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20:30 Southwell (AW) 10 Oct 2026 Gents Night Saturday 24th October Handicap Stakes

  • 13 Runners
  • Class 5 Class
  • 1m4f14y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

John T

Callum Hutchinson Jonathan Portman

46SR 77RPR 75OR 14/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+25 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 47 +6

Going Record

on Good
56%
✓ Proven

1 win, 4 placed · 9 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 37% -4

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Callum Hutchinson 118 wins from 982 rides 12 WIN %
  • Jonathan Portman 126 wins from 960 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 6 together 0WIN %
2

Flightofthephoenix

Dougie Costello Charles Hills

77SR 76RPR 73OR 11/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-48 pts trend
↘ Fading 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 66 · Field avg 47 +19

Going Record

on Good
53%
✓ Proven

1 win, 7 placed · 15 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 37% +13

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Dougie Costello 90 wins from 885 rides 10 WIN %
  • Charles Hills 181 wins from 1248 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 6 together 17WIN %
3

Lilly Lux

Callum Shepherd George Baker

77SR 81RPR 73OR 5/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+23 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 62 · Field avg 47 +15

Going Record

on Good
58%
✓ Proven

1 win, 6 placed · 12 runs

This runner 86% · Field avg 37% +49

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Callum Shepherd 259 wins from 1697 rides 15 WIN %
  • George Baker 51 wins from 495 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 22 together 9WIN %
4

Masterly

Jack Callan Charlie Johnston

56SR 66RPR 72OR 14/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 39 · Field avg 47 -8

Going Record

on Good
25%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 37% -37

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Jack Callan 114 wins from 837 rides 14 WIN %
  • Charlie Johnston 336 wins from 2578 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 11 wins from 65 together 17WIN %
5

Dream Harder

Charles Bishop Mark Loughnane

71SR 83RPR 72OR 14/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-30 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 47 -7

Going Record

on Good
35%
~ Mixed

6 wins, 14 placed · 57 runs

This runner 37% · Field avg 37% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Charles Bishop 152 wins from 1542 rides 10 WIN %
  • Mark Loughnane 128 wins from 1275 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 6 together 0WIN %
6

Domination

Oisin McSweeney Harriet Bethell

85SR 86RPR 75OR 5/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 64 · Field avg 47 +17

Going Record

on Good
45%
~ Mixed

3 wins, 2 placed · 11 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 37% -4

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Oisin McSweeney 67 wins from 641 rides 10 WIN %
  • Harriet Bethell 59 wins from 290 runners 20 WIN %
  • Pairing 4 wins from 26 together 15WIN %
7

American State

Luke Morris Ivan Furtado

50SR 74RPR 68OR 25/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-10 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 47 -7

Going Record

on Good
30%
~ Mixed

3 wins, 3 placed · 20 runs

This runner 31% · Field avg 37% -6

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Luke Morris 376 wins from 3091 rides 12 WIN %
  • Ivan Furtado 103 wins from 1059 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 12 together 0WIN %
8

Bondi

Zak Wheatley Declan Carroll

40SR 73RPR 68OR 28/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-25 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 47 -9

Going Record

on Good
18%
✗ Avoid

2 wins, 0 placed · 11 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 37% -37

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Zak Wheatley 56 wins from 571 rides 10 WIN %
  • Declan Carroll 68 wins from 635 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 47 wins from 411 together 11WIN %
9

Melody de Vega

Marco Ghiani Tom Ward

80SR 81RPR 73OR 4/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-28 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 51 · Field avg 47 +4

Going Record

on Good
55%
✓ Proven

1 win, 5 placed · 11 runs

This runner 67% · Field avg 37% +30

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Marco Ghiani 276 wins from 1721 rides 16 WIN %
  • Tom Ward 70 wins from 653 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
10

Seacole

Rhys Clutterbuck Ralph Beckett

64SR 74RPR 72OR -Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-8 pts trend
→ Steady 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 56 · Field avg 47 +9

Going Record

on Good
80%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 4 placed · 5 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 37% +63

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Rhys Clutterbuck 94 wins from 835 rides 11 WIN %
  • Ralph Beckett 334 wins from 1736 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 16 wins from 58 together 28WIN %
11

Grand Pier

Edward Greatrex Warren Greatrex

60SR 74RPR 72OR 25/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+40 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 47 +3

Going Record

on Good
12%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 8 runs

This runner 17% · Field avg 37% -20

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Edward Greatrex 134 wins from 942 rides 14 WIN %
  • Warren Greatrex 114 wins from 781 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 19 wins from 150 together 13WIN %
12

Honouramongthieves

Rory Cleary C. W. J. Farrell

62SR 80RPR 70OR 7/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 47 -22

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 37% -37

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • R. P. Cleary 49 wins from 859 rides 6 WIN %
  • C. W. J. Farrell 7 wins from 131 runners 5 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 50 together 6WIN %
13

A Daughters Love

Darragh Keenan David Flood

39SR 62RPR 61OR 80/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 47 -19

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

3 wins, 3 placed · 18 runs

This runner 31% · Field avg 37% -6

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Darragh Keenan 130 wins from 1318 rides 10 WIN %
  • David Flood 9 wins from 82 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 5 together 0WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
5 Steamers
7 Drifters
1 Flat