Hexham 16:20 RESULTED
Class 5 10 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Blaydon Races Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)

Blaydon Races Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier) · 1m7f133y

Official Result

Blaydon Races Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North One Man Series Qualifier)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mr Lincoln (GB) Sean Quinlan · Iain Jardine
    4/1
  2. 100/30
  3. 11/4J
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–16:50 · 7 races

York

13:30–17:07 · 7 races

Chepstow

13:35–17:10 · 7 races

Naas

13:40–17:15 · 7 races

Hexham

13:43–17:30 · 7 races

Fairyhouse

13:58–17:35 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Achille des Rocs silks
Achille des Rocs
Age 7 · 12-0
P-PP14
99
95
105
7
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 10/3 9/4
Achille des Rocs is a leading threat, having won two starts back and finished fourth last time out, just 26 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our 105 rating, second of seven, backs him, but the main risk is top weight of 168 lb after three pulled-up efforts earlier in his recent form.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Jet Renegade silks
Jet Renegade
Age 5 · 11-12
7-547P
97
65
106
5
11-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
125/1 25/1 100/1
Pulled up last time out, Jet Renegade has been without a win in his last five starts, but he has run over today's trip and on this going, returns after just 16 days and tops our ratings at 106 against an official 97, which makes him the one to beat despite carrying 166 lb.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

3
Prospect House silks
Prospect House
Age 8 · 11-11
1-4331
89
92
88
8
11-11
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 9/4 11/4
Prospect House won last time out and has a third, a third and a fourth in between before another win five starts back, yet he's quick back after six days and carries 165 lb, so our figures rank him last of seven. He has run over today's trip and going, which is about all that helps.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Langton Wold silks
Langton Wold
Age 7 · 11-9
322/54
94
90
100
7
11-9
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 4/1 9/1
Langton Wold has been in the frame in three of his last five, including two seconds, and returns quickly after 11 days, with experience of today's trip and going. Winless in that spell and a stable cold at 1/21, but his 100 rating ranks third of seven.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Mr Lincoln silks
Mr Lincoln
Age 6 · 11-9
2-3427
94
95
96
6
11-9
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 4/1 3/1
Mr Lincoln is yet to win in his last five, but a second two starts back and a third four starts back show he's competitive, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Off 42 days and carrying 163 lb, a seventh last time out hints at a drop in form, and our rating of 96 ranks him fifth of seven.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Athair Mor silks
Athair Mor
Age 7 · 11-9
62222-
94
102
92
7
11-9
★★★☆☆
—
9/4
Yet to win in his last five starts, Athair Mor was second in each of his latest four, but he returns after 243 days off and carries 163 lb, which makes him hard to fancy. Our figures rank him sixth of seven, though he has run on today's going before.
AI verdict

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Treaty Boy silks
Treaty Boy
Age 9 · 11-1
64354-
86
81
97
9
11-1
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 8/1 12/1
Treaty Boy has been consistent without a win, finishing fourth last time out, fifth two starts back and a third three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 97 sits well above his official 86, but 220 days off is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Achille des Rocs 11/4 open 5.00 3/1 open 4.33 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 3/1 Paddy Power
2 Jet Renegade 125/1 open 26.00 100/1 open 26.00 100/1 open 26.00 100/1 open 26.00 100/1 open 26.00 100/1 open 26.00 125/1 Bet365
3 Prospect House 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.25 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.33 10/3 3/1 10/3 Bet365
4 Langton Wold 12/1 open 5.00 11/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 12/1 Bet365
5 Mr Lincoln 7/2 open 9.00 7/2 open 7.50 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 4/1 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 William Hill
6 Athair Mor 9/4 open 4.00 5/2 open 3.25 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 5/2 9/4 open 3.50 5/2 Paddy Power
7 Treaty Boy 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Achille des Rocs

Speculative

Achille des Rocs owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 L J Morgan Danny McMenamin
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Athair Mor

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · Ewan Whillans
✓ Value Signal

Jet Renegade

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

125/1 · Andrew Wilson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Achille des Rocs
59.5 11/4
2 6. Athair Mor
59.2 9/4
3 5. Mr Lincoln
56.0 7/2
4 3. Prospect House
54.4 10/3
5 4. Langton Wold
50.5 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Athair Mor
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 7 · 11-9
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 102 🐾 —

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 12-0
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 8 · 11-11
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 11-9
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 11-9
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 9 · 11-1
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Athair Mor
Confidence: Speculative

Athair Mor (SR:102, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field, sitting 7 points clear of the next-best runners at SR:95. Crucially, the market has shortened 14% since opening, indicating informed money coming in despite no Days figure suggesting a fresh horse returning from a break — connections are confident. At 11-9, the weight is competitive and meaningfully below top-weight Achille des Rocs (12-0), who carries an extra 5lb for a modest SR:95. The consistent form string of 62222- shows Athair Mor is reliably hitting the frame, and a step up to a clear win is the logical progression here. Each-way alternative: Prospect House. Main danger: Achille des Rocs — Achille des Rocs (SR:95, 4/1) showed a recent 4th-then-1st sequence in latest form and Danny McMenamin (15% strike rate) is a strong pilot, though the 12-0 top weight on this going is a real concern.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 62222- shows Athair Mor has placed four consecutive times without converting — there is a clear pattern of underperforming at the finish when it matters most.
  • The trailing dash in the form string indicates a non-completion last time out, which is a red flag for jumping soundness or enthusiasm that 'no Days' figure cannot fully explain.
  • Prospect House (SR:92) ran just 6 days ago, arrives race-sharp with a recent win (form ending 1), and the market has NOT drifted on it — while Athair Mor's headgear note of 't' (tongue-tie) suggests…
  • Mr Lincoln (SR:95) is attracting significant market support (in 18%) at 9/2 with Sean Quinlan aboard — stronger jockey strike-rate than Craig Nichol — directly undermining the claim that Athair Mor i…
Shortlist Athair Mor, Achille des Rocs, Prospect House, Mr Lincoln
Each-way: Prospect House Danger: Achille des Rocs

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m7f133y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Hexham Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade