Hexham 15:45 RESULTED
Class 3 10 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Cast Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Cast Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race) · 2m4f15y

Official Result

Cast Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Passing Diamond (IRE) Richie McLernon · Ben Haslam
    15/8
  2. 7/1
  3. 7/2
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–16:50 · 7 races

York

13:30–17:07 · 7 races

Chepstow

13:35–17:10 · 7 races

Naas

13:40–17:15 · 7 races

Hexham

13:43–17:30 · 7 races

Fairyhouse

13:58–17:35 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tiddesley Wood silks
Tiddesley Wood
Age 6 · 11-10
31341-
128
133
129
6
11-10
★★★★☆
—
15/8 FCST 7/4
Won last time out and a winner four starts back, with a third and a fourth in between, so Tiddesley Wood arrives a leading threat who has run over today's trip and going before. The one concern is a 210-day layoff, and he carries 164 lb.
AI verdict

SR 133 backed by market confidence at 2/1 — a genuine contender.

2
Ballykinlar silks
Ballykinlar
Age 7 · 11-7
2070-3
125
119
134
7
11-7
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 9/2 11/4
Ballykinlar finished third last time out, and a second five starts back shows he can go close, while he has run over today's trip and on this going before. Our top-rated runner at 134, he is yet to win in recent form and returns after 119 days off, but looks the one to beat off 161 lb.
AI verdict

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Passing Diamond silks
Passing Diamond
Age 6 · 11-6
-11311
124
129
125
6
11-6
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 Evs 7/4
Winner last time out and again two starts back, Passing Diamond has won four of his last five and finished third in the other, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The one risk is a 42-day break, with 160 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Passengerontheship silks
Passengerontheship
Age 7 · 10-5
115722
108
112
114
7
10-5
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 9/2 6/1
Passengerontheship arrives fresh from two seconds in a row, last time out and two starts back, and has won twice in his last six, so he looks a real threat after just 11 days off; he has run over today's trip and going, but a rating that ranks him 4 of 4 on our figures is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tiddesley Wood 15/8 open 2.75 7/4 open 3.50 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 15/8 Bet365
2 Ballykinlar 3/1 open 5.50 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 Bet365
3 Passing Diamond 15/8 open 2.63 7/4 open 2.00 15/8 open 2.25 15/8 open 2.25 2/1 open 2.25 15/8 open 2.25 2/1 William Hill
4 Passengerontheship 13/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tiddesley Wood

Live signal

Tiddesley Wood owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (74) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Adrian Keatley Brian Hughes
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Passing Diamond

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · Ben Haslam
✓ Value Signal

Passengerontheship

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

13/2 · Sam England
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
74 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +28.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Tiddesley Wood
70.5 15/8
2 3. Passing Diamond
67.6 15/8
3 2. Ballykinlar
62.8 3/1
4 4. Passengerontheship
61.7 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Tiddesley Wood
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 11-10
15/8
★★★★☆ SR 133 🐾 —

SR 133 backed by market confidence at 2/1 — a genuine contender.

3
Age 6 · 11-6
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 129 🐾 —

SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 7 · 11-7
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 119 🐾 —

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 10-5
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾 —

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Tiddesley Wood
Confidence: Speculative

Tiddesley Wood (SR:133, 2/1) is the highest-rated runner in a small 4-horse field and carries top-weight of 11-10 that reflects genuine ability advantage — 3lb clear of Passing Diamond on SR and 14lb clear of Passengerontheship. Brian Hughes (19% strike rate, 973 career rides) is a formidable booking, and the 4-star AI probability rating underlines the machine-derived confidence. While DistFit and GoingFit are both unknown, the form string 31341- shows consistent competitiveness at this level, and the dash (last run) rather than a poor finish digit does not signal a soundness alarm. Passing Diamond's 11% drift and MarkMv:+9 running off a higher mark after a class rise tempers its claims, leaving Tiddesley Wood as the most credible selection. Each-way alternative: Passing Diamond. Main danger: Passing Diamond — Passing Diamond (SR:129, 13/8) has Course:W2P3 at Hexham, proven DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+, and a recent form string of -11311 that shows a horse in peak form — the drift to 13/8 from a presumably tighter opening price is the only real concern, and the class rise plus higher mark may be fully absorbed by that course and distance expertise.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Tiddesley Wood's form string ends with a dash (last run unknown outcome/date absent), meaning we have no recent evidence of fitness — contrast with Passing Diamond who ran just 42 days ago and won, a…
  • Passing Diamond is actually shorter in the market at 13/8 vs Tiddesley Wood's 2/1, meaning the market disagrees with the SR-based pick — and Passing Diamond's -11311 form shows four wins or places in…
  • Passing Diamond holds a Course record of W2P3 at Hexham, giving it a strong course affinity advantage that Tiddesley Wood's data does not reflect, which is particularly significant on a tight, undula…
  • Tiddesley Wood carries top-weight of 11-10 — the heaviest in the field — and with GoingFit unknown, any soft or heavy autumn ground at Hexham disproportionately burdens the top-weighted horse versus…
Shortlist Tiddesley Wood, Passing Diamond, Ballykinlar
Each-way: Passing Diamond Danger: Passing Diamond

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m4f15y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Hexham Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade