Southwell (AW) 20:30 RESULTED
Class 5 10 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Gents Night Saturday 24th October Handicap Stakes

Gents Night Saturday 24th October Handicap Stakes · 1m4f14y

Official Result

Gents Night Saturday 24th October Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Domination (IRE) Oisin McSweeney · Harriet Bethell
    5/2F
  2. Second John T (GB)
    9/1
  3. 4/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–16:50 · 7 races

York

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Chepstow

13:35–17:10 · 7 races

Naas

13:40–17:15 · 7 races

Hexham

13:43–17:30 · 7 races

Fairyhouse

13:58–17:35 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
John T silks
John T
Age 4 · 10-2
0251-9
75
46
77
4
10-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 16/1 11/1
John T bounced back from a fifth three starts back to win two starts back, but he was beaten into ninth last time out after 26 days off, and he has run over today's trip. Carrying 142 lb off an official mark of 75, he looks a midfield sort, with our rating of 77 ranking him sixth of 13.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

2
Flightofthephoenix silks
Flightofthephoenix
Age 4 · 10-0
721163
73
77
76
4
10-0
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 4/1 9/2
Third last time out and a winner twice in her last six starts, Flightofthephoenix is back quickly after 14 days and has run over today's trip and going before. However, 140 lb is a hefty burden, and a sixth two starts back tempers things, with our rating of 76 placing her only seventh of 13.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Lilly Lux silks
Lilly Lux
Age 5 · 10-0
264231
73
77
81
5
10-0
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 5/1 4/1
Fresh from a win last time out, Lilly Lux has finished third and second in the two runs before that, and she's had 22 days to recover. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 81 ranks her third of 13; the main risk is carrying 140 lb off an official rating of 73.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Masterly silks
Masterly
Age 5 · 9-13
3/44
72
56
66
5
9-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 FCST 12/1
Masterly is yet to win in his last three starts, finishing fourth twice and a third three starts back, and he's hard to fancy off 139 lb with an official rating of 72. He has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after 14 days, but our figures rank him 12th of 13.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

5
Dream Harder silks
Dream Harder
Age 7 · 9-13
681476
72
71
83
7
9-13
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 8/1 12/1
Dream Harder won four starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while a quick 14-day turnaround keeps him fit; our rating of 83 ranks him second of 13, well clear of his official 72. The risk is a trainer 0/20 in the last 14 days, and he has finished sixth and seventh in his last two.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Domination silks
Domination
Age 3 · 9-10
141335
75
85
86
3
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 3/1 5/2
Domination heads the field on our ratings, having won twice in his last six starts, and he's made the frame in two of his last three after a fifth last time out, with a fresh 17 days since that run. He has run over today's trip and going before, so the main reservation is the 136 lb he carries.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
American State silks
American State
Age 4 · 9-9
064244
68
50
74
4
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 11/1 16/1
American State has been knocking on the door, finishing fourth last time out, and a fourth two starts back, after a second three starts back, and he is fresh enough after 19 days. He has run on today's going, but he is winless in his last six and carries 135 lb, while our rating of 74 ranks him only eighth of 13.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

8
Bondi silks
Bondi
Age 4 · 9-9
186-78
68
40
73
4
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 14/1 20/1
Bondi is hard to fancy after finishing eighth last time out, a seventh two starts back and a sixth three starts back, with his lone win five starts back now a distant memory. He has run over today's trip and going and is back after 14 days, but our rating has him 11th of 13.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

9
Melody de Vega silks
Melody de Vega
Age 3 · 9-8
582163
73
80
81
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 11/2 10/3
Fit after 16 days off, she was third last time out and a winner three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 80 ranks her fourth of 13, though 134 lb is a notable burden against an official mark of 73.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Seacole silks
Seacole
Age 3 · 9-7
242732
72
64
74
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
SP 8/1 11/1
Seacole is winless in her last six, though she was second last time out, 13 days ago, and has been placed in four of those runs; she has run over today's trip, but carrying 133 lb and ranked 10th of 13 on our figures, she is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Grand Pier silks
Grand Pier
Age 3 · 9-7
-06217
72
60
74
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 10/1 22/1
Grand Pier showed his best when winning two starts back and finishing second three starts back, but he was only seventh last time out and returns after 37 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 74 leaves him ninth of 13 off 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Honouramongthieves silks
Honouramongthieves
Age 3 · 9-5
-56676
70
62
80
3
9-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
7/1 12/1 7/1
Honouramongthieves has finished sixth last time out, seventh two starts back and sixth three starts back, so he is yet to win in his last five, and 102 days off hardly helps. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 80 sits well above his official 70, though 131 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

13
A Daughters Love silks
A Daughters Love
Age 3 · 8-10
248656
61
39
62
3
8-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
80/1 25/1 50/1
Winless in her last six, A Daughters Love was sixth last time out, a fifth two starts back and a sixth three starts back, and she is back just two days later under 122 lb. She has run over today's trip and going, and a second six starts back is the one bright spot, but our figures rank her 13th of 13.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 John T 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 26.00 14/1 Bet365
2 Flightofthephoenix 11/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 9/2 11/2 Bet365
3 Lilly Lux 5/1 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
4 Masterly 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Dream Harder 14/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 Bet365
6 Domination 5/2 open 6.00 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 Bet365
7 American State 25/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 25/1 Bet365
8 Bondi 28/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
9 Melody de Vega 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 7.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.50 4/1 Bet365
10 Seacole 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
11 Grand Pier 25/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 25/1 Bet365
12 Honouramongthieves 7/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 7/1 open 17.00 8/1 open 15.00 10/1 Coral
13 A Daughters Love 80/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 80/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Domination

Speculative

Domination owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Harriet Bethell Oisin McSweeney
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Flightofthephoenix

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Charles Hills
✓ Value Signal

Grand Pier

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Warren Greatrex
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Domination
55.7 5/2
2 2. Flightofthephoenix
52.6 11/2
3 9. Melody de Vega
51.2 4/1
4 12. Honouramongthieves
48.9 7/1
5 3. Lilly Lux
48.2 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Domination
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 3 · 9-10
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 9-8
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 10-0
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 10-0
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 3 · 9-5
7/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾 —

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

4
Age 5 · 9-13
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

5
Age 7 · 9-13
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Domination
Confidence: Speculative

Domination (SR 85, 3/1) is the standout ability figure in this field by a clear margin — 5 SR points clear of Melody de Vega and 8 clear of the joint-third rated horses. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) with a mark only 3lb above last win suggests the handicapper has given connections a fair opportunity. Trainer Harriet Bethell's 20% strike rate is the strongest in the field, and the market has moved in 11% from opening — meaningful support in a 13-runner handicap. The GoingFit:- on good ground is the primary concern, but at age 3 stepping into a Class 5 1m4f contest against older horses, the class superiority and trainer/market alignment override that flag. Each-way alternative: Melody de Vega. Main danger: Melody de Vega — Melody de Vega (SR 80, 5/1) has steamed in 15% in the market, carries a favourable 9-8, shows GoingFit:+ confirming affinity for today's conditions, and jockey Marco Ghiani's 16% strike rate is the best booking in the field — a compelling multi-signal rival.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit flag on AW Southwell Fibresand — Domination's form peak (win) came on different surface/going conditions, and the '5' in recent form (5th last time) may reflect surface unsuitability rather…
  • Jockey Oisin McSweeney posts only a 10% strike rate — well below trainer Bethell's 20% — suggesting this partnership may not be optimally aligned to convert the ability advantage.
  • Melody de Vega (SR:80, 5/1) has taken in 15% market money versus Domination's 11%, and carries 2lb less — if the market is pricing a tight SR gap tighter on weight-adjusted terms, the 'clear margin'…
  • A 3-year-old stepping up to 1m4f against older horses on Fibresand is a significant stamina/surface double-ask; the 'p' headgear flag and a recent '5' finishing position suggest connections are still…
Shortlist Domination, Melody de Vega, Lilly Lux, Flightofthephoenix
Each-way: Melody de Vega Danger: Melody de Vega

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m4f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade