Southwell (AW) 16:10 RESULTED
Class 6 10 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Carlsberg Danish Pilsner 1847 Handicap Stakes

Carlsberg Danish Pilsner 1847 Handicap Stakes · 1m13y

Official Result

Carlsberg Danish Pilsner 1847 Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner El Fox (GB) Luke Morris · Marco Botti
    10/1
  2. Second Volenti (IRE)
    11/2
  3. 66/1
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Southwell (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Borderline Madness silks
Borderline Madness
Age 4 · 9-9
-81065
55
50
56
4
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 9/1 6/1
Borderline Madness arrives off a fifth last time out and a sixth two starts back, with a winner four starts back the pick of her last five, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 135 lb from stall 14 after 28 days off, she's ranked eighth of 14 on our rating of 56, so she looks a midfield sort.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Potters Prince silks
Potters Prince
Age 4 · 9-9
-53452
55
62
53
4
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 11/2 10/3
Winless in his last five starts, Potters Prince is hard to fancy, though he was second last time out, 16 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before. Ranked 12th of 14 on our figures, he carries 135 lb from stall 1.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
El Fox silks
El Fox
Age 4 · 9-9
544-43
55
43
59
4
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
10/1 14/1 17/2
Consistent filly who finished third last time out, and a fourth two starts back, with a fourth three starts back too, she has run over today's trip and going and ranks second of 14 on our rating of 59. The risk is a 135-day absence, so fitness is the question for the 135 lb carrier from draw 9.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

4
Little Ted silks
Little Ted
Age 9 · 9-9
642215
55
44
54
9
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 FCST 14/1
Little Ted was a fifth last time out, nine days ago, after a win two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 135 lb from stall 12 he is hard to fancy, with our rating of 54 putting him eleventh of 14.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

5
Green Icon silks
Green Icon
Age 4 · 9-8
080731
54
60
57
4
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 4/1 5/1
Green Icon won last time out and was third two starts back, and the gelding returns fresh after 28 days having run over today's trip and going before. He carries 134 lb from draw 11, and our figures rank him fourth of 14, so he's preferred on overall profile.
AI verdict

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Cy Twombly silks
Cy Twombly
Age 4 · 9-7
409883
53
47
55
4
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 9/1 11/1
Fit after 11 days, Cy Twombly was third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but he's yet to win in his last six outings, with three finishes of eighth or worse before that. Carrying 133 lb from draw 3, he looks a midfield type, with our rating of 55 only tenth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Dumfries silks
Dumfries
Age 6 · 9-6
554432
52
59
57
6
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 5/1 7/1
Dumfries arrives fresh from a second last time out, with a third two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, but he is yet to win in his last six starts. Carrying 132 lb from draw 13, he sits fifth of 14 on our rating, so he looks a solid contender rather than a standout.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Ocean Force silks
Ocean Force
Age 5 · 9-6
755667
52
57
61
5
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 6/1 9/2
Ocean Force is yet to win in his last six, with finishes between fifth and seventh, but he's fit after 16 days, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 61 tops the field. The risk is that he carries 132 lb from stall four off an official mark of 52.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Beaming Light silks
Beaming Light
Age 6 · 9-5
560473
51
57
56
6
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 5/1 11/2
Beaming Light was third last time out, but he is yet to win in his last six starts and returns after 44 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 56 sits above his official 51, though 131 lb from draw 7 is no easy task.
AI verdict

SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Mercurius Power silks
Mercurius Power
Age 8 · 9-5
785254
51
48
56
8
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 14/1 11/1
Fourth last time out and a second three starts back show Mercurius Power is competitive, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he is winless in his last six and carries 131 lb from stall eight. Our rating of 56 ranks him ninth of 14, a midfield profile.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Al Suil Eile silks
Al Suil Eile
Age 10 · 9-4
70-645
50
44
57
10
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 12/1 16/1
Fit after 16 days off and a fifth last time out, with a fourth two starts back, Al Suil Eile is yet to win in recent form but has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 57 against an official 50 makes him a leading threat. The risk is 130 lb from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

12
Lightning Galaxy silks
Lightning Galaxy
Age 4 · 9-3
594864
49
27
52
4
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 14/1 25/1
Lightning Galaxy is winless in his last six, though a fourth last time out, 18 days ago, is his best recent effort, and he has run over today's trip and going. Ranked last of 14 on our figures, with a yard 0/27 lately, he's hard to fancy from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

13
Blue Collar Lad silks
Blue Collar Lad
Age 7 · 9-2
6-2704
48
33
56
7
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 33/1 50/1
Fourth last time out and a second four starts back show Blue Collar Lad can get involved, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he is yet to win in his last five and was unplaced two starts back. Our rating of 56 puts him seventh of 14, with 128 lb from stall 2 asking plenty.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

14
Volenti silks
Volenti
Age 7 · 9-1
343355
47
50
52
7
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 8/1 13/2
Volenti is winless in his last six, with fifths in his last two runs following a third three starts back, so he is hard to fancy at 13th of 14 on our figures. He has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after 15 days, but 127 lb from draw 10 asks plenty.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Borderline Madness 15/2 open 11.00 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 15/2 Bet365
2 Potters Prince 4/1 open 9.00 7/2 open 8.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 9/2 William Hill
3 El Fox 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 17/2 open 15.00 10/1 Bet365
4 Little Ted 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
5 Green Icon 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 Bet365
6 Cy Twombly 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Dumfries 8/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 8/1 Bet365
8 Ocean Force 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 5/1 Bet365
9 Beaming Light 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 11/2 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 6/1 William Hill
10 Mercurius Power 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 Paddy Power
11 Al Suil Eile 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
12 Lightning Galaxy 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 William Hill
13 Blue Collar Lad 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365
14 Volenti 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Green Icon

Speculative

Green Icon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 John & Rhys Flint Millie Wonnacott(5)
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Dumfries

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/1 · Ruth Carr
✓ Value Signal

Blue Collar Lad

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Daniel Steele
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Green Icon
49.5 5/1
2 7. Dumfries
47.2 8/1
3 9. Beaming Light
46.5 11/2
4 2. Potters Prince
46.5 4/1
5 14. Volenti
43.0 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Potters Prince
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 9-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-8
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 5 · 9-6
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 6 · 9-5
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Age 7 · 9-1
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-9
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-6
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-9
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾 —

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

10
Age 8 · 9-5
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾 —

SR 48 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾 —

SR 47 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 10 · 9-4
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾 —

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Age 9 · 9-9
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾 —

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Potters Prince
Confidence: Speculative

Potters Prince (SR:62, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and the only runner with a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's 1m13y trip, giving him a meaningful edge in a race where 12 of 14 rivals show DistFit:-. The market has reacted decisively — a 31% inward move to 4/1 from a trainer (Matt Crawley, 8%) whose strike rate alone doesn't inspire, meaning the money is talking louder than the yard's headline number. His form of 53452 shows consistent competitiveness at this level and his weight of 9-9 is manageable. The one concern is GoingFit:- on Good ground, but his SR advantage of 2-5 points over the next tier of contenders and his proven stamina at the trip should compensate. Each-way alternative: Beaming Light. Main danger: Beaming Light — Beaming Light (SR:57, 11/2) has shortened 13% in the market, carries a favourable MarkMv:-10, holds Course:W0P2 form at Southwell, and at 9-5 is 4lb lighter than Potters Prince — if the trip proves just beyond Potters Prince on Good going, Beaming Light's lighter weight and course familiarity make him the most dangerous alternative.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- on today's Good ground is a confirmed negative — Southwell AW typically rides faster in autumn and his form figures don't include an AW win (W0P1 at the course), raising doubts about surfa…
  • Trainer Matt Crawley strikes at only 8% — well below the field average — and Callum Shepherd's 15% SR with no course mention suggests the yard lacks the Southwell sharpness that handlers like Ruth Ca…
  • Green Icon (SR:60) is only 2 points behind, ran last 28 days, and was handicapped up 2lbs (MarkMv:+2) suggesting recent improvement, while Potters Prince's form of 53452 shows no win and a downward t…
  • The 31% market move to 4/1 makes Potters Prince a short-priced favourite in a 14-runner handicap, yet he carries top weight of 9-9 alongside Borderline Madness with no Course win, making the value ca…
Shortlist Potters Prince, Beaming Light, Green Icon, Dumfries
Each-way: Beaming Light Danger: Beaming Light

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m13y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade