Chepstow 16:35 RESULTED
Class 4 10 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Dragonbet John Ayres Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race

Dragonbet John Ayres Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m7f131y

Official Result

Dragonbet John Ayres Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Tzarmix (FR) Ciaran Gethings · Alastair Ralph
    22/1
  2. Second Torrent (GB)
    15/2
  3. 7/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–16:50 · 7 races

York

13:30–17:07 · 7 races

Chepstow

13:35–17:10 · 7 races

Naas

13:40–17:15 · 7 races

Hexham

13:43–17:30 · 7 races

Fairyhouse

13:58–17:35 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 18 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Reallyntruthfully silks
Reallyntruthfully
Age 7 · 12-2
/16P4-
122
104
124
7
12-2
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 11/1 11/2
Reallyntruthfully signed off with a fourth last time out and has a win four starts back, while he has run on today's going and carries 170 lb. Our rating of 124 ranks him third of 18, but the main risk is a 181-day absence, so fitness is a worry.
AI verdict

SR 104 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Jupiter Allen silks
Jupiter Allen
Age 7 · 12-1
4231P-
121
101
125
7
12-1
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 10/1 14/1
Jupiter Allen is a winner two starts back, with a third and a second before that, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before; a pulled-up last time and 210 days off are the reservations, but 169 lb and a 121 mark leave him with a case.
AI verdict

SR 101 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Magical King silks
Magical King
Age 7 · 12-1
55P33-
121
108
123
7
12-1
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 9/2 6/1
Back-to-back thirds last time out and two starts back show Magical King heading in the right direction, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 123 ranks him fourth of 18. The risk is a 196-day absence, with 169 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Freshers Week silks
Freshers Week
Age 5 · 11-12
2333P-
118
96
119
5
11-12
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 9/1 11/1
Pulled up last time out and off 165 days since, but Freshers Week had been placed in all four runs before that, a third two starts back and a third three starts back, and has run over today's trip and going. Winless in his last five and carrying 166 lb, he's a midfield sort.
AI verdict

SR 96 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Got A Dream silks
Got A Dream
Age 7 · 11-11
/1161-
117
113
116
7
11-11
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 5/1 6/1
Three wins in his last four starts, including a winner last time out, is eye-catching form, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but 176 days off is a long absence and 165 lb is a big burden. Our rating of 116 ranks him tenth of 18.
AI verdict

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Gold For Alec silks
Gold For Alec
Age 6 · 11-9
P31-76
115
103
116
6
11-9
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 11/1 10/1
Gold For Alec won three starts back but has since finished a seventh, then a sixth last time out, so the form is cooling. He has run over today's trip and on this going, and 15 days since his last outing is fine, though 163 lb is a hefty burden for a mid-ranked runner.
AI verdict

SR 103 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Into The Park silks
Into The Park
Age 7 · 11-9
P347-4
115
108
126
7
11-9
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 12/1 11/2
Fourth last time out and a third four starts back give him a solid base, and he has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 126 puts him top of 18. The risk is a 155-day absence, plus 163 lb on an official mark of 115, with him yet to win in his last five.
AI verdict

SR 108 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Golden Maverick silks
Golden Maverick
Age 6 · 11-9
1F/5-2
115
89
118
6
11-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 12/1 20/1
Golden Maverick was second last time out, and he won four starts back, though a fall three starts back and a fifth two runs ago muddy the picture. He has run on today's going, but 78 days off and 163 lb are what hold him back, and our 118 ranks him seventh of 18.
AI verdict

SR 89 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

9
Punxsutawney Phil silks
Punxsutawney Phil
Age 9 · 11-7
60142/
113
84
116
9
11-7
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 16/1 20/1
Punxsutawney Phil was second last time out, and a winner three starts back, with a fourth two starts back, and he returns fresh enough after 23 days; he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 161 lb off 113 is a burden, and our rating of 116 ranks him only 11th of 18.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Balboa silks
Balboa
Age 6 · 11-7
331-43
113
102
111
6
11-7
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 8/1 15/2
Hard to fancy at 102 days since his last run and carrying 161 lb, with our figures ranking him 15th of 18, though a third last time out, a fourth two starts back and a winner three starts back show he has been competitive, and he has run on today's going.
AI verdict

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Tzarmix silks
Tzarmix
Age 8 · 11-6
12224-
112
102
113
8
11-6
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 8/1 16/1
Tzarmix was beaten into fourth last time and has been runner-up in three of the starts before that, but 171 days off and 160 lb on his back make him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank him 14th of 18.
AI verdict

SR 102 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Queens Venture silks
Queens Venture
Age 6 · 11-6
P-4225
112
87
116
6
11-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
SP 20/1 25/1
Fifth last time out after a pair of seconds, Queens Venture has been in the frame lately and has run over today's trip and going, but she is winless in her last five and returns after 36 days under a big 160 lb. Our rating of 116 puts her ninth of 18.
AI verdict

SR 87 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at -.

13
Jager Time silks
Jager Time
Age 7 · 11-3
-43213
109
100
107
7
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 10/1 14/1
Jager Time has been in the frame in four of his last five, including a win two starts back and a third last time out, and has run over today's trip and going before. At 157 lb, though, he carries a hefty weight, and our rating of 107 ranks him only 16th of 18.
AI verdict

SR 100 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Jaytee silks
Jaytee
Age 11 · 11-3
/503-6
109
78
118
11
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 22/1 50/1
Jaytee was sixth last time out, though a third two starts back shows he can still give a good account, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Winless in his last four, he carries 157 lb off 109 after 36 days off, with our rating of 118 ranking him sixth of 18.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Amatchmadeinheaven silks
Amatchmadeinheaven
Age 5 · 11-2
/014-4
108
98
106
5
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 12/1 17/2
Hard to fancy after 129 days off, and ranked 17 of 18 on our figures with 156 lb to carry. He was fourth last time out, and a fourth two starts back, and a winner three starts back, and has run on today's going before.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

16
Torrent silks
Torrent
Age 5 · 11-1
-45333
107
100
115
5
11-1
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 6/1 17/2
Three straight thirds, most recently 25 days ago, show Torrent is in good heart, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Yet to win in his last five starts, he carries 155 lb off 107, while our rating of 115 ranks him only 12th of 18.
AI verdict

SR 100 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Muskerry Rock silks
Muskerry Rock
Age 7 · 11-1
1221P3
107
89
113
7
11-1
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 12/1 20/1
Muskerry Rock was third last time out just 12 days ago, with a winner three starts back, but he was pulled up two starts back and carries 155 lb, a stiff burden. He has run over today's trip and going, though our figures rank him 13th of 18.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Faded Fantasy silks
Faded Fantasy
Age 7 · 10-6
-58548
98
81
105
7
10-6
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 14/1 18/1
Faded Fantasy is winless in his last five, finishing eighth last time out and never better than a fourth two starts back, which makes him hard to fancy at 146 lb off 98. He has run over this trip and on this going, and 25 days since his last run is no concern, but our figures rank him last of 18.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Reallyntruthfully 6/1 open 13.00 13/2 open 15.00 11/2 open 12.00 11/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 12.00 11/2 open 12.00 13/2 Paddy Power
2 Jupiter Allen 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 William Hill
3 Magical King 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 William Hill
4 Freshers Week 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 14/1 Ladbrokes
5 Got A Dream 7/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 10.00 13/2 13/2 7/1 open 7.50 13/2 7/1 Bet365
6 Gold For Alec 11/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 11/1 11/1 Bet365
7 Into The Park 13/2 open 15.00 11/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 11/2 open 13.00 13/2 Bet365
8 Golden Maverick 25/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 25/1 open 21.00 20/1 25/1 Bet365
9 Punxsutawney Phil 28/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 20/1 28/1 Bet365
10 Balboa 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 9.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 11/1 William Hill
11 Tzarmix 20/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 Bet365
12 Queens Venture 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 28/1 Paddy Power
13 Jager Time 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 William Hill
14 Jaytee 66/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 66/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 29.00 66/1 Bet365
15 Amatchmadeinheaven 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
16 Torrent 17/2 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 Betfred
17 Muskerry Rock 22/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 Bet365
18 Faded Fantasy 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 18/1 22/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Got A Dream

Live signal

Got A Dream owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/1 Nicky Martin Sean Houlihan
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Into The Park

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Max Comley
✓ Value Signal

Punxsutawney Phil

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Mark Walford
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +14.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
69 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Got A Dream
61.7 7/1
2 7. Into The Park
57.8 13/2
3 1. Reallyntruthfully
57.8 6/1
4 3. Magical King
57.3 6/1
5 15. Amatchmadeinheaven
56.0 9/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Got A Dream
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 7 · 12-2
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 104 🐾 —

SR 104 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 7 · 12-1
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾 —

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 7 · 11-9
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 108 🐾 —

SR 108 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 7 · 11-11
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 113 🐾 —

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

16
Age 5 · 11-1
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 100 🐾 —

SR 100 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 5 · 11-2
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾 —

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 6 · 11-7
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 102 🐾 —

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 11-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 103 🐾 —

SR 103 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 11-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 96 🐾 —

SR 96 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 7 · 12-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾 —

SR 101 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 7 · 11-3
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 100 🐾 —

SR 100 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 8 · 11-6
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 102 🐾 —

SR 102 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Got A Dream
Confidence: Speculative

Got A Dream (SR:113, 13/2, 11-11) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a meaningful margin and carries a favourable weight relative to that ability advantage. The form string /1161- shows a sequence of wins before the last run, and crucially the horse holds Course:W1P1 at Chepstow — proven course form on a specialist track is a genuine edge in an 18-runner handicap. Trainer Nicky Martin runs at a strong 23% strike rate from 77 runners, suggesting a well-managed yard that picks spots. The MarkMv:+2 is modest and not a significant burden, and ClassMv:= means no step up in class to worry about. The absence of GoingFit data (GoingFit:?) is the key risk, but the course form on what is a similar autumn Welsh track going profile partially mitigates this. Each-way alternative: Into The Park. Main danger: Into The Park — Into The Park (SR:108, 8/1) has steamed in dramatically — Mkt:in34% is by far the most aggressive market move in the field — and the MarkMv:-5 drop in mark gives it a genuine handicap edge, even though GoingFit:- is a concern the market appears to be dismissing.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Jockey Sean Houlihan's 8% strike rate over 565 rides is poor for a fancied runner in a competitive 18-runner handicap, and he lacks any recorded course wins at Chepstow.
  • Form string /1161- ends in a dash (last run a loss), with 176 days off since — a significant layoff before a busy 18-runner handicap on an autumn Welsh track that can ride testing.
  • GoingFit:? means no confirmed going preference data; if the autumn Chepstow ground is soft or heavy, this is a material unknown for a horse already returning from 176 days absent.
  • Into The Park (SR:108) has been heavily backed — in 34% — at 8/1 and is only 5lb inferior on a significantly lower weight, representing a live market rival that the market may be pricing more accurat…
Shortlist Got A Dream, Into The Park, Magical King, Reallyntruthfully
Each-way: Into The Park Danger: Into The Park

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m7f131y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
18 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade