British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m7f15y
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 127 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 128 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Vegasmile | 2/5 open 1.80 | 2/5 | 2/5 open 1.57 | 2/5 open 1.57 | 4/9 | 2/5 | 4/9 William Hill |
| 2 Blue Pete | 2/1 open 2.00 | 7/4 open 2.63 | 15/8 open 2.25 | 15/8 open 2.63 | 15/8 open 2.63 | 15/8 open 2.63 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Dodgem | 66/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Sneakin Pete | 200/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 open 151.00 | 125/1 | 125/1 | 125/1 open 151.00 | 125/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Vegasmile owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Vegasmile (SR 91, 1/2) is the class leader by SR in this four-runner novice, holds a course record of W1P1 at Musselburgh which is a significant advantage on a track where experience counts, and the market has firmed 7% to a dominant 1/2 — reflecting genuine confidence from Burke's yard (20% strike rate, 2203 runners). The form figure of '1' last time out (rightmost digit) is the key data point: a winner at the previous run, now stepping up one class but retaining clear SR superiority over the field. Blue Pete (SR 86) has drifted 12% and has a weaker form line of 7-3-2 with no win, while Dodgem (SR 127, 40/1) and Sneakin Pete (SR 128, 125/1) carry higher SRs but are priced and treated by the market as extreme outsiders with no realistic winning case. Each-way alternative: Blue Pete. Main danger: Blue Pete — Blue Pete (SR 86, 7/4) is 4lb lighter than Vegasmile at 9-4, has course-inexperienced rivals to exploit if Vegasmile underperforms stepping up in class, and Clifford Lee's 17% strike rate gives the partnership a genuine each-way chance if the favourite is below peak.