Naas Farm Machinery Handicap · 0m5f0y
SR 85 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Keke | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Stag Night | 7/1 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Bounty | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 9.00 | 20/1 open 9.00 | 20/1 open 9.00 | 20/1 open 9.00 | 20/1 open 9.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Gazelle d'Or | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Unauthorized | 7/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 Paddy Power |
| 6 Allsortz | 14/1 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Cuban Grey | 9/1 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 12.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Bay Of Supremacy | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Gerrit's Gem | 4/1 open 13.00 | 4/1 open 15.00 | 4/1 open 11.00 | 4/1 open 11.00 | 4/1 open 11.00 | 4/1 open 11.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Harry's Hill | 33/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Apache Outlaw | 4/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Apache Outlaw owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 85 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Unauthorized (SR:86, 5/1, 9-11) is the pick on the strength of a 16% market move in — the sharpest steaming in this field — combined with a competitive SR of 86 that sits right at the top of the field alongside Stag Night. As a 3-year-old from Aidan Melia's yard (15% strike rate, the best in the field), the form string '-71827' shows a recent placed run in the seventh position then a marked improvement to second last time, and the apprentice claimer's 5lb allowance gives a meaningful weight edge: 9-11 against Keke's 10-3 represents a massive 6lb swing in real terms. While DistFit:- and GoingFit:? are flags, the market confidence is too loud to ignore and the weight advantage in this soft-ground five-furlong contest is material. Each-way alternative: Stag Night. Main danger: Stag Night — Stag Night (SR:87, 5/1, GoingFit:+) is the highest-rated horse in the field with a confirmed liking for soft ground and course form (W2P3 at Naas), and though it has drifted slightly, the ability ceiling is the best here.