Southwell (AW) 19:00 RESULTED
Class 6 10 Oct 2026

Last Saturday Pepsi Max Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Pepsi Max Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 6f16y

Official Result

Pepsi Max Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Riley Rocks (GB) Marco Ghiani · Dylan Cunha
    11/4J
  2. 11/4J
  3. 7/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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Southwell (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Willolarupi silks
Willolarupi
Age 5 · 9-12
53-452
65
66
74
5
9-12
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 11/4 7/2
Runner-up last time out, a second after a fifth, a fourth and a third in recent starts, and back after a fresh 23 days, Willolarupi has run over today's trip and going. Winless lately, but our rating of 74 backs the profile.
AI verdict

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Riley Rocks silks
Riley Rocks
Age 3 · 9-11
040460
65
67
74
3
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
3/1 6/1 5/2
Riley Rocks is winless in his last six and was unplaced last time, but he's a fourth three starts back, has run over today's trip and going, and returns fresh after 26 days. Our rating has him top of nine, while the main risk is that consistency has been lacking.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Eightthreeone silks
Eightthreeone
Age 3 · 9-10
654431
64
70
71
3
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
11/4 11/4 5/2
Fresh from a win last time out and back quickly after just five days, Eightthreeone has also finished third two starts back, while he has run over today's distance and going before. The main risk is the 136 lb he carries, though our rating of 70 ranks him third of nine.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Toptime silks
Toptime
Age 8 · 9-9
313271
62
61
65
8
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 5/1 15/2
Toptime won last time out and has been placed in most of his recent runs, though a seventh two starts back shows he can flop, and he's back quickly after just seven days. He has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 135 lb from draw 9, our rating of 65 ranks him only seventh of nine.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Jesse Luc silks
Jesse Luc
Age 6 · 9-8
536763
61
62
71
6
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 10/3 6/1
Jesse Luc was third last time out, and a fresh 23 days ago suits, with his experience over today's trip and going; our rating of 70 puts him fourth of nine, though he is winless in his last six and that run of sixth and seventh finishes is the main worry.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Cool Doc Boy silks
Cool Doc Boy
Age 3 · 9-8
27-697
62
48
66
3
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 9/1 18/1
Cool Doc Boy is winless in his last five, with a seventh last time out and a second five starts back the only real shaft of light, though he has run over today's trip and going and is fit enough after 23 days off. Our rating of 66 sits above his official 62, but a sixth-ranked profile from stall five under 134 lb makes him one for the midfield.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

7
Top Lad silks
Top Lad
Age 3 · 9-5
39-073
59
34
66
3
9-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 20/1 66/1
Third last time out and a third five starts back bookend a patchy recent run, and he has run over today's trip and going, but 54 days off and no win in his last five starts temper things. Our rating of 66 puts him fifth of nine, drawn 1 and carrying 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

8
Hares Bredth silks
Hares Bredth
Age 3 · 9-0
176368
54
45
60
3
9-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
9/1 14/1 8/1
Hard to fancy after an eighth last time out and a sixth two starts back, with just one win in his last six, that coming six starts back. He has run over today's trip and had a third three starts back, but our rating of 60 ranks him eighth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Coast silks
Coast
Age 7 · 8-7
053640
43
27
53
7
8-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 33/1 40/1
Coast is yet to win in her last six, unplaced last time out and a fourth two starts back, and a trainer going 1/28 in the last 14 days does little to help. She has run over today's trip and going, and a third four starts back is the best of it, but she is ranked last of nine on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Willolarupi 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 Bet365
2 Riley Rocks 3/1 open 9.00 11/4 open 7.00 11/4 open 7.00 11/4 open 7.00 11/4 open 7.00 5/2 open 7.00 3/1 Bet365
3 Eightthreeone 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 5/2 open 3.75 11/4 Bet365
4 Toptime 15/2 open 6.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 Paddy Power
5 Jesse Luc 6/1 open 4.33 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 7/1 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 7/1 William Hill
6 Cool Doc Boy 25/1 18/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 11.00 25/1 Bet365
7 Top Lad 66/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 21.00 80/1 open 21.00 66/1 open 21.00 80/1 William Hill
8 Hares Bredth 9/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 17.00 8/1 open 17.00 8/1 open 17.00 8/1 open 15.00 9/1 Bet365
9 Coast 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Eightthreeone

Speculative

Eightthreeone owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Eve Johnson Houghton Charles Bishop
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Willolarupi

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Declan Carroll
✓ Value Signal

Cool Doc Boy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Joey Ramsden
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Eightthreeone
51.4 11/4
2 1. Willolarupi
49.1 7/2
3 2. Riley Rocks
47.6 3/1
4 5. Jesse Luc
45.8 6/1
5 4. Toptime
44.9 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Eightthreeone
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-10
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-11
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 9-12
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 9-8
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 8 · 9-9
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-0
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾 —

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Eightthreeone
Confidence: Speculative

Eightthreeone (SR 70, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and arrives on the back of a last-time-out win (form reads 654431, rightmost digit = 1), carrying just 9-10 — a 2lb advantage over top-weight Willolarupi. The GoingFit:+ confirms it handles good ground, and Course:W1P1 shows it gets around Southwell. Running off the same mark as its last win (MarkMv:=) means the handicapper has not penalised it yet, and a five-day turnaround from a yard striking at 13% (Eve Johnson Houghton) signals the stable is happy to run quickly while the horse is in form. The 11/4 market price is fair and has not drifted, consistent with quiet confidence. Each-way alternative: Riley Rocks. Main danger: Riley Rocks — Riley Rocks (SR 67, 4/1) has steamed in 35% in the market, carries 9-11 from a drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) and is off a mark 10lb below its last win (MarkMv:-10), which makes it dangerously well-handicapped if the recent poor form (040460) is at least partly explained by the higher class it was competing in.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Jockey Charles Bishop strikes at only 10% — below the trainer's own 13% yard strike rate — suggesting the booking is not an upgrade and the pilot has a modest recent record.
  • Form reads 654431: the four wins/places came against likely weaker opposition in earlier runs; the sole last-time-out win needs contextualising against today's field where Riley Rocks (SR 67, MarkMv:…
  • HG:p flag indicates Eightthreeone has previously worn a hood/headgear — its absence or change today at Southwell AW under lights could be a behavioural unknown on a five-day turnaround.
  • Riley Rocks has been freshened 26 days, is 10lb lower than its last winning mark (MarkMv:-10), and its market has steamed in 35% — a sharper market move than Eightthreeone's stable confidence implies…
Shortlist Eightthreeone, Riley Rocks, Willolarupi
Each-way: Riley Rocks Danger: Riley Rocks

🗺 The Course Class 6

6f16y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade