Fontwell 15:22 RESULTED
Class 4 22 Sep 2026

Tuesday 22 September Free Tips On attheraces.com Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

Free Tips On attheraces.com Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m1f162y

Official Result

Free Tips On attheraces.com Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Royal Sapphire (IRE) I. J. Power · Jennie Candlish
    20/1
  2. 7/1
  3. 4/5F
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Beverley

13:30–17:35 · 8 races

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13:47–17:16 · 7 races

Warwick

13:55–16:48 · 6 races

Fontwell

14:12–17:07 · 6 races

Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Causing Problems silks
Causing Problems
Age 3 · 11-2
-
—
152
—
3
11-2
★★★★☆
—
11/2 9/4 11/2
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Houndswood Willow silks
Houndswood Willow
Age 3 · 11-2
3
—
141
—
3
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 12/1 11/2
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Janteloven silks
Janteloven
Age 3 · 11-2
—
—
143
—
3
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
14/1 8/1 12/1
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Ollierob silks
Ollierob
Age 3 · 11-2
—
—
152
—
3
11-2
★★★★☆
—
15/8 5/2 21/13
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Royal Sapphire silks
Royal Sapphire
Age 3 · 11-2
—
—
154
—
3
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 7/2 15/2
SR 154 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 154 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Rum Diamond silks
Rum Diamond
Age 3 · 11-2
2
—
156
—
3
11-2
★★★★☆
—
5/2 11/4 28/15
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Causing Problems 11/2 open 3.25 7/1 open 3.75 13/2 open 3.50 13/2 open 3.50 13/2 open 3.25 13/2 open 3.50 7/1 Paddy Power
2 Houndswood Willow 7/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 13.00 11/2 open 15.00 11/2 open 15.00 6/1 open 15.00 13/2 open 15.00 7/1 Bet365
3 Janteloven 14/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Ollierob 15/8 open 3.50 7/4 open 3.50 7/4 open 3.50 7/4 open 3.50 13/8 open 3.50 7/4 open 3.50 15/8 Bet365
5 Royal Sapphire 15/2 open 5.50 17/2 open 4.50 17/2 open 5.00 17/2 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 4.50 17/2 Paddy Power
6 Rum Diamond 5/2 open 3.75 2/1 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 9/4 open 3.75 5/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ollierob

High conviction

Ollierob owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Harry Derham Paul O'Brien
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rum Diamond

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Max Comley
✓ Value Signal

Janteloven

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Gary Brown
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Ollierob
73.1 15/8
2 6. Rum Diamond
72.9 5/2
3 5. Royal Sapphire
66.8 15/2
4 1. Causing Problems
66.4 11/2
5 2. Houndswood Willow
63.8 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rum Diamond
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 11-2
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 3 · 11-2
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 3 · 11-2
11/2
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 3 · 11-2
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 141 🐾 —

SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 11-2
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 154 🐾 —

SR 154 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 11-2
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 143 🐾 —

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rum Diamond
Confidence: Speculative

Rum Diamond carries the highest SR in the field at 156 and arrives on the back of a place finish (Form:2) — the only runner besides Houndswood Willow with any racecourse experience over obstacles, critical in a juvenile maiden hurdle. The market has shortened 10% since opening, reflecting meaningful support despite the GoingFit:- flag, and the course place (W0P1 at Fontwell) shows familiarity with this tight, turning track. At 11/4, the price reflects the combination of top SR, live market confidence, and a positive experience filter that most rivals simply cannot match. Each-way alternative: Ollierob. Main danger: Ollierob — Ollierob shares the joint-second highest SR at 152, is trained by Harry Derham (22% strike rate) and ridden by Paul O'Brien (15%), and while the 14% drift is concerning, the powerful stable suggests connections retain confidence in a horse that could outrun inexperience on ability alone.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer Max Comley runs at only 11% strike rate — meaningfully below rivals Dan Skelton (22%) and Harry Derham (22%), a real disadvantage in a race where training quality could separate debutants.
  • Jockey Jamie Brace (claiming 5lb) posts just a 16% SR from a small sample of 75 rides — at 11/4 the market is pricing in a competent steering job that an inexperienced claimer on a tight-turning Font…
  • The GoingFit:- flag is unresolved: Rum Diamond's sole hurdling start (a 2nd) has the HG:t flag, suggesting it was on good/fast ground, and if Fontwell is softer in September 2026 that form reading is…
  • Causing Problems and Ollierob — both SR:152 — are trained by 22%-strike-rate handlers (Skelton/Derham) and have drifted in the market for operational reasons rather than ability concerns, making them…
Shortlist Rum Diamond, Ollierob, Royal Sapphire, Houndswood Willow
Each-way: Ollierob Danger: Ollierob

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m1f162y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Fontwell Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade