Beerly A Winner Handicap Stakes · 1m6f21y
SR 65 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Halimede | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 So Alex | 15/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 7/1 | 8/1 William Hill |
| 2 Dust Cover | 5/2 open 5.50 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 3 L'Eagle Aid | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 Coral |
| 5 Knightsail | 7/1 open 13.00 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 13/2 | 15/2 Paddy Power |
| 6 Roker Roar | 17/2 open 4.50 | 9/1 open 5.50 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 8/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Neswick | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Cosmo Brown | 11/4 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.33 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 5/2 open 4.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dust Cover owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Dust Cover (SR 79, 2/1) matches Cosmo Brown at the top of the SR rankings but carries 5lb more weight (10-1 vs 9-4), yet that weight difference is offset by significantly superior course form — two wins and three places at Southwell is a powerful specialist record on an idiosyncratic AW track. The market has steamed in 29% from opening, the largest positive move in the field, suggesting connections are bullish. Dropping two class tiers means this is a much easier race than recent starts, and while the mark is 5lb higher than last win, the class relief more than compensates. GoingFit:~ is the one mild concern, but Southwell's Fibresand surface blunts going variation considerably. Each-way alternative: Cosmo Brown. Main danger: Cosmo Brown — Cosmo Brown (SR 79, 7/2) matches Dust Cover on ability rating and carries 11lb less weight (9-4), which is a meaningful physical advantage over 1m6f; Marco Ghiani's 16% career strike rate and a recent consistent form line of 836324 in stronger races suggests this horse is capable of stepping up when conditions ease.