Naas 14:50 RESULTED
10 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Irish Stallion Farms EBF Birdcatcher Premier Nursery Handicap

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Birdcatcher Premier Nursery Handicap · 0m5f205y

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Birdcatcher Premier Nursery Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Pink Venom (IRE) Ben Coen · J. P. Murtagh
    11/10F
  2. 9/2
  3. 22/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
La Tache silks
La Tache
Age 2 · 9-12
64144
88
92
99
2
9-12
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 4/1 15/2
La Tache has finished fourth in each of his last two starts either side of a win three starts back, and our rating of 99 ranks him top of eight, with his speed figure of 67 adding to the case. The main risk is a 35-day break, though he has run over today's trip and carries 138 lb from draw 2.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Equus Victor silks
Equus Victor
Age 2 · 9-11
5410
87
88
86
2
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 5/1 7/1
Quick back-up after eight days is a mild concern following an unplaced run last time, though Equus Victor won two starts back and has run over today's trip. Carrying 137 lb from stall eight, our rating of 86 ranks him sixth of eight.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Lars Soldier silks
Lars Soldier
Age 2 · 9-11
425510
87
91
98
2
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 13/2 9/2
Lars Soldier gets the nod on profile, a winner two starts back and fresh enough after 19 days off, with a run over today's trip behind him. Last time out was unplaced, but he carries 137 lb from stall six, and our rating of 98 backs him up.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Pink Venom silks
Pink Venom
Age 2 · 9-10
73311
86
106
97
2
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
5/4 3/2 11/10
Pink Venom arrives in cracking form, a winner last time out and again two starts back, and she's fresh enough after just 11 days; she has run over today's trip and going before. The one concern is the 136 lb she carries off an official rating of 86.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
I Ready silks
I Ready
Age 2 · 9-8
581420
84
76
89
2
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 10/1 25/1
A leading danger, having finished second two starts back and won four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on the going before. Our rating of 89 backs that up, but he was unplaced last time out and returns after 35 days, carrying 134 lb from draw 4.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
New Yorker silks
New Yorker
Age 2 · 9-8
1340
84
85
89
2
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 7/1 10/1
New Yorker won four starts back and was third three starts back, but he has faded since, a fourth two starts back and then unplaced last time, and he returns after 112 days off. He has run over today's trip and our rating has him fifth of eight, with 134 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Roeillaun silks
Roeillaun
Age 2 · 9-7
672310
83
86
83
2
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
11/1
Unplaced last time out after a win two starts back, Roeillaun is hard to fancy as the seventh-ranked of eight on our figures, and 133 lb from stall five is no help. Back in just 14 days, she has run over today's trip and showed enough in that run of form to keep her interesting.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Oristown Boy silks
Oristown Boy
Age 2 · 9-6
04137
82
90
80
2
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 15/2 5/1
Beaten into seventh last time out, Oristown Boy is hard to fancy as the bottom-ranked of eight on our figures, though he has a win three starts back and a third two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before. He races from stall one off 132 lb.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 La Tache 8/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 8/1 Bet365
2 Equus Victor 7/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 8/1 Paddy Power
3 Lars Soldier 5/1 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 8.00 5/1 Bet365
4 Pink Venom 5/4 open 2.75 11/10 open 2.63 11/10 open 2.63 11/10 open 2.63 11/10 open 2.63 11/10 open 2.50 5/4 Bet365
5 I Ready 25/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 12.00 28/1 Paddy Power
6 New Yorker 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 Paddy Power
7 Roeillaun 11/1 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 Bet365
8 Oristown Boy 11/2 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 11/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lars Soldier

Speculative

Lars Soldier owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Michael Mulvany Wesley Joyce
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Pink Venom

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/4 · J. P. Murtagh
✓ Value Signal

I Ready

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Paul W Flynn
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Lars Soldier
56.8 5/1
2 4. Pink Venom
56.6 5/4
3 2. Equus Victor
54.5 7/1
4 8. Oristown Boy
53.7 11/2
5 1. La Tache
51.5 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Pink Venom
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-10
5/4
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾 —

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-11
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 9-6
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-11
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-12
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-8
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 9-7
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Pink Venom
Confidence: Medium

Pink Venom (SR 106, 11/8) is the clear class leader in this field by a substantial margin — 14 SR points clear of the next-best Lars Soldier (SR 91) — and backs it up with a live form line of 73311, showing back-to-back wins into this race. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this trip, and a Mkt:in10% steam since opening shows market confidence rather than a false favourite. The MarkMv:+10 is the one caution — running off a mark 10lb higher than last win is a genuine penalty — but Ben Coen (11%, 1875 runners) is an accomplished booking and Murtagh's yard operates at 11% strike rate across a large sample, suggesting this is a yard that sends horses out ready. The weight of 9-10 is also manageable; she carries less than top-weighted La Tache (9-12) while holding a decisive SR edge over that rival. Each-way alternative: Oristown Boy. Main danger: Oristown Boy — Oristown Boy (SR 90, 11/2) has steamed in 28% in the market — the strongest move in the race — carries the lightest weight at 9-6, and a form line of 04137 shows a recent placed run at a course/class that warrants respect; the money clearly knows something and his light weight on soft ground is a real asset.

Case against 3
  • MarkMv:+10 means Pink Venom runs off a mark 10lb higher than her last win — a significant handicap rise for a 2yo filly that must now concede less weight to rivals than before.
  • Oristown Boy is steaming in 28% with a live form figure of 04137 (latest win) and carries just 9-6 — 4lb less than Pink Venom — representing a credible market-backed danger at bigger odds.
  • 11-day turnaround is tight for a 2yo filly coming off back-to-back wins; Murtagh's 11% strike rate means nearly 9-in-10 runners from the yard still get beaten, and quick returns don't always suit.
Shortlist Pink Venom, Oristown Boy, Equus Victor, La Tache
Each-way: Oristown Boy Danger: Oristown Boy

🗺 The Course Race conditions

0m5f205y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Naas Track and setting