York 14:40 RESULTED
Class 4 10 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Sky Bet Peter Nolan Handicap Stakes

Sky Bet Peter Nolan Handicap Stakes · 0m7f192y

Official Result

Sky Bet Peter Nolan Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Callianassa (IRE) Connor Beasley · Brian Ellison
    11/1
  2. 15/2
  3. 20/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–16:50 · 7 races

York

13:30–17:07 · 7 races

Chepstow

13:35–17:10 · 7 races

Naas

13:40–17:15 · 7 races

Hexham

13:43–17:30 · 7 races

Fairyhouse

13:58–17:35 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 20 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hale End silks
Hale End
Age 6 · 9-11
071427
80
59
84
6
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 22/1 50/1
Hale End showed his best with a second two starts back and a win four runs ago, and he has run over today's trip and going, but a seventh last time out and a stable 0/27 in the last 14 days temper enthusiasm. Our rating of 84 sits above his official 80, though he must carry 137 lb from stall 18.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Jez Bomb silks
Jez Bomb
Age 5 · 9-11
121756
80
52
77
5
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 20/1 28/1
Jez Bomb has finished sixth, fifth and seventh in his last three runs, a slide since winning four starts back, which makes him hard to fancy off 137 lb. He has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 16 days, but our rating of 77 ranks him 18th of 20.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Canvas silks
Canvas
Age 4 · 9-11
096221
75
86
85
4
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 13/2 5/1
Canvas won last time out and was second in each of the two runs before that, returning quickly after just five days and having run over today's trip and going. The main risk is a stable cold at 1/28 in the last 14 days, though our rating of 85 against an official 75 backs his case from draw 19.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Frankies Dream silks
Frankies Dream
Age 4 · 9-10
378842
79
81
86
4
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 8/1 13/2
Frankies Dream arrives in good heart after a second last time out, just 15 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before. Our rating of 86 ranks him third of 20, but he is yet to win in his last six starts and carries 136 lb from draw 13.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Financer silks
Financer
Age 5 · 9-10
147218
79
63
81
5
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 12/1 20/1
Financer won two starts back and took another success six starts back, but he was eighth last time out, 23 days ago, and carries 136 lb from stall 16. He has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 81 ranks him tenth of twenty.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Nyman silks
Nyman
Age 4 · 9-9
439151
78
74
81
4
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 8/1 14/1
Nyman arrives in fine heart, a winner last time out just seven days ago and a winner three starts back too, and he has run over today's trip before. Carrying 135 lb from stall nine, he sits only 11th of 20 on our rating of 81, which keeps him a midfield proposition.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Capital Guarantee silks
Capital Guarantee
Age 6 · 9-8
616630
77
52
80
6
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 18/1 28/1
Capital Guarantee was unplaced last time out, though he was third two starts back and a winner five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Fresh enough after 23 days off, he carries 134 lb from stall six, and our rating of 80 ranks him only 14th of 20.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Grey Soul silks
Grey Soul
Age 4 · 9-8
1-4116
77
60
77
4
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 28/1
Beaten into sixth last time out after a winner two starts back and another three starts back, he has plenty of recent wins, but 59 days off and 134 lb are hard to ignore. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our rating ranks him 17th of 20.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Dwindling Funds silks
Dwindling Funds
Age 5 · 9-8
219640
77
76
80
5
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 10/1 13/2
Unplaced last time out and just a fourth two starts back, though he won five starts back and was second six starts back, so the ability is there. Fit after 14 days, he has run over today's trip and going, but 134 lb from stall four and our 80 rating, 13th of 20, make him a midfield type.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Sailthisshipalone silks
Sailthisshipalone
Age 5 · 9-8
439331
77
80
88
5
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 11/1 10/1
Sailthisshipalone is our pick on profile: he won last time out, was third two starts back, and has run over today's trip and on this going before. Fresh enough after 23 days, though 134 lb is a notable burden from draw 15.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Mr King silks
Mr King
Age 6 · 9-8
671853
77
61
85
6
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 20/1 22/1
Mr King was third last time out, and he won four starts back, though a fifth two starts back and an eighth three starts back show the inconsistency. He's fit after 18 days, has run over this trip and on this going, and carries 134 lb from stall 11, with our rating of 85 ranking him sixth of 20.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Freddie Steady Go silks
Freddie Steady Go
Age 5 · 9-8
771884
77
72
90
5
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1
Fourth last time out and a winner four starts back, this gelding returns after 23 days having run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 90 ranks him top of 20. The risk is a pair of eighths in the two runs before that fourth, so consistency is the question from stall 17.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Metallo silks
Metallo
Age 5 · 9-7
464402
76
71
84
5
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 17/2 12/1
Metallo bounced back with a second last time out after an unplaced run, though he's yet to win in his last six and has finished fourth three times in that spell. He has run over today's trip, but 59 days off and 133 lb from stall five temper enthusiasm, and our rating of 84 puts him eighth of 20.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Weffaag silks
Weffaag
Age 3 · 9-7
0-321
79
92
80
3
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 5/2 10/3
Weffaag won last time out, with a second and a third before that, so the form is hardly poor, and he has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 21 days. Even so, 133 lb from draw 3 is a big ask, and our figures rank him just 15th of 20.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

15
Callianassa silks
Callianassa
Age 5 · 9-7
670683
76
73
82
5
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 16/1 12/1
Callianassa showed some life with a third last time out, though she is winless in her last six and was eighth two starts back, and she has run over today's trip. Our rating of 82 sits above her official 76, but the stable's 1/21 run is a worry from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Sunriseontheboyne silks
Sunriseontheboyne
Age 4 · 9-7
607811
76
77
78
4
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
11/1 10/1 11/1
Sunriseontheboyne arrives on a double, winning last time out and again two starts back, but those came after a run of eighth, seventh and unplaced efforts, and he's ranked 16th of 20 on our figures. He has run over today's trip and going, and 133 lb from stall two adds to the task.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

17
Tele Red silks
Tele Red
Age 9 · 9-6
212-47
75
68
85
9
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 FCST 18/1
Tele Red has run over today's trip and on this going, and he arrives fresh after 28 days with a win four starts back, but a seventh last time out and a fourth two starts back show his form tailing off. Our rating of 85 sits well above his official 75, though 132 lb from stall ten is no small ask.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Ganodin silks
Ganodin
Age 3 · 9-6
081319
78
38
47
3
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 25/1 66/1
Ganodin was beaten in ninth last time out, though he won two starts back and again four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 132 lb from stall 12, he is rated 47 by us, ranked 20 of 20, so he is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

19
Aqua Bear silks
Aqua Bear
Age 3 · 9-5
-40300
77
53
81
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 22/1 50/1
Aqua Bear is winless in his last five, with a third three starts back his best recent effort and unplaced in his last two, while 72 days off the track raises fitness questions. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 81 sits above his official 77, but he carries 131 lb from stall 20.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

20
Miss Lady Grace silks
Miss Lady Grace
Age 3 · 9-4
176118
76
72
77
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 20/1 18/1
Last time out she finished eighth, which makes her hard to fancy after a break from winning ways, though she did win two and three starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Ranked 19 of 20 on our figures, she carries 130 lb from draw 1.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Hale End 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 Bet365
2 Jez Bomb 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
3 Canvas 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 William Hill
4 Frankies Dream 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.00 13/2 open 10.00 7/1 William Hill
5 Financer 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 Bet365
6 Nyman 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.50 16/1 William Hill
7 Capital Guarantee 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Grey Soul 33/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365
9 Dwindling Funds 13/2 open 17.00 13/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 15.00 13/2 open 15.00 13/2 open 13.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 Bet365
10 Sailthisshipalone 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 12/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 12/1 William Hill
11 Mr King 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 William Hill
12 Freddie Steady Go 16/1 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 18/1 20/1 open 19.00 16/1 20/1 William Hill
13 Metallo 14/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 William Hill
14 Weffaag 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.50 4/1 William Hill
15 Callianassa 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 Bet365
16 Sunriseontheboyne 11/1 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 11/1 14/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 William Hill
17 Tele Red 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 18/1 open 21.00 22/1 William Hill
18 Ganodin 66/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 51.00 100/1 William Hill
19 Aqua Bear 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 80/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 80/1 William Hill
20 Miss Lady Grace 20/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 20/1 18/1 open 23.00 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Canvas

Speculative

Canvas owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Scott Dixon Kieran O'Neill
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Weffaag

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Hale End

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Michael Dods
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Canvas
56.3 5/1
2 14. Weffaag
55.3 10/3
3 4. Frankies Dream
51.6 13/2
4 9. Dwindling Funds
49.2 13/2
5 10. Sailthisshipalone
46.9 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Weffaag
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

14
Age 3 · 9-7
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-11
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-10
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 9-8
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 5 · 9-8
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 4 · 9-7
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

15
Age 5 · 9-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 5 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 5 · 9-8
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 9-10
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Age 9 · 9-6
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

20
Age 3 · 9-4
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Weffaag
Confidence: Speculative

Weffaag (SR:92, 11/4) is the clear class standout in this field — the SR-92 mark is meaningfully ahead of the next best Canvas at SR:86 and represents a significant ability edge in a Class 4 sprint handicap. The Haggas/Marquand combination is formidable (23% and 16% career strike rates respectively), and the form string 0-321 shows progressive improvement culminating in a last-time-out win, while DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this trip. Carrying 9-7 — not a punishing weight — and running off a mark only 2lb higher than the last winning mark, the handicapper hasn't hit hard. The only reservation is GoingFit:? on the soft, meaning soft-ground suitability is unproven, but at 11/4 with the class advantage this significant, the form and connections case is compelling. Each-way alternative: Canvas. Main danger: Canvas — Canvas (SR:86, 5/1) has steamed in 23% in the market, holds course form of W1P2 at York, and a last-time-out win (form ending -221) suggests peak fitness — the money looks meaningful and course specialists on soft ground can upset even class-superior rivals.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:? on soft is a genuine red flag — Weffaag's only headgear entry is 't' (tongue-tie), and with a form string built on 4 runs there is simply no soft-ground evidence; York's Knavesmire can rid…
  • Canvas (SR:86, 5/1) has a Course:W1P2 record and is just 5 days off a run — race-fit rival who knows York, is moving in the market (in23%), and closes the SR gap to only 6 points on going that could…
  • Weffaag is a 3-year-old stepping into a 20-runner handicap field dominated by experienced older sprinters; the juvenile form-string 0-321 is short (4 runs only), and the 0 opener plus the dash before…
  • Market support is notably absent — no Mkt: movement listed for Weffaag at all (no 'in' flag), while Canvas is in23% and Frankies Dream is in11%; at 11/4 favourite without confirming market confidence…
Shortlist Weffaag, Canvas, Dwindling Funds, Frankies Dream
Each-way: Canvas Danger: Canvas

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m7f192y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
20 Confirmed runners
York Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade