Placed third twice in his last two starts and a winner three starts back, Alissam has experience over today's trip, but a 279-day absence is a significant concern as he returns carrying 140 lb from stall 10.
Form last 6133-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR79RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving her obvious claims at 140 lb from stall 11, though a fourth three starts back and unplaced efforts in recent starts suggest she can be inconsistent.
Form last 6-50431
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR75RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Tolebi at least offers consistency with a string of fourth-place finishes, has run over today's distance and going, and returns on a quick 12-day turnaround; the 140 lb burden from stall 12 are the notable considerations against.
Form last 6494045
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR82RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Runner-up two starts back gives Nakamura a solid recent platform, and our rating ranks him second among the thirteen declared; he has run over today's trip and going, and draws stall three carrying 139 lb. The main risk is a trainer yet to land a winner in 26 attempts over the last fortnight.
Form last 6-87820
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
62SR83RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Twice placed in recent starts — second four starts back and again six starts back — Go Athletico arrives on a quick 13-day turnaround with distance-and-going experience in his favour and a rating of 82 suggesting he holds strong claims, though a trainer without a winner in 27 attempts over the past fortnight is the concern.
Form last 6262560
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR82RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dragon Of Malta won last time out but returns just one day later, which is a significant fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going, though his record in recent starts has been largely modest, and 143 lb from stall six adds further pressure.
Form last 6804541
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR75RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked top of the field on our rating, Gavoo has run over today's trip and going before and arrives on a good 22-day break, with a third and a second in recent starts suggesting he retains ability — though he'll need to rediscover that form after successive sevenths, and remains yet to win in his last six.
Form last 6925377
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR85RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Mercurial nonetheless showed his better side last time out with a third, and a second three starts back offers further encouragement; drawn in stall five and carrying 132 lb, experience over today's trip and going gives him a foothold, though the 8th two starts back underlines inconsistency.
Form last 69-4283
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR77RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed in each of his last two starts — third two back and runner-up last time out — Apache Outlaw arrives here fit on a 10-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and conditions, and 131 lb from stall 4. Winless in recent starts, but the improved profile makes him our pick despite a trainer in lean form.
Form last 6435032
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR80RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, Mytimetoshine faces a stiff task here; a third three starts back offers a flicker of encouragement, but the overall profile makes him hard to fancy at the weights.
Form last 66637-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
41SR66RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts with a string of unplaced efforts, Goofy Gander is hard to fancy ranked bottom of the field on our figures, though she has run over today's trip before and 21 days off the track suggests she returns fresh.
Form last 607-060
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR64RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Returning just a day after his last outing, La La Lucrative faces a stiff ask ranked eleventh of thirteen on our figures, though he has experience over today's trip and going, and his record does include a winner and third in his last five starts.
Form last 6-18143
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR66RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, Green Kite ran just yesterday and that rapid turnaround makes him hard to fancy; a second four starts back is the sole crumb of comfort, though experience over today's trip and going at least removes one unknown.
Form last 6842045
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR65RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dragon Of Malta owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1P F O'DonnellJulian Pietropaolo(7)
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Apache Outlaw
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Adrian McGuinness✓ Value Signal
Nakamura
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · J. P. Murtagh◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Dragon Of Malta (SR:77, 3/1) is the field's highest-rated runner and has surged 36% in the market — the clearest steaming signal in the race. His Course:W3P6 record at Listowel is outstanding for a specialist track, and his last-run win (form reads ...41, rightmost = 1) confirms he arrives in peak form. While DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are flags, a horse with three course wins at Listowel has clearly managed this venue's conditions before, and the weight of 10-3 is offset by a superior SR edge over the mid-field rivals. The connections, a small but 11% strike-rate yard, have targeted this race and the market has responded emphatically.
Each-way alternative: La La Lucrative.
Main danger: Apache Outlaw — Apache Outlaw (SR:76, 9/2) shares SR parity with Dragon Of Malta, carries 14lb less (9-5 vs 10-3) and is running off a mark 26lb below his last win — that MarkMv:-26 is a huge drop and gives him a live chance of bolting up in a race run at this level.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Days:1 flags a race just yesterday — Dragon Of Malta ran 24 hours ago, and carrying 10-3 today on a quick turnaround is a significant physical ask for a 9-year-old.
La La Lucrative (SR:75, 13/2) is also in strong form (-18143), also ran yesterday (Days:1), is also steaming in market (+42%), and carries 3lb less at 9-0 — a live rival the analyst under-weights.
Form reads 804541 — the '0' and '8' placings are recent enough to question consistency; a 9-year-old with patchy recent form may be vulnerable when fresh rivals like Apache Outlaw (SR:76, sharp -26 d…
Jockey Julian Pietropaolo (7lb claim, 8% strike rate) is a relatively inexperienced claimer on the top weight in a competitive handicap — a notable pilot concern versus Colin Keane and Seamie Heffern…
ShortlistDragon Of Malta, Apache Outlaw, La La Lucrative, Mercurial