Chepstow 13:35 RESULTED
Class 4 10 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Juvenile Hurdle Race (gbb Race)

Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Juvenile Hurdle Race (gbb Race) · 2m0f16y

Official Result

Dragonbet Best Odds Guaranteed Juvenile Hurdle Race (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Whistling Dave (IRE) Charlie Todd · Dan Skelton
    33/1
  2. 11/1
  3. 9/4
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–16:50 · 7 races

York

13:30–17:07 · 7 races

Chepstow

13:35–17:10 · 7 races

Naas

13:40–17:15 · 7 races

Hexham

13:43–17:30 · 7 races

Fairyhouse

13:58–17:35 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Confused silks
Confused
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
81
—
3
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 7/2 13/2
Confused is unexposed and open to improvement, with no recorded form to go on, so he is a blank canvas. He returns after 75 days off and carries 154 lb, and he is yet to win.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Dundeelin silks
Dundeelin
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
51
—
3
11-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 12/1 40/1
Dundeelin is unexposed with no recorded form to go on, so this debut is a pure step into the unknown for the gelding. He carries 154 lb, and with a clean slate there should be improvement to come.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

3
Houndswood Willow silks
Houndswood Willow
Age 3 · 11-0
32
96
76
79
3
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 5/1 17/2
Houndswood Willow is in cracking nick, runner-up last time out and a third two starts back, and he returns after just 18 days, so he should be fit. Our rating of 79 makes him the one to beat, with 154 lb on his back the only slight concern.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Pass The Buck silks
Pass The Buck
Age 3 · 11-0
3
—
74
77
3
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 15/2 7/1
Pass The Buck was third last time out just 14 days ago, so he arrives fit and fresh, and he has run over today's trip before; our rating of 77 puts him second of 11. The one concern is the 154 lb he carries, with the horse yet to win in his recent form.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Roly Mo silks
Roly Mo
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
66
—
3
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 14/1 15/2
Roly Mo is an unexposed debutant with no recorded form, so there's plenty of scope for improvement. The gelding shoulders 154 lb, and a first outing will tell us far more than any profile can.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Sacre Chef silks
Sacre Chef
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
80
—
3
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
7/4 3/2 7/4
Sacre Chef is effectively unexposed, with no recorded form to go on, and returns after 216 days off. He carries 154 lb, and with so little on his page there is scope for improvement.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Solar Jet silks
Solar Jet
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
51
—
3
11-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
100/1 33/1 100/1
Solar Jet is unexposed with no recorded form to go on, so he's open to improvement. He returns after 114 days off and carries 154 lb, which makes this a hard one to pin down.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

8
Tokyo Tower silks
Tokyo Tower
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
85
—
3
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 2/1 9/4
Tokyo Tower is unexposed with no recorded form to go on, so any improvement is a bonus. He returns after 83 days off and carries 154 lb, a lightly raced profile that leaves him open to progress.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Valpovo silks
Valpovo
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
50
—
3
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 20/1 50/1
Valpovo is effectively unexposed, with no recorded form to go on, so he looks open to improvement. He returns after 98 days off and carries 154 lb, so he arrives fresh rather than race-sharp.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Whistling Dave silks
Whistling Dave
Age 3 · 11-0
—
—
52
—
3
11-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 12/1 22/1
Whistling Dave is totally unexposed, with no recorded form to go on, so he arrives for his debut with plenty of scope to improve. He carries 154 lb, and with nothing yet shown, everything here points to potential rather than proof.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

11
Two Steppin silks
Two Steppin
Age 3 · 10-7
P
—
53
—
3
10-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
200/1 FCST 150/1
Lightly raced and unexposed, Two Steppin was pulled up last time out just 14 days ago, so that run tells us little, and she remains yet to win with scope to improve; she carries 147 lb today.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 150/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Confused 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 Bet365
2 Dundeelin 50/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 50/1 Bet365
3 Houndswood Willow 17/2 open 6.00 10/1 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 Paddy Power
4 Pass The Buck 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 Bet365
5 Roly Mo 17/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 15/2 open 15.00 17/2 Bet365
6 Sacre Chef 7/4 7/4 open 2.50 7/4 7/4 15/8 7/4 15/8 William Hill
7 Solar Jet 100/1 open 34.00 150/1 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 150/1 Paddy Power
8 Tokyo Tower 5/2 open 6.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 5/2 Bet365
9 Valpovo 50/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 Paddy Power
10 Whistling Dave 28/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
11 Two Steppin 200/1 open 151.00 150/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 — 200/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tokyo Tower

Speculative

Tokyo Tower owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Jack Tudor
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sacre Chef

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/4 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Dundeelin

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Harry Derham
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Tokyo Tower
55.8 5/2
2 6. Sacre Chef
53.9 7/4
3 3. Houndswood Willow
51.9 17/2
4 1. Confused
51.5 13/2
5 4. Pass The Buck
49.3 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Tokyo Tower
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 3 · 11-0
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 11-0
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 11-0
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 11-0
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 11-0
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 11-0
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Tokyo Tower
Confidence: Speculative

Tokyo Tower leads the field with SR:85 and is the only runner showing genuine market confidence — a 17% move in from opening (Mkt:in17%) is a meaningful signal in a juvenile hurdle where stable intelligence matters enormously, as these horses are largely unexposed over jumps. At 9/4 with Jack Tudor booked (14% strike rate across 972 rides), the connections package is solid. By contrast, market-favourite Sacre Chef (SR:80, 15/8) has drifted 6% and the Skelton yard has split their focus across three runners here — Sacre Chef gets Harry Skelton (26%) which is the yard's #1 signal, but the drift and lower SR compared to Tokyo Tower tip the balance. Tokyo Tower's headgear (tongue-tie, HG:t) suggests connections know something about how to get the best from this horse on debut over hurdles. Each-way alternative: Sacre Chef. Main danger: Sacre Chef — Harry Skelton (26% career strike rate, 1665 rides) is the Skelton yard's clear #1 booking and Sacre Chef holds the second-highest SR in the field at 80 — if the 6% drift is simply market noise rather than negative stable confidence, it remains a major threat at 15/8.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Tokyo Tower is on a 83-day break making its hurdles debut — no evidence it handles obstacles, and the layoff suggests there may have been a reason for the absence.
  • Trainer Greenall & Guerriero strike rate of 15% is notably below Skelton's 22%, and Jack Tudor at 14% is a clear step down from Harry Skelton (26%) riding market-rival Sacre Chef.
  • The tongue-tie fitted first time over hurdles could as easily signal a horse that pulls or has breathing issues as one 'connections know how to place' — a potential red flag on debut.
  • Sacre Chef at 15/8 is still marginally shorter in the market and carries a SR of 80 with the yard's #1 jockey — Tokyo Tower at 9/4 is actually second in the market, not the outright market leader the…
Shortlist Tokyo Tower, Sacre Chef, Confused
Each-way: Sacre Chef Danger: Sacre Chef

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m0f16y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade