Fontwell 14:12 RESULTED
Class 4 22 Sep 2026

Tuesday 22 September Download The At The Races App Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Download The At The Races App Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m1f162y

Official Result

Download The At The Races App Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Virtual Rock (IRE) Shane Fenelon · Des Donovan
    6/5F
  2. 9/2
  3. 3/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Beverley

13:30–17:35 · 8 races

Listowel

13:47–17:16 · 7 races

Warwick

13:55–16:48 · 6 races

Fontwell

14:12–17:07 · 6 races

Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Virtual Rock silks
Virtual Rock
Age 7 · 11-13
21/81
107
116
114
7
11-13
★★★☆☆
—
6/4 32/17 5/4
Virtual Rock arrives in fine nick, winning last time out and again three starts back, with a second four starts back confirming his consistency; at 167 lb, the weight burden is the one factor that could blunt his challenge.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Goodwin Face silks
Goodwin Face
Age 6 · 11-11
22-119
112
116
110
6
11-11
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 5/2 7/2
Two wins in his last five starts, including back-to-back victories two and three starts back, give Goodwin Face solid recent claims, and he has run over today's trip; the main concern is a break of 86 days since his last outing.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Tilehurst silks
Tilehurst
Age 5 · 11-9
24-512
110
114
111
5
11-9
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 11/4 9/4
Placed second last time out and a winner two starts back, Tilehurst arrives in solid nick after an 18-day break, has run over today's trip, and his 163 lb burden is the one reservation against an otherwise compelling recent profile.
AI verdict

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Sun Joy silks
Sun Joy
Age 7 · 11-4
412-72
105
108
106
7
11-4
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 8/1 4/1
Sun Joy caught the eye with a runner-up finish last time out and has run over today's trip, with our rating of 106 putting him right in the mix; the main worry is a 104-day absence since that effort.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Arbitration silks
Arbitration
Age 4 · 11-2
22
105
108
105
4
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 10/3 7/1
Winless in his last two starts and ranked last on our figures, Arbitration faces a stiff task here, with 117 days off the track adding a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and consecutive runner-up efforts show some ability, but this looks a tough ask.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Virtual Rock 6/4 open 2.88 6/4 open 2.88 5/4 open 2.88 5/4 open 2.88 13/8 open 2.88 6/4 open 2.88 13/8 William Hill
2 Goodwin Face 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 7/2 4/1 Bet365
3 Tilehurst 11/4 open 5.50 5/2 open 3.75 9/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 Bet365
4 Sun Joy 13/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.50 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 13/2 Bet365
5 Arbitration 9/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 4.33 7/1 open 4.50 7/1 open 4.50 15/2 open 4.50 17/2 open 4.50 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Goodwin Face

Live signal

Goodwin Face owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Chris Gordon Fern O'Brien
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Virtual Rock

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/4 · Des Donovan
✓ Value Signal

Arbitration

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

9/1 · Joe Tizzard
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Goodwin Face
64.6 4/1
2 1. Virtual Rock
64.4 6/4
3 3. Tilehurst
63.2 11/4
4 5. Arbitration
57.4 9/1
5 4. Sun Joy
56.9 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Virtual Rock
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 7 · 11-13
6/4
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾 —

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 11-9
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 114 🐾 —

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 11-11
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾 —

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 11-4
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾 —

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 11-2
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾 —

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Virtual Rock
Confidence: Speculative

Virtual Rock (SR 116, 13/8) shares the top SR in the field alongside Goodwin Face but carries only 2lb more than Goodwin Face while running off the same mark as its last win (MarkMv:=), removing the penalty burden that hampers rivals. It ran just 7 days ago — the freshest horse in the field — and its GoingFit:+ confirms this good ground suits. The market has shortened 6% (Mkt:in6%), signalling stable confidence, and the tongue-tie (HG:t) is retained from last time, suggesting connections are happy with the setup. A form string of 21/81 shows a recent win followed by a moderate last run, but the class remains the same and the quick turnaround from a yard that knows what it's doing with this horse tips the balance. Each-way alternative: Tilehurst. Main danger: Tilehurst — Tilehurst (SR 114, 7/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 11-9, has a GoingFit:+ for today's good ground, showed a recent placed effort in a form string ending 512, and Bradley Harris (3) claims a 3lb allowance that further lightens the load — the combination of weight relief and going confirmation makes this the most credible threat to the selection.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer Des Donovan hits at only 8% strike rate (115 runners) — a low-volume yard with modest conversion, and Shane Fenelon's 8% strike rate (324 rides) is equally uninspiring for a market leader.
  • The last run (form digit '1' most recent) was actually an '81' sequence — the '8' represents a poor effort just prior to the win, suggesting the win may have been a fluke or against weak opposition r…
  • 7-day turnaround after a race can mask residual fatigue; Fontwell's tight, turning track is physically demanding and a horse not fully recovered may find the unique undulations particularly punishing.
  • Tilehurst (7/2, SR 114) is trained by Neil Mulholland at 15% strike rate with a fresher angle off 18 days and only 2lb less — a yard with far superior conversion that could be underestimated at the c…
Shortlist Virtual Rock, Tilehurst, Goodwin Face
Each-way: Tilehurst Danger: Tilehurst

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m1f162y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Fontwell Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade