Fontwell 16:32 RESULTED
Class 4 22 Sep 2026

Tuesday 22 September Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 3m1f210y

Official Result

Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Yes Day (IRE) Jonjo O'Neill Jr. · Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill
    2/1
  2. 11/1
  3. 1/1F
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Beverley

13:30–17:35 · 8 races

Listowel

13:47–17:16 · 7 races

Warwick

13:55–16:48 · 6 races

Fontwell

14:12–17:07 · 6 races

Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Yes Day silks
Yes Day
Age 8 · 12-0
P-2324
107
106
117
8
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 5/2 2/1
Winless in his last five starts but placed three times, with a second two starts back and a third three starts back, Yes Day arrives 34 days fresh, has run over today's trip, and his rating of 117 puts him narrowly ahead at the top of this small field.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Ballynaheer silks
Ballynaheer
Age 7 · 11-13
1415-5
106
93
103
7
11-13
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 5/1 17/2
Ballynaheer's two wins in his last five starts, including a victory three starts back, underline his winning credentials, and he has run over today's trip before — but 115 days off the track is the key question mark he must answer on reappearance.
AI verdict

SR 93 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Balkardy silks
Balkardy
Age 9 · 11-10
P-U7P2
103
88
112
9
11-10
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 5/1 7/1
Balkardy shaped with real promise when second last time out, and his experience over today's trip plus a rating of 112 make him a genuine threat to the top-rated runner; the concern is a patchy recent record that includes two pull-ups, and he arrives 71 days fresh.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Flashy Boy silks
Flashy Boy
Age 9 · 10-2
-45312
81
98
85
9
10-2
★★★★☆
—
4/5 10/11 8/13
Flashy Boy arrives here in fine nick, a winner two starts back and runner-up last time out just four days ago, and he has run over today's trip before; the chief concern is that his 142 lb burden makes life tough against this field.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Yes Day 5/2 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.50 5/2 5/2 5/2 9/4 open 3.50 5/2 Bet365
2 Ballynaheer 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 William Hill
3 Balkardy 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 Bet365
4 Flashy Boy 4/5 open 1.91 8/11 open 1.91 8/11 open 1.91 8/11 open 1.91 8/13 open 1.91 8/11 open 1.91 4/5 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Flashy Boy

Live signal

Flashy Boy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/5 Robbie Llewellyn Charlie Price
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Yes Day

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill
✓ Value Signal

Balkardy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

15/2 · Mrs C. Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Flashy Boy
60.8 4/5
2 1. Yes Day
59.5 5/2
3 2. Ballynaheer
54.8 17/2
4 3. Balkardy
52.8 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Yes Day
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 9 · 10-2
4/5
★★★★☆ SR 98 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 8 · 12-0
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾 —

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 9 · 11-10
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 7 · 11-13
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Yes Day
Confidence: Speculative

Yes Day (SR:106, 9/4) is the class leader in this small field and arrives off a mark 14lb lower than his last win — the most favourable MarkMv in the race by some distance. The 7% market shortening confirms the money is on board. Jonjo O'Neill Jr. at 15% strike rate from 523 rides is a meaningful booking, and the 12-0 topweight is manageable given the SR advantage over the field. GoingFit:~ is a mild concern on good ground, but the sharply dropped mark and market confidence outweigh that reservation. Flashy Boy is the obvious danger but his GoingFit:- directly undermines his claims today. Each-way alternative: Ballynaheer. Main danger: Flashy Boy — Flashy Boy (SR:98, 10/11 favourite) carries the lightest weight at 10-2, has ★★★★☆ AI stars and a solid recent form line of -45312, and trainer Robbie Llewellyn's 20% strike rate from 94 runners is the best in the race — his GoingFit:- is a genuine worry but connections clearly feel the class drop and weight advantage override it.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads P-2324 — Yes Day has not won in his last five starts, finishing no better than second, suggesting he may be finding ways to lose rather than win.
  • GoingFit:~ on good ground at Fontwell is a genuine doubt; if he is not fully suited by the surface, the class advantage is undermined on a track that rewards jumping fluency.
  • Carries top weight of 12-0, giving Flashy Boy a hefty 12lb pull at the weights — even with GoingFit:- against Flashy Boy, that weight concession on a tight, turning track is a tangible disadvantage.
  • At 9/4 in a small field he is asked to do a lot of work at short odds with a recent P (pulled-up) on his form card, meaning punters are backing a horse whose last completed effort was only a third.
Shortlist Yes Day, Flashy Boy, Ballynaheer
Each-way: Ballynaheer Danger: Flashy Boy

🗺 The Course Class 4

3m1f210y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Fontwell Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade