Fairyhouse 17:00 RESULTED
10 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Protection & Prosperity Financial Services Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle

Protection & Prosperity Financial Services Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle · 2m0f0y

Official Result

Protection & Prosperity Financial Services Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Granlahan (IRE) Darragh O'Keeffe · Adrian McGuinness
    10/11F
  2. Second Liceo (FR)
    16/1
  3. 17/2
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–16:50 · 7 races

York

13:30–17:07 · 7 races

Chepstow

13:35–17:10 · 7 races

Naas

13:40–17:15 · 7 races

Hexham

13:43–17:30 · 7 races

Fairyhouse

13:58–17:35 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 16 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Certamen silks
Certamen
Age 5 · 12-0
56-0P7
100
78
103
5
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 9/1 11/1
Certamen was seventh last time out and pulled up two starts back, so he is winless in his last five and returns after 43 days off. He has run over today's trip and going and carries 168 lb off 100, while our rating of 103 ranks him fourth of 16.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Jurality silks
Jurality
Age 5 · 12-0
604-27
100
89
100
5
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 15/2 11/1
Fit after just 12 days off, Jurality has run over today's trip and on this going, and a second two starts back shows he can bounce back from a seventh last time out. Carrying 168 lb off an official mark of 100 is a reservation, but his overall profile earns the selection.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Liceo silks
Liceo
Age 6 · 12-0
-93535
100
88
104
6
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 8/1 12/1
Liceo is a leading threat, having finished third two starts back and fifth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 104 ranks him second of 16. The main risk is a 63-day absence, with 168 lb to carry and yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Champagne Dawn silks
Champagne Dawn
Age 9 · 11-12
00P-75
98
85
104
9
11-12
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 14/1 17/2
Fit after a nine-day turnaround and a fifth last time out, this gelding has run over today's trip and on the going, and our rating of 104 ranks him top of 16. The risk is a winless run in his last five starts, now carrying 166 lb.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Fairy Meadow silks
Fairy Meadow
Age 9 · 11-10
F/038
96
68
91
9
11-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 12/1 33/1
Fairy Meadow was eighth last time out after a third two starts back, and he is yet to win in his last four outings, though 22 days since that run and previous experience of today's going are mild positives. Carrying 164 lb off 96, he looks held, with our rating of 91 ranking him tenth of sixteen.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Undertheinfluence silks
Undertheinfluence
Age 5 · 11-8
8960
94
77
93
5
11-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 11/1 25/1
Unplaced last time out and yet to win in his last four, Undertheinfluence has run over today's trip and going before and is fresh enough after 21 days, but a sixth, a ninth and an eighth in that sequence, plus 162 lb off 94, leave him a midfield type, with our rating of 93 offering little more.
AI verdict

SR 77 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

7
Wee Fallon silks
Wee Fallon
Age 4 · 11-8
87-04
95
58
76
4
11-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 16/1 28/1
Wee Fallon is winless in his last four, finishing fourth last time out after an unplaced run, a seventh and an eighth before that, and he returns after 43 days. He has run on today's going and that fourth is a fair sign, but 162 lb off 95 is a big ask, and our 76 ranks him last of 16.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

8
Hesasmoothoperator silks
Hesasmoothoperator
Age 8 · 11-6
42/06-
92
80
96
8
11-6
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 15/2 9/2
Sixth last time out and a second three starts back sit alongside a 274-day absence, so fitness is the question for this winless gelding, who has run over today's trip and on the going before. Our rating of 96 is a little above his official 92, but 160 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Pahlavi silks
Pahlavi
Age 9 · 11-12
P56341
91
92
98
9
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 3/1 9/2
Won last time out and back just one day later, Pahlavi has a fourth and a third behind him in recent starts, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 166 lb off an official mark of 91 is a stiff task, and our rating ranks him only sixth of 16.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Scary Askari silks
Scary Askari
Age 6 · 11-5
860-30
91
80
97
6
11-5
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 10/1 20/1
Without a win in his last five, Scary Askari did sign off with a third two starts back before going unplaced last time, 21 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 159 lb off an official mark of 91 is a hurdle, though our rating of 97 puts him seventh of 16.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Ancient Myth silks
Ancient Myth
Age 5 · 11-3
00007P
89
62
86
5
11-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 14/1 22/1
Ancient Myth is hard to fancy, pulled up last time out and yet to win in his last six starts, with a seventh two starts back his best finish in that run. He has run on today's going and is back quickly after 12 days, but 157 lb is a big ask, and our rating of 86 puts him 13th of 16.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

12
Granlahan silks
Granlahan
Age 4 · 10-13
624222
86
100
90
4
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
11/10 11/4 10/11
Granlahan arrives quick off the mark six days after a second last time out, and he has been runner-up in three of his last four starts, yet he remains winless in his last six. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 90 sits above his official 86, though carrying 153 lb and ranking only 11th of 16 keeps him in the midfield.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Zaryagle silks
Zaryagle
Age 5 · 10-12
596P-0
84
62
103
5
10-12
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 33/1 40/1
Zaryagle has run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 103 ranks him third of 16, well clear of his official 84 off 152 lb, so he looks a leading threat. The risk is a poor recent run: unplaced last time, pulled up before that, after 64 days off and with a yard 0 from 32.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Crypto Crash silks
Crypto Crash
Age 5 · 10-11
-69F1R
83
73
83
5
10-11
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 10/1 18/1
Crypto Crash refused last time out and fell three starts back, so reliability is a concern, though he did win two starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Ranked 14 of 16 on our figures, he looks hard to fancy carrying 151 lb.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Chesterbaylad silks
Chesterbaylad
Age 5 · 10-8
027418
80
84
81
5
10-8
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 15/2 10/1
Chesterbaylad was eighth last time out 45 days ago, and a winner two starts back is the main plus, with experience of today's trip and going. Carrying 148 lb off an official rating of 80, he looks hard to fancy, ranked 15th of 16 on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

16
Vairue silks
Vairue
Age 10 · 10-8
09/7F9
80
61
88
10
10-8
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 18/1 28/1
Vairue is hard to fancy, winless in his last five with a ninth last time out, a fall two starts back and a seventh three starts back, and he returns after 55 days off. He has run over today's trip and going and our rating puts him 12th of 16, with 148 lb to carry off 80.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Certamen 12/1 open 26.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
2 Jurality 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 Bet365
3 Liceo 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 16/1 Coral
4 Champagne Dawn 10/1 open 15.00 17/2 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 10/1 Bet365
5 Fairy Meadow 33/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 40/1 Paddy Power
6 Undertheinfluence 25/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 12.00 28/1 open 12.00 28/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 28/1 Paddy Power
7 Wee Fallon 28/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 Paddy Power
8 Hesasmoothoperator 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 15.00 6/1 open 13.00 6/1 open 12.00 9/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 6/1 Coral
9 Pahlavi 9/2 open 4.00 5/1 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 Paddy Power
10 Scary Askari 20/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 22/1 Paddy Power
11 Ancient Myth 25/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365
12 Granlahan 11/10 open 4.33 1/1 open 3.75 evn open 4.00 evn open 4.00 evn open 4.00 10/11 open 4.00 11/10 Bet365
13 Zaryagle 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 50/1 Bet365
14 Crypto Crash 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 20/1 Coral
15 Chesterbaylad 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 Coral
16 Vairue 33/1 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Granlahan

Speculative

Granlahan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 Adrian McGuinness Darragh O'Keeffe
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Pahlavi

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · John Joseph Hanlon
✓ Value Signal

Undertheinfluence

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Noel C. Kelly
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 12. Granlahan
58.1 11/10
2 9. Pahlavi
57.6 9/2
3 8. Hesasmoothoperator
51.2 11/2
4 3. Liceo
50.7 12/1
5 4. Champagne Dawn
49.0 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Granlahan
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

12
Age 4 · 10-13
11/10
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾 —

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 9 · 11-12
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 8 · 11-6
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 9 · 11-12
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 5 · 10-8
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 12-0
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 12-0
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 12-0
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 5 · 10-11
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 6 · 11-5
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Granlahan
Confidence: Speculative

Granlahan (SR:100, 9/4) is the clear ability standout in this field, sitting 8 points clear of the next-best Pahlavi (SR:92) and carrying a favourable 10-13, a full stone lighter than the three 12-0 top-weights. The GoingFit:+ is the decisive edge — confirmed effectiveness on good ground in a race where every other realistic contender shows GoingFit:- or GoingFit:~. The Mkt:in16% steam from a 9/4 price speaks to informed confidence, and Darragh O'Keeffe (13% career strike rate, 1925 runners) is the best jockey booking in the field. The consistent form string 624222 shows a horse that never falls out of contention; in a 16-runner handicap hurdle with a weak overall SR ceiling, that reliability is premium. Each-way alternative: Chesterbaylad. Main danger: Pahlavi — Pahlavi (SR:92, 9/2) ran just one day ago — suggesting connections believe the horse is at peak fitness — and posted a last-out win (form P56341) with a MarkMv:= meaning no upward handicap hike to overcome, and GoingFit:~ gives it a workable ground profile even if connections' market drift of 13% is a concern.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 624222 shows a horse that consistently finishes second or third but cannot win — zero wins from last six starts is a glaring closing problem at the business end.
  • At age 4 in a 16-runner open handicap hurdle, Granlahan faces significantly more experienced rivals (including 8, 9 and 10-year-olds) with race-craft that could exploit a young horse's tendency to id…
  • The 9/4 market position means Granlahan is a short-priced favourite whose weight advantage (10-13) is partially offset by Chesterbaylad (10-8, SR:84) and Vairue (10-8) carrying even less; the weight…
  • Pahlavi (SR:92, ran just 1 day ago) may be tactically placed for a quick turnaround by a stable with a fresh runner signal, and though drifting, races off the same 11-12 mark with recent match-fitnes…
Shortlist Granlahan, Pahlavi, Chesterbaylad, Champagne Dawn
Each-way: Chesterbaylad Danger: Pahlavi

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m0f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
16 Confirmed runners
Fairyhouse Track and setting