Chepstow 17:10 RESULTED
Class 4 10 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Lsl Racing Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Lsl Racing Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race) · 2m0f16y

Official Result

Lsl Racing Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Northern Singer (IRE) Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton
    7/4F
  2. 5/1
  3. 5/2
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–16:50 · 7 races

York

13:30–17:07 · 7 races

Chepstow

13:35–17:10 · 7 races

Naas

13:40–17:15 · 7 races

Hexham

13:43–17:30 · 7 races

Fairyhouse

13:58–17:35 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Milly Ocean silks
Milly Ocean
Age 4 · 11-6
41-
—
108
102
4
11-6
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 3/1 5/2
Won last time out after a fourth two starts back, and Milly Ocean has run over today's trip before, making her the one to beat. A 171-day break and 160 lb are the reservations, but our 102 rating puts her top of the eight.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Farm Assured silks
Farm Assured
Age 5 · 11-0
1-P
—
90
—
5
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 11/1 14/1
Farm Assured is unexposed and open to improvement, having won two starts back before being pulled up last time out. She returns after 153 days off and carries 154 lb, so there is limited form to lean on.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Northern Singer silks
Northern Singer
Age 5 · 11-0
P1-
—
101
—
5
11-0
★★★★☆
—
9/4 5/6 7/4
Unexposed mare who won last time out after being pulled up the start before, so there's scope for more, though she returns after 167 days off and carries 154 lb. Lightly raced, she's open to improvement on what little form we have.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Hottentotta silks
Hottentotta
Age 4 · 10-13
—
—
69
—
4
10-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
200/1 25/1 150/1
Hottentotta is an unraced filly with no form to assess, so she's wholly unexposed and open to improvement. She carries 153 lb on her bow, and any step forward would be a bonus from a clean slate.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

5
Iconic Elsa silks
Iconic Elsa
Age 4 · 10-13
—
—
98
—
4
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 11/4 9/4
Iconic Elsa is unraced, so there's no form to go on and plenty of scope for improvement. She is an unexposed filly who carries 153 lb on debut, and she can only be judged on what she shows on the day.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
It's Luna Sea silks
It's Luna Sea
Age 4 · 10-13
—
—
69
—
4
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 14/1 33/1
Unraced and making her debut, It's Luna Sea is a blank canvas with no form to go on, so she is wholly unexposed and open to improvement. She carries 153 lb, and what she shows first time out will be the guide.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Molly des Bruyeres silks
Molly des Bruyeres
Age 4 · 10-13
7
—
77
89
4
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2 14/1 7/2
Only one recent run to go on, a seventh last time out 43 days ago, but she's yet to win in that spell and our rating of 89 puts her third of eight, making her a live threat at 153 lb. The main risk is that 153 lb burden after a break and a modest latest effort.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Saint Canary Rock silks
Saint Canary Rock
Age 4 · 10-13
5-
—
85
96
4
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 FCST 10/1
Fifth on her latest outing, Saint Canary Rock has run over today's trip and is rated second-best of eight on our figures, which makes her a leading danger at 153 lb. The one concern is a 189-day absence, so fitness is the question after such a long break.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Milly Ocean 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.00 11/4 William Hill
2 Farm Assured 16/1 14/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Bet365
3 Northern Singer 9/4 open 1.83 9/4 open 2.20 7/4 open 2.20 7/4 open 2.20 5/2 open 2.25 9/4 open 2.20 5/2 William Hill
4 Hottentotta 200/1 open 26.00 150/1 open 26.00 200/1 open 26.00 200/1 open 26.00 200/1 open 29.00 150/1 open 26.00 200/1 Bet365
5 Iconic Elsa 10/3 open 6.00 11/4 open 4.33 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 11/4 open 4.00 3/1 open 3.75 10/3 Bet365
6 It's Luna Sea 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 80/1 open 19.00 66/1 open 19.00 80/1 William Hill
7 Molly des Bruyeres 7/2 open 17.00 9/2 open 15.00 4/1 open 17.00 4/1 open 17.00 7/2 open 17.00 4/1 open 15.00 9/2 Paddy Power
8 Saint Canary Rock 18/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Iconic Elsa

Live signal

Iconic Elsa owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Milly Ocean

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Fergal O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

It's Luna Sea

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Chris Honour
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Iconic Elsa
60.5 10/3
2 1. Milly Ocean
60.0 5/2
3 3. Northern Singer
60.0 9/4
4 7. Molly des Bruyeres
53.1 7/2
5 2. Farm Assured
46.4 16/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Milly Ocean
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 5 · 11-0
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 101 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 4 · 11-6
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾 —

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 10-13
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾 —

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 10-13
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 11-0
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 10-13
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Milly Ocean
Confidence: Speculative

Milly Ocean (SR:108, 5/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and has shown a market move of 21% in — the sharpest positive market signal in the race. Trained by Fergal O'Brien (15% strike rate) with the yard booking Fern O'Brien, the combination of the clearest SR advantage and strong late market support makes her the standout. Her form of 41- includes a placing finish at a young age of 4, and she drops 11-6 in weight but still carries the most ability per pound of any runner here. Northern Singer is the key danger but her 28% market drift from the favourite price is a significant warning flag that cannot be ignored. Each-way alternative: Iconic Elsa. Main danger: Northern Singer — Northern Singer (SR:101) is trained by Dan Skelton (22% career strike rate) and ridden by Harry Skelton (26%), one of the most potent partnerships in jump racing, and despite the 28% drift from favouritism, raw connections quality means she cannot be dismissed entirely.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Milly Ocean's form reads '41-' — her most recent run is a pull-up (dash), which is a significant red flag and overrides the earlier placing when assessing current fitness and soundness.
  • Jockey Fern O'Brien is a 5lb claimer with a modest 14% strike rate from just 106 rides; in a race where Northern Singer has Harry Skelton (26% SR, 1665 rides) in the saddle, the riding experience gap…
  • Despite the 21% market move in, Milly Ocean is still trading at 5/2 — longer than Northern Singer's 13/8 — suggesting the market as a whole does not fully endorse her as the winner despite the late s…
  • Northern Singer, trained by Dan Skelton (22% SR), has a form figure of '1' and carries 11-0, and the 28% drift may reflect going or race-day conditions rather than genuine trainer pessimism — Skelton…
Shortlist Milly Ocean, Iconic Elsa, Northern Singer, Farm Assured
Each-way: Iconic Elsa Danger: Northern Singer

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m0f16y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade