Southwell (AW) 20:30 RESULTED
Class 3 22 Sep 2026

Tuesday 22 September Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m4f14y

Official Result

Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Solarize (GB) Daniel Muscutt · Charlie Johnston
    17/2
  2. 4/1
  3. Third Tryfan (GB)
    17/2
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Beverley

13:30–17:35 · 8 races

Listowel

13:47–17:16 · 7 races

Warwick

13:55–16:48 · 6 races

Fontwell

14:12–17:07 · 6 races

Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Topteam silks
Topteam
Age 4 · 10-2
-15207
90
76
91
4
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 6/1 9/1
SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Fierce Fortitude silks
Fierce Fortitude
Age 4 · 10-1
1-2130
89
85
91
4
10-1
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 9/1 9/2
Fierce Fortitude boasts a lively recent profile, winning three starts back and again five starts back, and he has experience over today's trip and going, but that 80-day absence is the key question mark against him here.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
The Green Mile silks
The Green Mile
Age 4 · 9-13
-01317
87
73
89
4
9-13
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 14/1 20/1
A winner two starts back and a solid third three starts back suggest The Green Mile has the class to mix it here, and he has run over today's trip before; however, a seventh last time out and 41 days off the track are questions he must answer under 139 lb.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Solarize silks
Solarize
Age 4 · 9-12
3115-2
86
83
90
4
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 13/2 15/2
Solarize won two of his last five starts, with a runner-up finish last time out, and has experience of today's trip and conditions — but 216 days off the track is a significant query mark against a field of ten.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Nolton Cross silks
Nolton Cross
Age 7 · 9-11
089525
85
75
89
7
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 7/1 9/1
Winless in his last six starts, Nolton Cross does show a second two runs back to suggest ability, though fifth last time out after a 59-day break and a stiff 137 lb to carry are the chief negatives for a runner ranked seventh of ten here.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Assail silks
Assail
Age 6 · 9-9
6-6432
83
77
93
6
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 8/1 11/1
Consistently in and around the frame, Assail has run over today's trip and going, and his rating of 93 marks him out as the standout on figures here; the main risk is that he has been winless in his last five starts, and 61 days off the track adds a fitness question.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Tryfan silks
Tryfan
Age 5 · 9-9
920715
83
76
87
5
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 9/1 8/1
Tryfan showed he can win, scoring two starts back, but a fifth last time out and a patchy profile beyond that one success make him hard to fancy ranked eighth of ten on our figures, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Golden Knight silks
Golden Knight
Age 3 · 9-8
1-6013
89
94
93
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
9/4
Golden Knight won two starts back and shaped well with a third last time out, bringing solid recent form to a trip he has already experienced; the main concern is the 38-day absence leaving his sharpness open to question.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Urchin silks
Urchin
Age 3 · 9-4
3-12
85
88
87
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 9/2 17/2
Urchin shaped with promise when winning two starts back, and a runner-up last time out adds solid recent form, but 115 days off the track is a fitness concern, and ranked ninth of ten on our figures he faces a stiff ask at the weights carrying 130 lb.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Cliff Danger silks
Cliff Danger
Age 3 · 8-9
64791
76
87
82
3
8-9
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 5/1 9/2
Cliff Danger is an outsider on our figures, ranked bottom of the field, and his recent record shows just one win from his last five starts amid a string of modest finishes — though that victory last time out, off a 37-day break, at least arrives here on a retrieval note, with experience of today's trip and going in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Topteam 11/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 12/1 Paddy Power
2 Fierce Fortitude 6/1 open 13.00 9/2 open 13.00 9/2 open 13.00 9/2 open 13.00 11/2 open 13.00 5/1 open 10.00 6/1 Bet365
3 The Green Mile 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 Paddy Power
4 Solarize 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 7.50 15/2 15/2 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 Paddy Power
5 Nolton Cross 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 Bet365
6 Assail 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365
7 Tryfan 9/1 10/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 12.00 10/1 Paddy Power
8 Golden Knight 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.33 9/4 9/4 Bet365
9 Urchin 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 5.50 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 Bet365
10 Cliff Danger 6/1 11/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 11/2 11/2 6/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Golden Knight

Speculative

Golden Knight owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Ed Walker Kieran Shoemark
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Cliff Danger

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Tom Ellis
✓ Value Signal

The Green Mile

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Neil Mulholland
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Golden Knight
55.3 9/4
2 10. Cliff Danger
54.6 6/1
3 2. Fierce Fortitude
53.9 6/1
4 9. Urchin
53.0 9/1
5 7. Tryfan
52.0 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Golden Knight
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 3 · 9-8
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 10-1
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 8-9
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-12
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-9
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-4
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 7 · 9-11
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 6 · 9-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-13
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Golden Knight
Confidence: Speculative

Golden Knight (SR 94, 11/4) is the clear ability leader in this field by a significant margin — 6 SR points clear of second-best Urchin (SR 88) and 7 clear of Cliff Danger (SR 87). Despite running off a mark 3lb higher than his last win, he carries a light 9-8 and has shortened 9% in the market, confirming stable confidence. Ed Walker (16% strike rate, 1538 runners) is a reliable handler of progressive 3-year-olds stepping into handicap company, and Kieran Shoemark's booking adds further quality. His recent form 1-6013 shows the win two runs back is live, and the '3' last time is encouraging at this class level. Each-way alternative: Cliff Danger. Main danger: Cliff Danger — Cliff Danger (SR 87, 5/1) has steamed 19% in the market, holds course form (W1P1 at Southwell), confirmed good going fitness, and his recent form ending '1' — a win just 37 days ago — gives him live claims at a weight advantage of 13lb over Golden Knight.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Golden Knight's form reads 1-6013: the '6' and '0' show he can run poorly, and he has not won since two runs back — three runs without a victory suggests he may be finding his level.
  • Competing against older horses (4–7yo) on Southwell AW for the first time with no course form flag, while Cliff Danger (W1P1) and Nolton Cross (W2P4) have proven course ability on this track.
  • Cliff Danger has shortened 19% in the market (vs Golden Knight's 9%) and carries only 8-9 — 13lb less — giving a significant weight advantage that a 4-point SR gap may not fully offset.
  • At 11/4 in a 10-runner handicap, Golden Knight is asked to concede weight all round as the 3yo top-weight; if the race develops a truly strong pace, his 9-8 burden against seasoned AW performers is a…
Shortlist Golden Knight, Cliff Danger, Urchin, Fierce Fortitude
Each-way: Cliff Danger Danger: Cliff Danger

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m4f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade