Hitz Novices' Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 2m48y
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 131 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 119 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 121 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 125 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bogha Baiste | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 | 15/8 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 3/1 | 5/2 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Circle of Steel | 28/1 open 13.00 | 30/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 30/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Get On Son | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 19.00 | 8/1 open 17.00 | 8/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Happy Harrison | 80/1 open 101.00 | 66/1 open 101.00 | 66/1 open 101.00 | 66/1 open 101.00 | 50/1 open 101.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Hourman | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 4.33 | 6/4 open 4.00 | 6/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.33 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Mhordart | 66/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Rock Armour | 40/1 open 34.00 | 35/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Dark Tide Rising | evn open 1.91 | 1/1 open 1.67 | 4/5 open 1.62 | 4/5 open 1.62 | 1/1 open 1.73 | 11/10 open 1.62 | 11/10 Betfred |
| 9 Argentum | 80/1 open 67.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dark Tide Rising owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (89) and market confidence (49). There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Dark Tide Rising (SR:160, 1/1) is the standout on ability — a 29-point SR gap over the next best (Get On Son, SR:142) is substantial and reflects a clear class edge in this novice field. The horse is proven at both today's distance (DistFit:+) and on good going (GoingFit:+), the only runner in the field to confirm both positives, and holds course form (W0P1 at Hexham). Tom George's 18% career strike rate from 120 runners is the strongest in the field and the trainer regularly targets these qualifier series with prepared horses. The market drift of 14% from opening is a minor concern — likely reflect recency (only 8 days since last run) and a fall in the form string (F-4312) — but the recent sequence of 1-2 finishes either side of that fall shows the horse returning in fine fettle, and the 1lb weight concession to the field is trivial. Each-way alternative: Get On Son. Main danger: Get On Son — Get On Son (SR:142, 11/1) has steamed in 35% since opening — the strongest market move in the field — suggesting connections and/or informed money believe a one-run form line of '0-' drastically undersells this horse's ability, and at 11/1 the value is real if that confidence is justified.