Emirates Autumn Stakes (Group 3) · 1m
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 94 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 82 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Al Jabbar | 6/1 open 7.50 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 13/2 Paddy Power |
| 2 Clash of Hearts | 125/1 open 41.00 | 200/1 open 51.00 | 150/1 open 51.00 | 150/1 open 51.00 | 150/1 open 51.00 | 150/1 open 51.00 | 200/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Mia Fantasia | 16/1 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Notable Dream | 10/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Rock Montreal | 11/10 open 2.50 | 11/10 open 2.50 | 11/10 open 2.50 | 11/10 open 2.50 | 11/10 open 2.63 | 11/10 open 2.50 | 11/10 Bet365 |
| 6 Sergei Diaghilev | 11/4 open 3.50 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 2.88 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 7 Sole Ambition | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sergei Diaghilev owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 94 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Rock Montreal (SR 112, 11/10) holds the second-highest SR in the field and is trained by Roger Varian — a yard running at 20% career strike rate — with William Buick booked, himself operating at 25%. The market has shortened 17% since opening, which is meaningful Ante-Post confidence for a 2yo at Group 3 level, and the form of 1-2 shows a debut win followed by a runner-up, suggesting a progressive type on an upward trajectory. While DistFit and GoingFit are both unproven (?), this is the same position as most rivals in a lightly-raced juvenile field, so the advantage is nullified. The key edge over Sergei Diaghilev (SR 120) is the market: Diaghilev has drifted 8% from opening while Rock Montreal has steamed in 17%, suggesting handlers and informed money are siding with Varian's runner despite the SR gap. Each-way alternative: Al Jabbar. Main danger: Sergei Diaghilev — Sergei Diaghilev holds the highest SR in the field at 120 with Ryan Moore booked and a proven GoingFit on Good ground, and while the 8% market drift is a concern it may simply reflect O'Brien's vast team rather than any negative stable signal — if the drift is noise rather than information, his superior SR makes him the most likely winner.