Warwick 15:40 RESULTED
Class 3 22 Sep 2026

Tuesday 22 September Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 3m1f100y

Official Result

Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Fever Dream (IRE) Jack Tudor · Christian Williams
    9/4
  2. Second Snipe (IRE)
    3/1
  3. 1/1F
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ki Woo silks
Ki Woo
Age 6 · 12-0
P15-12
133
132
133
6
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 18/13 7/4
Ki Woo advertises strong claims on the back of a win two starts back and a close second last time out, and he has experience over today's trip; the main concern is a chunk of 86 days off the track, so fitness under 168 lb must be taken on trust.
AI verdict

SR 132 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Dunkerque silks
Dunkerque
Age 6 · 11-13
111212
132
126
131
6
11-13
★★★★☆
—
3/1 7/4 5/2
Dunkerque has been in scintillating form, winning four times in his last six starts including a victory two starts back, and he returns fit on 15 days' rest with going experience in his favour; the weight burden of 167 lb is the one factor that could blunt his challenge.
AI verdict

SR 126 backed by market confidence at 10/3 — a genuine contender.

3
Snipe silks
Snipe
Age 9 · 11-7
416-24
126
126
136
9
11-7
★★★☆☆
—
4/1
Snipe shaped well when second two starts back, and with a trainer firing at 32% in the past fortnight and experience over today's trip, he is the one to beat off a mark of 126 despite a hefty 161 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Fever Dream silks
Fever Dream
Age 8 · 10-7
54215-
112
123
116
8
10-7
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 3/1 5/2
Fever Dream franked his form with a win two starts back and a runner-up finish three starts back, and he has experience over today's trip and conditions; the main concern is a 151-day absence that leaves his sharpness open to question.
AI verdict

SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ki Woo 15/8 open 2.38 15/8 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.38 7/4 open 2.50 2/1 William Hill
2 Dunkerque 3/1 open 3.25 5/2 open 2.75 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 open 3.00 3/1 Bet365
3 Snipe 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
4 Fever Dream 11/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.50 5/2 open 4.00 11/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Fever Dream

Live signal

Fever Dream owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (68) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Christian Williams Charlie Maggs(3)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Snipe

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Snipe

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

4/1 · Dan Skelton
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Fever Dream
67.3 11/4
2 3. Snipe
65.6 4/1
3 2. Dunkerque
65.5 3/1
4 1. Ki Woo
65.3 15/8
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Fever Dream
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 12-0
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 132 🐾 —

SR 132 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 10-7
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 123 🐾 —

SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 11-13
3/1
★★★★☆ SR 126 🐾 —

SR 126 backed by market confidence at 10/3 — a genuine contender.

3
Age 9 · 11-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 126 🐾 —

SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Fever Dream
Confidence: Speculative

Fever Dream (SR:123, 11/4) carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-7, giving it a 1st-7lb advantage over Ki Woo and meaningful edges over both Dunkerque (11-13) and Snipe (11-7). The 29% market support into 11/4 is a significant steaming signal in a four-runner field and is the strongest directional move in the race. GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good-to-firm conditions — the only runner with that confirmation — and Course:W1P1 at Warwick is a genuine positive on what can be a specialist track. The 151-day absence is a concern, but the market is backing it confidently despite that layoff, suggesting connections are happy with its prep. Each-way alternative: Snipe. Main danger: Snipe — Snipe (SR:126, 7/2) is the only other runner with market confidence — shortening 14% — benefits from the powerful Skelton yard (trainer 22%, jockey 27% strike rates), has course form at Warwick (W0P1), moderate distance fit (DistFit:~), and drops a class with only a 1lb rise in mark, making it a genuine threat to Fever Dream.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 151-day absence is a significant layoff for an 8-year-old, and trainer Christian Williams runs at only 10% strike rate — well below the field's other handlers — raising doubts about the stable's abil…
  • SR:123 is the lowest raw rating in the field; Ki Woo (SR:132) and Dunkerque/Snipe (SR:126) all carry superior form figures, meaning Fever Dream needs the weight allowance to do heavy lifting against…
  • Dunkerque arrives on a 15-day turnaround with a form string of 111212 — in-form and race-sharp — a stark contrast to Fever Dream's 151-day gap and a trailing dash (last run unknown finish) in its for…
  • Jockey Charlie Maggs has a 14% win rate but on only 335 rides, a small sample; in a tight four-runner field against Jack Tudor (14%, 953 rides) and Harry Skelton (27%, 1625 rides), the rider edge fir…
Shortlist Fever Dream, Snipe, Ki Woo
Each-way: Snipe Danger: Snipe

🗺 The Course Class 3

3m1f100y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Warwick Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade