and has run over today's trip, making her a genuine threat off an official mark of 98 — though winless in recent starts, that elusive breakthrough remains the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Miracles Do Happen silks
Miracles Do Happen
Age 5 · 11-10
61-8P8
94
79
94
5
11-10
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 7/1 9/1
Miracles Do Happen landed a win four starts back and has experience of today's going, while 164 lb is a stern weight to overcome after 58 days off the track.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Blackwater Lilly silks
Blackwater Lilly
Age 6 · 11-10
-44463
94
88
96
6
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 5/1 11/4
Winless in her last five starts, Blackwater Lilly nonetheless arrives in fine fettle just 17 days after a third-placed effort, has experience over today's trip, and her rating of 96 marks her as a genuine contender — the concern is whether she can finally convert her consistency into a winning run.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Lady Bee Great silks
Lady Bee Great
Age 7 · 11-5
3-1189
89
53
90
7
11-5
★★☆☆☆
—
80/1 FCST 40/1
Twice a winner in her last five starts, with victories three and four starts back, Lady Bee Great arrives fit on 17 days' rest and has run over today's trip before; her 159 lb burden is a concern, and back-to-back ninth and eighth finishes in recent starts give pause.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Ballylicky Bay silks
Ballylicky Bay
Age 6 · 11-2
855-32
86
87
86
6
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 10/3 5/2
Winless in her last five starts and ranked sixth of eight on our figures, Ballylicky Bay faces a stiff ask here, though she has placed in two of her most recent outings and has run over today's trip, while 83 days off the track leaves fitness a question mark.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Cappa Lass silks
Cappa Lass
Age 5 · 10-8
/67-8P
78
66
78OR
5
10-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 16/1 12/1
Unexposed and open to improvement, Cappa Lass has shown little in her last four starts — pulling up most recently — and remains yet to win, though 148 lb is a stiff burden to overcome on her return eighteen days later.
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

8
Barafundle Bay silks
Barafundle Bay
Age 5 · 10-8
44-780
78
53
76
5
10-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
10/1 28/1 10/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked seventh of eight on our figures, Barafundle Bay faces a stiff ask here, and 83 days off the track adds a fitness query; the one mild positive is that she has finished fourth on two occasions in recent starts, suggesting occasional ability to hit form.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Guts And Glory 2/1 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 Bet365
2 Jammy Jay 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
3 Miracles Do Happen 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.50 10/1 Bet365
4 Blackwater Lilly 11/4 open 7.50 11/4 open 7.50 11/4 open 7.50 11/4 open 7.50 11/4 open 7.50 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 Bet365
5 Lady Bee Great 80/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 Paddy Power
6 Ballylicky Bay 5/2 open 6.00 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 Bet365
7 Cappa Lass 14/1 open 29.00 14/1 open 34.00 14/1 open 29.00 14/1 open 29.00 14/1 open 29.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
8 Barafundle Bay 10/1 open 29.00 10/1 open 34.00 10/1 open 29.00 10/1 open 29.00 10/1 open 29.00 10/1 open 34.00 10/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Guts And Glory

Speculative

Guts And Glory owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Clive Boultbee-Brooks Stan Sheppard
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Blackwater Lilly

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Neil King
✓ Value Signal

Lady Bee Great

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Matt Sheppard
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Guts And Glory
58.3 2/1
2 4. Blackwater Lilly
55.6 11/4
3 6. Ballylicky Bay
55.5 5/2
4 2. Jammy Jay
55.0 7/2
5 3. Miracles Do Happen
50.7 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Blackwater Lilly
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 12-0
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾 —

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 11-2
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 11-10
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 12-0
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 11-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 10-8
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

7
Age 5 · 10-8
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Blackwater Lilly
Confidence: Speculative

Blackwater Lilly (SR:88, 11/2) is the standout pick on a convergence of signals: a MarkMv:-9 indicates the handicapper has dropped her 9lb since her last win, giving her a significant opportunity at this level, and the market has steamed in 16% — meaningful money in a small Class 5 field. Neil King's 23% career strike rate is the strongest trainer figure in the race, and Jack Quinlan's booking adds further confidence. The 11-10 weight gives her a 2lb advantage over the joint top-weights, and while GoingFit:- is a flag, good-to-firm hurdle ground at Warwick in September is not extreme — the market support suggests connections are undeterred. The form line -44463 shows consistent placed efforts; the 3 last time out confirms she is in decent order. Each-way alternative: Ballylicky Bay. Main danger: Ballylicky Bay — Ballylicky Bay (SR:87, 10/3) has steamed in 24% — the joint-strongest market move in the race — carries the lightest weight of the main contenders at 11-2, and a 855-32 form line showing a placed run last time out suggests she arrives in form, making her the most credible threat to the selection.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads -44463: she has not won in this sequence and her most recent 'win' that triggered the MarkMv:-9 drop is absent from the visible form — her current trajectory is placed-but-not-winning, not…
  • Guts And Glory (15/8) has drifted only 21% yet still holds SR:100 vs Blackwater Lilly's SR:88 — a 12-point superiority on speed ratings at a shorter price suggests the market fundamentally rates her…
  • GoingFit:- is a live concern: Warwick hurdles on good-to-firm in late September can ride quicker than expected, and with no positive going flag she may not handle the conditions that others in the fi…
  • Ballylicky Bay (10/3) is steaming in 24% with an SR of 87 and a fresher 83-day break — a well-backed rival at an almost identical rating represents a direct market challenge that undercuts the steam…
Shortlist Blackwater Lilly, Ballylicky Bay, Guts And Glory, Jammy Jay
Each-way: Ballylicky Bay Danger: Ballylicky Bay

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m3f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Warwick Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade