Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap Stakes · 1m5y
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 43 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 39 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Maria da Silva | 9/4 open 5.50 | 2/1 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 4.33 | 5/2 Betfred |
| 2 Espanita | 9/1 open 4.00 | 9/1 open 4.33 | 9/1 open 4.00 | 9/1 open 4.00 | 9/1 open 4.00 | 9/1 open 5.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Goomah | 11/2 open 5.50 | 6/1 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 5.00 | 6/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Second Fiddle | 4/1 open 13.00 | 4/1 open 11.00 | 4/1 open 12.00 | 4/1 open 12.00 | 4/1 open 12.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Sailor's Return | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 3.00 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 Coral |
| 6 Silky Lass | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Amber Hamur | 22/1 open 9.50 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 10.00 | 22/1 open 10.00 | 22/1 open 9.50 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Leelawadee | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Bay Dream Believer | 50/1 open 17.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Carmel Valley | 14/1 open 29.00 | 12/1 open 41.00 | 12/1 open 34.00 | 12/1 open 34.00 | 12/1 open 34.00 | 11/1 open 34.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Sassy Glory | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Maria da Silva owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 39 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Maria da Silva (SR:85, 11/4) is the clear SR leader in this field by a significant margin over the next-best, carries 9-11 which is manageable, and brings a course record of W2P2 at Newcastle AW — a specialist track advantage that matters. Both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm she handles today's mile on good AW ground, and the market has steamed 25% since opening, signalling informed money. Form string 6-1144 shows she was winning readily before a couple of modest runs, but the class hasn't moved (ClassMv:=) and the MarkMv:+3 is a small rise she can absorb given the SR edge she holds over every rival. Each-way alternative: Second Fiddle. Main danger: Sailor's Return — Sailor's Return (SR:74, 7/2) carries the second-highest SR in the field with Daniel Tudhope booked (18% strike rate), though the drift of 24%, DistFit:-, GoingFit:-, and a ClassMv:↑1 with MarkMv:+5 all point against it — if those concerns prove overstated on the day, its raw ability makes it the most likely one to trouble the selection.