Hexham 15:05 RESULTED
Class 3 10 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Tackling Insights Handicap Hurdle Race

Tackling Insights Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m7f63y

Official Result

Tackling Insights Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Medieval Gold (GB) Brian Hughes · Patrick Neville
    3/1
  2. 5/4F
  3. 5/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Lihyan silks
Lihyan
Age 8 · 12-0
2917-4
127
121
129
8
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 9/2 7/1
Lihyan was a fourth last time out and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before, with our rating of 129 ranking him second of six. The main risk is a 147-day absence, while 168 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Shallow River silks
Shallow River
Age 10 · 11-9
1/6357
122
95
130
10
11-9
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 10/1 22/1
Shallow River steps up as our top-rated runner, having won five starts back and finished third three starts back, with a fifth two runs ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 163 lb after 40 days off is the one reservation, though he sits well clear on ours at 130 against an official 122.
AI verdict

SR 95 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Imperial Merlin silks
Imperial Merlin
Age 9 · 11-9
45P1-4
122
117
127
9
11-9
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 9/2 6/1
Imperial Merlin is a leading danger, a winner two starts back and fourth last time out, with experience over today's trip and going and our rating of 127 ranking him third of six. The main risk is carrying 163 lb after 40 days off.
AI verdict

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Heather Honey silks
Heather Honey
Age 7 · 11-7
13315-
120
119
114
7
11-7
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 4/1 11/2
Absent for 189 days and beaten into fifth last time out, Heather Honey is hard to fancy, and she carries 161 lb off an official mark of 120. In her favour, she has won twice in her last five starts, and has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Medieval Gold silks
Medieval Gold
Age 6 · 11-0
32-794
113
120
121
6
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 7/2 2/1
Fourth last time out and back within 16 days, Medieval Gold has run over today's trip and going, and our 121 rating sits well clear of his official 113 off 154 lb. The risk is a patchy record, with a ninth and a seventh in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Rebel Tribesman silks
Rebel Tribesman
Age 5 · 11-0
2-1213
113
127
117
5
11-0
★★★★☆
—
7/4 5/4 26/19
Rebel Tribesman's form reads well, with a third last time out, a win two starts back and another four starts back, and he has run on today's going before. Still, carrying 154 lb off 113, he is hard to fancy as our fifth-ranked runner of six, even after 22 days off.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Lihyan 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 17/2 William Hill
2 Shallow River 22/1 open 11.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 Paddy Power
3 Imperial Merlin 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 Paddy Power
4 Heather Honey 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 Bet365
5 Medieval Gold 9/4 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 9/4 Bet365
6 Rebel Tribesman 7/4 open 3.25 13/8 open 2.25 11/8 open 2.25 7/4 open 2.25 7/4 open 2.38 7/4 open 2.25 7/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Rebel Tribesman

Live signal

Rebel Tribesman owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (71) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Jamie Snowden Jonathan Burke
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Medieval Gold

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · Patrick Neville
✓ Value Signal

Shallow River

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Dave Roberts
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
71 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Rebel Tribesman
65.0 7/4
2 5. Medieval Gold
62.7 9/4
3 3. Imperial Merlin
61.7 6/1
4 4. Heather Honey
60.6 6/1
5 1. Lihyan
59.8 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rebel Tribesman
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 5 · 11-0
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 127 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 6 · 11-0
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 120 🐾 —

SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 9 · 11-9
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 117 🐾 —

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 11-7
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 119 🐾 —

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 8 · 12-0
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 121 🐾 —

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rebel Tribesman
Confidence: Speculative

Rebel Tribesman (SR 127, 6/4) is the clear class-leader in this field — his SR of 127 sits 6-7 points clear of the next-best and he carries only 11-0, the joint-lowest weight alongside Medieval Gold. His recent form 2-1213 shows consistent competitiveness including two wins and a place from his last four starts, and crucially GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's Good ground well. Jamie Snowden's yard operates at a 26% career strike rate, the best of any trainer in this field, and Jonathan Burke at 15% is a strong booking — the combination of top-rated horse, lightest weight, proven going preference, and a powerful stable makes this a well-supported case even at a short price. Each-way alternative: Imperial Merlin. Main danger: Medieval Gold — Medieval Gold (SR 120, 3/1) has steamed 14% in the market with Brian Hughes booked — the most significant market move in the race — and while GoingFit:- is a concern, a 6-year-old dropping a class with an in-form partnership could outrun his rating if the going has dried sufficiently from the forecast.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Medieval Gold is 14% market mover in (now 3/1) while Rebel Tribesman shows no market support at 6/4 — money is flowing away from the pick toward the main rival, suggesting market intelligence favours…
  • Medieval Gold carries identical weight (11-0), is trained by a 19% strike-rate yard with Brian Hughes (19%) aboard — a superior jockey strike rate to Burke's 15% — and has been freshened over 16 days…
  • Rebel Tribesman's form reads 2-1213: the dash indicates a seasonal absence before the current run sequence, and with only 22 days since last run on a Good surface, his fitness on what may be a quicke…
  • At SR 127 off a 5yo profile in a handicap hurdle at Hexham, he is already likely racing off a career-high or near-career-high mark — the +4 MarkMv confirms the assessor has already taken notice, leav…
Shortlist Rebel Tribesman, Medieval Gold, Imperial Merlin
Each-way: Imperial Merlin Danger: Medieval Gold

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m7f63y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Hexham Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade