Warwick 15:05 RESULTED
Class 4 22 Sep 2026

Tuesday 22 September Jerroms Financial Group Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)

Jerroms Financial Group Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race) · 2m

Official Result

Jerroms Financial Group Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sixpack (GB) Jonathan Burke · James Owen
    6/4
  2. 4/7F
  3. 125/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Happy Harrison silks
Happy Harrison
Age 6 · 11-0
7/0-59
—
121
—
6
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
200/1 100/1 200/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 121 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Sixpack silks
Sixpack
Age 6 · 11-0
4-
—
159
—
6
11-0
★★★★☆
—
15/8 32/17 31/19
Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Tralee Girl silks
Tralee Girl
Age 4 · 10-12
3242-1
115
125
115OR
4
10-12
★★★★☆
—
8/13 1/2 4/7
Favourable weight of 10-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Bath Taverness silks
Bath Taverness
Age 5 · 10-7
05-1
—
152
—
5
10-7
★★★★☆
—
9/1 5/1 8/1
Favourable weight of 10-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Esther Spring silks
Esther Spring
Age 4 · 10-5
8-67
—
125
—
4
10-5
★★★☆☆
—
66/1 FCST 50/1
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Happy Harrison 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 151.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 151.00 200/1 Bet365
2 Sixpack 15/8 open 3.25 13/8 open 2.88 13/8 open 3.00 13/8 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 13/8 open 3.00 15/8 Bet365
3 Tralee Girl 8/13 open 1.50 4/7 open 1.62 8/13 open 1.53 8/13 open 1.53 8/13 open 1.57 4/6 open 1.57 4/6 Betfred
4 Bath Taverness 9/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.00 9/1 Bet365
5 Esther Spring 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 101.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 66/1 50/1 open 81.00 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sixpack

Live signal

Sixpack owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 James Owen Jonathan Burke
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tralee Girl

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/13 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Happy Harrison

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

200/1 · Gary Hanmer
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Sixpack
69.7 15/8
2 3. Tralee Girl
68.7 8/13
3 4. Bath Taverness
67.2 9/1
4 1. Happy Harrison
52.0 200/1
5 5. Esther Spring
51.8 66/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Tralee Girl
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 10-12
8/13
★★★★☆ SR 125 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 6 · 11-0
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 159 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 5 · 10-7
9/1
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Tralee Girl
Confidence: Speculative

Tralee Girl (SR:125, 4/7) is the clear selection despite carrying top weight at 10-12. The Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton combination (22%/27% strike rates respectively — the most prolific and accurate jumps partnership in Britain) booking is itself a major signal, and the horse arrives just 8 days after a win, in peak form, at the same class and same mark. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-firm confirms she handles both trip and surface; the recent form string 3242-1 shows consistent competitiveness culminating in that last-time-out win. Sixpack (SR:159) is the only credible threat on raw SR, but carries DistFit:- over this 2m trip and has a long 31-day break from just a single flat run (Form:4-), making the class drop insufficient to offset the distance concern against a horse arriving match-sharp. Each-way alternative: Sixpack. Main danger: Sixpack — Sixpack's SR:159 is comfortably the highest in the field and the class drop (↓1) could unleash a flat-bred with raw ability; if the 2m trip proves less of a barrier than DistFit:- suggests, the 9/4 reflects a horse that could simply outclass the field.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Sixpack carries a significantly higher SR (159 vs 125) and drops in class — that raw ability advantage is substantial even if the 2m trip is unproven; distance concern may be overstated for a 6yo wit…
  • Bath Taverness (SR:152) also holds a large SR superiority over Tralee Girl and ran a winning line (05-1) — market drift of 9% out suggests connections or market professionals are not confident, but t…
  • Turnaround of just 8 days after a win is aggressive for a 4yo hurdler; fatigue or a flat rebound run is a concrete risk at this short interval, especially carrying top weight of 10-12.
  • At 4/7, Tralee Girl is priced to near-certainty yet faces two rivals (Sixpack, Bath Taverness) with markedly higher speed ratings — the market appears to be over-weighting trainer/jockey profile agai…
Shortlist Tralee Girl, Sixpack, Bath Taverness
Each-way: Sixpack Danger: Sixpack

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Warwick Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade