Warwick 14:30 RESULTED
Class 5 22 Sep 2026

Tuesday 22 September Molson Coors Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase

Molson Coors Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase · 2m4f

Official Result

Molson Coors Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner King Of The Story (IRE) Ciaran O'Shea · Polly Gundry
    9/1
  2. 5/1
  3. 100/30
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Beverley

13:30–17:35 · 8 races

Listowel

13:47–17:16 · 7 races

Warwick

13:55–16:48 · 6 races

Fontwell

14:12–17:07 · 6 races

Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Saint Arion silks
Saint Arion
Age 5 · 12-0
P0-464
97
83
97
5
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1 10/3 7/2
Saint Arion has shown consistent placed-level ability in recent starts, his two fourths suggesting he is knocking on the door, and our rating has him as the second-ranked runner in this field; the main concern is 74 days off the track without a win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Malinas Glory silks
Malinas Glory
Age 9 · 11-12
/211-D
95
94
104
9
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
7/4 6/5 7/4
Dual winner in his last four starts, with a first and second also on the card before a disqualification clouds his most recent outing, Malinas Glory has solid recent form, has run over today's trip, and his rating of 104 gives him a clear edge over his rivals despite a 136-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Bravethewaves silks
Bravethewaves
Age 9 · 11-2
7175-0
85
72
83
9
11-2
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 14/1 11/1
Bravethewaves has managed just one win in his last five starts, with unplaced and mid-division finishes dominating his recent record, and our rating ranks him sixth of seven here, making him hard to fancy; he does at least return on a reasonable break of 24 days and has run over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Culligran silks
Culligran
Age 7 · 11-1
3-7244
84
79
87
7
11-1
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 3/1 4/1
Culligran shaped with clear promise when a close second three starts back and returns here fit on 18 days' rest, having run over today's trip and carrying a workable 155 lb with a rating of 87 to underline her claims — the worry is she has been winless in her last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Est Illic silks
Est Illic
Age 12 · 10-7
13-307
76
55
89
12
10-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 25/1 28/1
Rated higher than his official mark suggests, Est Illic showed a useful level of form when third three starts back and a winner five starts back, hinting at genuine ability; the concern is a break of 88 days without a run.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

6
King of The Story silks
King of The Story
Age 10 · 10-5
-2P7PP
74
69
84
10
10-5
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 15/2 6/1
Two pulls-up in his last two starts are the obvious concern for King of The Story, though he did finish second five starts back and has run over today's trip; carrying 145 lb on a mark of 74, he faces a stiff task to end a winless recent run.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Ballinoulart silks
Ballinoulart
Age 8 · 10-2
4325P3
69
70
76
8
10-2
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 8/1 6/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked bottom of this field on our figures, Ballinoulart makes the shortlist hard to extend his way, though he has run over today's trip before and a third last time out — eighteen days ago — at least confirms he retains some form.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Saint Arion 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 7/2 4/1 Bet365
2 Malinas Glory 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 open 2.20 7/4 open 2.38 7/4 open 2.38 15/8 open 2.38 7/4 open 2.38 15/8 William Hill
3 Bravethewaves 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
4 Culligran 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 4/1 Bet365
5 Est Illic 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 41.00 40/1 Paddy Power
6 King of The Story 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 Bet365
7 Ballinoulart 13/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 13.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Malinas Glory

Speculative

Malinas Glory owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Alastair Ralph Toby McCain-Mitchell
78% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Saint Arion

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill
✓ Value Signal

Est Illic

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Sarah-Jayne Davies
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Malinas Glory
59.1 7/4
2 1. Saint Arion
53.0 4/1
3 4. Culligran
52.0 4/1
4 6. King of The Story
50.2 6/1
5 7. Ballinoulart
47.1 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Malinas Glory
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 9 · 11-12
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 12-0
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 11-1
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 10 · 10-5
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 8 · 10-2
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 9 · 11-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Malinas Glory
Confidence: Speculative

Malinas Glory (SR 94, 6/4) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — 15 SR points clear of the next-best Culligran (SR 79) and 24 points above Bravethewaves (SR 72). The form string /211-D shows two recent wins before a disqualification, indicating peak-form ability that towers over this Class 5 contest. Course form of W1P1 at Warwick is a genuine positive, the yard (Alastair Ralph, 12%) is competent for this level, and jockey Toby McCain-Mitchell's 16% strike rate on 127 rides is strong for a conditional. The DistFit:- flag is a real concern — the horse is unproven or poor over today's 2m4f — but the class advantage is so pronounced that it remains the most credible winning vehicle in the field despite the odds-on-ish price. Each-way alternative: Culligran. Main danger: Ballinoulart — Ballinoulart (SR 70, 8/1) has shortened 13% in the market, carries a light 10-2, and the consistent form string 4325P3 shows regular competitiveness — the market money cannot be ignored and a clear round could see this one grab a place at the expense of the favourite.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:- flag is a concrete red flag at 2m4f — with no proven ability at this trip, stamina may simply give out in the closing stages of a staying chase at Warwick.
  • 136-day absence (HG:t = turf) returning on what is likely soft/good-to-soft autumn ground at Warwick — fitness after a long layoff combined with a going switch is a compound risk.
  • The disqualification ('D') is the most recent completed run — horse has not won cleanly in a finish since that event, leaving recency form ambiguous and potentially hiding a declining profile at age…
  • Market flat (MarkMv:=) at 6/4 despite the class edge and a yard running at only 12% — if this were a banker, smarter money would have pushed it shorter; the lack of support is a quiet concern.
Shortlist Malinas Glory, Culligran, Ballinoulart, Bravethewaves
Each-way: Culligran Danger: Ballinoulart

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m4f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Warwick Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade