Fairyhouse 15:10 RESULTED
10 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Malone Windows Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Steeplechase

Malone Windows Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Steeplechase · 3m0f104y

Official Result

Malone Windows Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Steeplechase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Pourquoi Poi (IRE) Danny Gilligan · Paul W Flynn
    100/30
  2. 5/2J
  3. 20/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–16:50 · 7 races

York

13:30–17:07 · 7 races

Chepstow

13:35–17:10 · 7 races

Naas

13:40–17:15 · 7 races

Hexham

13:43–17:30 · 7 races

Fairyhouse

13:58–17:35 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Anodandawink silks
Anodandawink
Age 5 · 11-12
-92111
118
113
111
5
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 9/4 7/2
Anodandawink arrives on a hat-trick, having won last time out and two and three starts back, and a second four starts back, fresh after 22 days and with experience over today's trip and going. Top weight of 166 lb is the burden, and our 111 ranks him sixth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Charlie Luciano silks
Charlie Luciano
Age 7 · 11-11
4142P9
117
85
122
7
11-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 12/1 20/1
Back out quickly after 12 days, Charlie Luciano has run over today's trip and going and was a second three starts back, while carrying 165 lb with our rating of 122 ranking him third of nine; the risk is a ninth last time out following a pulled up.
AI verdict

SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Sphagnum silks
Sphagnum
Age 9 · 11-11
0-2745
117
82
121
9
11-11
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 33/1
Sphagnum is a leading danger, having run over today's trip and going before, back quickly after 14 days and rated 121 by us, with a second four starts back showing his ceiling. The one concern is a winless last five, including a fifth last time out, while carrying 165 lb.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Clonbury Bridge silks
Clonbury Bridge
Age 10 · 11-7
62P4-P
113
87
114
10
11-7
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 8/1 16/1
Clonbury Bridge has been pulled up in two of his last five and is winless in that spell, though a fourth two starts back and a second four starts back show some ability, and he has run over today's trip and going. A 138-day break and 161 lb are concerns, while our rating of 114 sits just above his official 113.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Jukebox Johnny silks
Jukebox Johnny
Age 6 · 11-5
5P7-21
111
106
107
6
11-5
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 5/2 9/4
Jukebox Johnny won last time out and was second two starts back, but that came 69 days ago, and he carries 159 lb off an official mark of 111. He has run on today's going, yet our rating ranks him seventh of nine, so he is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Tullybeg silks
Tullybeg
Age 11 · 11-4
-457U9
110
77
130
11
11-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 33/1 50/1
Fit from a run 14 days ago, Tullybeg has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 130 ranks him second of nine, so he's a leading threat off an official 110. The main risk is a form line reading ninth last time, unseated two starts back and winless in his last five, with 158 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

7
Gatsby Grey silks
Gatsby Grey
Age 10 · 11-0
06PPP-
106
79
137
10
11-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 40/1 33/1
Gatsby Grey has run over today's trip and going before, and a fresh 19 days since his last run helps, though he has been pulled up in his last three outings. Our top-rated runner on a figure of 136 against an official 106, he looks the one to beat on that gap.
AI verdict

SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

8
Pourquoi Poi silks
Pourquoi Poi
Age 5 · 10-9
3B3022
101
108
103
5
10-9
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 3/1 5/2
Pourquoi Poi has been competitive, with a second last time out and another two starts back, and he is fit after 10 days off, but he is yet to win in his last six and ranks last of nine on our figures. He has run over today's trip and going, though 149 lb looks a lot to carry.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Smallcraftwarning silks
Smallcraftwarning
Age 9 · 10-5
513411
97
113
106
9
10-5
★★★★☆
—
11/4 10/3 9/4
Hard to fancy near the foot of our ranking despite winning last time out and two starts back, as he turns out again just seven days later under 145 lb. He has run over today's trip and on the going, and his three wins in his last six starts command respect.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Anodandawink 7/2 open 3.25 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 Paddy Power
2 Charlie Luciano 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 Bet365
3 Sphagnum 33/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 Paddy Power
4 Clonbury Bridge 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 9.50 18/1 Paddy Power
5 Jukebox Johnny 11/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 3.50 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 11/4 Bet365
6 Tullybeg 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
7 Gatsby Grey 33/1 open 51.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Pourquoi Poi 3/1 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 Bet365
9 Smallcraftwarning 11/4 open 5.00 5/2 open 4.33 9/4 open 4.33 9/4 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 11/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Jukebox Johnny

Live signal

Jukebox Johnny owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (59) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Henry de Bromhead Darragh O'Keeffe
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Anodandawink

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Ciaran Murphy
✓ Value Signal

Gatsby Grey

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Oliver McKiernan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Jukebox Johnny
63.2 11/4
2 1. Anodandawink
60.1 7/2
3 8. Pourquoi Poi
59.9 3/1
4 9. Smallcraftwarning
59.7 11/4
5 4. Clonbury Bridge
50.2 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Smallcraftwarning
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 6 · 11-5
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾 —

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 9 · 10-5
11/4
★★★★☆ SR 113 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Age 5 · 10-9
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾 —

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 11-12
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 113 🐾 —

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 10 · 11-7
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 7 · 11-11
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Smallcraftwarning
Confidence: Speculative

Smallcraftwarning (SR:113, 10/3) shares the top SR in the field but carries the lightest weight of the leading contenders at 10-5 — a meaningful 21lb edge over top-weight Anodandawink and 14lb less than Jukebox Johnny. The form string 513411 is the most consistent and progressive in the race, with back-to-back wins in the rightmost positions, and DistFit:+ confirms genuine stamina over this 3m+ trip. The MarkMv:-8 indicates the mark has dropped since its last win, a further structural advantage. The GoingFit:- is the one flag to respect, but on good ground today rather than extremes, the weight-in-hand and current winning form outweigh the going concern. Each-way alternative: Jukebox Johnny. Main danger: Pourquoi Poi — Pourquoi Poi (SR:108, 3/1) carries just 10-9, has shortened 13% in the market alongside Jukebox Johnny, and at age 5 is young enough to be still improving — the GoingFit:- is a concern but the weight and market confidence make it a genuine threat.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- is a concrete flag against Smallcraftwarning on today's good ground — its HG code 't' (tight/testing) suggests it needs cut in the ground, and good ground at Fairyhouse in October is a gen…
  • Age 9 with a 7-day turnaround after a win is a red flag for a staying chaser at 3m+; bounce risk is elevated when horses are asked to back up so quickly at this stage of their career.
  • Market has not shortened Smallcraftwarning (no Mkt:in flag), while shorter-priced rivals Jukebox Johnny and Pourquoi Poi both show Mkt:in13% — the market is actively pointing away from this selection.
  • Trainer John Patrick Ryan at 8% and jockey Daniel King at 10% represent a modest combination for a competitive handicap at Fairyhouse; de Bromhead (16%) on Jukebox Johnny and Flynn (9%) on the market…
Shortlist Smallcraftwarning, Jukebox Johnny, Anodandawink, Pourquoi Poi
Each-way: Jukebox Johnny Danger: Pourquoi Poi

🗺 The Course Race conditions

3m0f104y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Fairyhouse Track and setting