Winter Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Beginners Steeplechase · 2m0f110y
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 87 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 83 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 90 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Glen Kiln | 8/13 open 1.30 | 8/13 open 1.33 | 4/7 open 1.33 | 4/7 open 1.33 | 8/13 open 1.33 | 8/13 open 1.33 | 8/13 Bet365 |
| 2 Minella Post | 17/2 open 34.00 | 8/1 open 19.00 | 8/1 open 21.00 | 8/1 open 21.00 | 17/2 open 21.00 | 8/1 open 21.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Takenasred | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Tatateo | 18/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Mo Ghille Mar | 12/1 open 34.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 21.00 | 11/1 open 21.00 | 11/1 open 21.00 | 11/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Manoir De Mirande | 10/3 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 10/3 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 10/3 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Glen Kiln owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (82) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 87 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 90 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Glen Kiln (SR 148, 2/5) is in a different class to every rival — the next-best SR in the field is Manoir De Mirande at 118, a 30-point gulf that is enormous on the 0-200 scale. While the form string U2186- includes some mixed figures, the U (unseated) is a non-finish and the 8 and 6 placings are contextually less alarming in a horse of this calibre stepping down to a beginners' chase. Brian Hayes (10%, 779 runners) is a competent booking, and at 2/5 the market is simply pricing in the SR dominance. Manoir De Mirande (7/2) is the only credible threat and is named as the danger — Elliott/Kennedy with DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on a 4-year-old showing 1-1-2-3 in recent starts is a properly progressive young horse, but SR 118 versus SR 148 is a gap that makes Glen Kiln the overwhelming selection. Each-way alternative: Manoir De Mirande. Main danger: Manoir De Mirande — Gordon Elliott's 4-year-old carries the lightest weight (11-3), boasts both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on today's conditions, and Jack Kennedy (23% career strike rate) is the sharpest jockey booking in the field — if Glen Kiln makes an error at the fence, Manoir De Mirande has the profile to capitalise.