Fontwell 14:47 RESULTED
Class 4 22 Sep 2026

Tuesday 22 September Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m3f104y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Tapley (GB) Caoilin Quinn · Gary & Josh Moore
    5/2
  2. 5/2
  3. 7/2
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Beverley

13:30–17:35 · 8 races

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13:47–17:16 · 7 races

Warwick

13:55–16:48 · 6 races

Fontwell

14:12–17:07 · 6 races

Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tapley silks
Tapley
Age 9 · 11-10
2313-4
120
122
120
9
11-10
★★★★☆
—
10/3 5/2 3/1
Tapley catches the eye as the top-rated runner in this field, and a winner three starts back with a third two starts back suggesting he retains ability; he has run over today's trip and his 164 lb burden after 128 days off the track is the chief concern.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Jet Smart silks
Jet Smart
Age 8 · 11-4
11-222
114
119
114
8
11-4
★★★★☆
—
4/1 2/1 4/1
Consistent and in fine fettle, Jet Smart has posted back-to-back runners-up efforts in his most recent starts and claimed victories in two of his last five, showing he knows how to win; he has run over today's trip before, though his ranking among the field is the one caution.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Lermoos Legend silks
Lermoos Legend
Age 11 · 11-3
2-7322
113
120
116
11
11-3
★★★★☆
—
9/4 11/4 32/17
Lermoos Legend is in fine fettle, finishing second two starts back and again last time out, with just 14 days between runs suggesting he arrives in peak condition; yet to land a race in recent starts, but his consistent placing and experience over today's trip make him our preferred pick at the weights.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
American Land silks
American Land
Age 8 · 11-2
1442-P
112
113
117
8
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 11/4 3/2
A second two starts back hints at solid recent form, and American Land has run over today's trip before, with a rating of 117 supporting his claims as a serious danger here; the worry is that pulled-up effort last time out and 111 days off since.
AI verdict

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tapley 10/3 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.75 4/1 William Hill
2 Jet Smart 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.00 9/2 open 3.00 4/1 open 3.00 9/2 William Hill
3 Lermoos Legend 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.00 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 Bet365
4 American Land 2/1 open 4.00 15/8 open 3.75 7/4 open 4.00 7/4 open 4.00 6/4 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.00 2/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lermoos Legend

Live signal

Lermoos Legend owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Mickey Bowen Sean Bowen
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

American Land

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Joe Tizzard
✓ Value Signal

Tapley

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

10/3 · Gary & Josh Moore
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +25.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Lermoos Legend
65.6 9/4
2 4. American Land
64.3 2/1
3 2. Jet Smart
64.1 4/1
4 1. Tapley
63.4 10/3
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Jet Smart
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 8 · 11-2
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 113 🐾 —

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 11 · 11-3
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 120 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 9 · 11-10
10/3
★★★★☆ SR 122 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 8 · 11-4
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 119 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Jet Smart
Confidence: Speculative

Jet Smart (SR:119, 9/4) carries the lightest competitive weight at 11-4 and arrives on just 18 days' rest with a red-hot recent form line of 11-222 — three consecutive runner-up finishes showing consistent peak-level effort at this class. The GoingFit:+ confirms comfort on today's good ground, and running off MarkMv:+7 above last win is a minor concern but the form suggests the horse is simply running into competitive fields rather than declining. Trainer Summersby at 8% overall is modest but the jockey Bryan Carver's 13% career rate and the horse's own recent consistency are more telling signals here. Each-way alternative: Lermoos Legend. Main danger: Lermoos Legend — Lermoos Legend (SR:120) has steamed 11% in the market, carries only 11-3, holds course form (W1P2), and Sean Bowen's 24% career strike rate is the strongest jockey statistic in the race — the DistFit:- is the only material concern but the market clearly isn't deterred.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Three consecutive runner-up finishes (form: 11-222) suggest a horse that finds a way to lose at the death — a pattern of near-misses at this class rather than a horse about to break through.
  • Trainer Dean Summersby at 8% strike rate with only 61 runners is a thin sample but notably weak; paired with jockey Bryan Carver at 13%, this is the least potent trainer-jockey combination in the fie…
  • Lermoos Legend is market drifting IN 11% with Sean Bowen (24% career) aboard, course form W1P2, and GoingFit tp — sharper market and superior jockey booking directly undermines Jet Smart's 9/4 case.
  • Running off MarkMv:+7 above last win means Jet Smart is officially 7lb higher than when it last won; combined with three defeats since, the handicapper may already have its measure.
Shortlist Jet Smart, Lermoos Legend, Tapley
Each-way: Lermoos Legend Danger: Lermoos Legend

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m3f104y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Fontwell Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade