Musselburgh 16:17 RESULTED
Class 6 12 Oct 2026

Last Monday Musselburgh Members Handicap Stakes

Musselburgh Members Handicap Stakes · 0m7f15y

Official Result

Musselburgh Members Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Jkr Cobbler (IRE) Jack Nicholls · Iain Jardine
    13/2
  2. 12/1
  3. 8/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Roscommon

13:30–17:07 · 8 races

Worcester

13:37–16:37 · 7 races

Musselburgh

13:47–16:50 · 7 races

Yarmouth

13:54–16:55 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:12–20:15 · 9 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:28–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Monhammer silks
Monhammer
Age 8 · 9-9
611631
59
68
61
8
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1 7/2 4/1
Monhammer won last time out and has won three of his last six starts, with a third two starts back, and he's fit and fresh after just 12 days. He has run over today's trip and on this going, though he's only fourth on our figures, and the 135 lb burden is the one reservation.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Rwenearlytheredad silks
Rwenearlytheredad
Age 6 · 9-8
8-6502
58
59
60
6
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 4/1 5/1
Runner-up last time out just 12 days ago, he's fresh and in a rhythm, and has run over today's trip and going before, though he's yet to win in his last five and was only eighth, sixth and fifth before that. Our rating of 60 ranks him fifth of 11, so he looks a midfield sort off 134 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Jkr Cobbler silks
Jkr Cobbler
Age 7 · 9-7
341499
57
61
59
7
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 9/1 17/2
Jkr Cobbler has run over today's trip and going and won four starts back, but he's finished ninth in his last two and is back after just 12 days. Our rating of 59 ranks him eighth of 11, while 133 lb from stall eight offers little leeway.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Real Jack silks
Real Jack
Age 3 · 9-7
567724
59
53
66
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 6/1 9/1
Real Jack is yet to win in his last six, but he was second two starts back and fourth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating has him top of 11 at 66 against an official 59, with the main risk a yard 0/29 lately.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Kelpie Grey silks
Kelpie Grey FAV
Age 6 · 9-6
077323
56
69
66
6
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 7/4 32/17
Kelpie Grey arrives in cracking nick, third last time out and a second two starts back, just 12 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 66 sits well clear of his official 56, but he's yet to win in his last six, and 132 lb is the risk.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Pallas Lord silks
Pallas Lord
Age 8 · 9-6
063740
56
32
59
8
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 20/1 50/1
Without a win in his last six starts, Pallas Lord has at least run over today's trip and going and returns after just 12 days, though a fourth two starts back is his best recent effort bar a third four runs ago. Carrying 132 lb from draw 9, he looks a midfield type, with our rating of 59 only ranking him seventh of 11.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

7
Ramon di Loria silks
Ramon di Loria
Age 8 · 9-6
363326
56
43
62
8
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 14/1 16/1
Ramon di Loria has hit the frame in four of his last six, including a second two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 62 ranks him third of 11. The main risk is an 84-day absence after a sixth last time out, while he is yet to win in recent form.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

8
Archangel Josepi silks
Archangel Josepi
Age 3 · 9-4
-37327
56
33
57
3
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 12/1 33/1
Winless in his last five and returning after 196 days off, Archangel Josepi was seventh last time out, which makes him hard to fancy, though a second two starts back and a third three starts back show he can get involved. He has run over today's trip and is rated 57 by us, ninth of 11.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

9
Keep Me Stable silks
Keep Me Stable
Age 6 · 9-2
237706
52
47
54
6
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
7/1 10/1 13/2
Keep Me Stable is winless in her last six and has finished sixth, unplaced, seventh and seventh in her last four, so she is hard to fancy, though she was third and second before that. She is fit after 12 days off, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 54 still leaves her tenth of 11.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

10
Willowinghurn silks
Willowinghurn
Age 3 · 9-1
683840
53
46
60
3
9-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 10/1 14/1
Winless in her last six, Willowinghurn was unplaced last time out and a fourth two starts back, though a third four starts back shows she can get involved. She has run over today's trip and going, returns after 26 days and sits sixth of eleven on our rating, but carrying 127 lb from stall six asks plenty.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

11
Mrbluesky silks
Mrbluesky
Age 4 · 8-11
748-00
47
29
50
4
8-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 40/1 50/1
Mrbluesky is winless in his last five, unplaced twice most recently after a fourth four starts back, and he keeps the cheekpieces on. He has run over today's trip and going, and 17 days since his last run is fine, but our rating of 50 ranks him last of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Monhammer 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 Bet365
2 Rwenearlytheredad 5/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 Paddy Power
3 Jkr Cobbler 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 Bet365
4 Real Jack 9/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 Paddy Power
5 Kelpie Grey 15/8 open 4.00 2/1 open 2.75 2/1 2/1 2/1 open 2.88 2/1 open 2.75 2/1 Paddy Power
6 Pallas Lord 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 Bet365
7 Ramon di Loria 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 18/1 Paddy Power
8 Archangel Josepi 33/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 Paddy Power
9 Keep Me Stable 7/1 open 11.00 13/2 open 17.00 13/2 open 15.00 13/2 open 15.00 13/2 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 7/1 Bet365
10 Willowinghurn 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 14/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 14/1 Bet365
11 Mrbluesky 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kelpie Grey

Speculative

Kelpie Grey owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Jim Goldie Paul Mulrennan
79% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Monhammer

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Linda Perratt
✓ Value Signal

Pallas Lord

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Donald Whillans
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Kelpie Grey
52.8 15/8
2 1. Monhammer
46.3 4/1
3 2. Rwenearlytheredad
46.1 5/1
4 4. Real Jack
44.6 9/1
5 3. Jkr Cobbler
43.2 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Kelpie Grey
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 6 · 9-6
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 8 · 9-9
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 9-8
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 6 · 9-2
7/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾 —

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

3
Age 7 · 9-7
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-7
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-1
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾 —

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

7
Age 8 · 9-6
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾 —

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Kelpie Grey
Confidence: Medium

Kelpie Grey (SR 69, 15/8) is the top-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a favourable 9-6, with a MarkMv:-22 indicating he is running off a mark substantially below his last winning mark — a significant handicap advantage in Class 6. The market has responded with a 9% shortening (Mkt:in9%), Paul Mulrennan booked at 14% career strike rate, and the horse has course form (W2P3 at Musselburgh). The GoingFit:- is the one concern, but the -22 mark drop and superior SR suggest he can overcome soft-ground reservations in this grade. Jim Goldie operates at 14% overall and is a proven handler of this type. Each-way alternative: Monhammer. Main danger: Jkr Cobbler — Jkr Cobbler (SR 61, 7/1) has steamed in 31% in the market — the biggest mover in the race — carries a GoingFit:+ edge that is directly relevant today on Good to Soft, and at 9-7 is lightly weighted relative to the field.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 077323 — three consecutive placed efforts but no win in that sequence, and a '0' just two runs ago suggests inconsistency at the business end; this horse finds ways to get beaten.
  • GoingFit:- flags a genuine going concern on likely soft Musselburgh ground; the -22 mark advantage is built on form achieved under different conditions and may not transfer today.
  • Monhammer (SR:68, 4/1) has W5P12 course form — far more prolific at this track — and Clifford Lee (17% strike rate) outperforms Mulrennan (14%); the market gap may understate Monhammer's course claim…
  • HG:v indicates Kelpie Grey has been tried on soft/heavy before and the flag suggests it is a vulnerability, not just an unknown; running off a low mark counts for little if the horse simply doesn't a…
Shortlist Kelpie Grey, Monhammer, Jkr Cobbler
Each-way: Monhammer Danger: Jkr Cobbler

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m7f15y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Musselburgh Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade