Musselburgh 13:47 RESULTED
Class 5 12 Oct 2026

Last Monday Join Racing TV Now Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes

Join Racing TV Now Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes · 1m0f208y

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Confirmed
  1. Winner Ibn Altheeb (IRE) Mr James Hills · Iain Jardine
    18/1
  2. 16/1
  3. 5/4F
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Roscommon

13:30–17:07 · 8 races

Worcester

13:37–16:37 · 7 races

Musselburgh

13:47–16:50 · 7 races

Yarmouth

13:54–16:55 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:12–20:15 · 9 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:28–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Lone Piper silks
Lone Piper
Age 5 · 11-2
/6577-
70
41
76
5
11-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 14/1 33/1
Lone Piper has finished seventh last time out, seventh two starts back, a fifth three starts back and a sixth four starts back, but he has run over today's trip and our rating of 76 ranks him top of nine, above his official 70. The main risk is a 399-day absence, and he carries 156 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

2
Tee Aitch Aye silks
Tee Aitch Aye
Age 5 · 10-13
763214
67
71
70
5
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 11/2 6/1
Tee Aitch Aye is a leading danger, having finished fourth last time out, and a winner two starts back, with a second three starts back, all 22 days ago being fresh enough; he has run over today's trip and on this going before. The risk is the 153 lb burden from draw 5, with our rating of 70 only fourth best of nine.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Pride of Nepal silks
Pride of Nepal
Age 8 · 10-12
117446
66
59
68
8
10-12
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 7/1 10/1
Pride of Nepal has slipped since winning five and six starts back, finishing a seventh four starts back and then two fourths before a sixth last time out, which makes him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, but our rating of 68 ranks him only seventh of nine, and he carries 152 lb from stall 8.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Ephron silks
Ephron
Age 3 · 10-11
527167
69
72
73
3
10-11
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 6/1 17/2
Ephron is a leading danger, a winner three starts back who has also run over today's trip and on this going, and he's rated 73 by us, second best of nine. The risk is a poor recent showing, with a seventh last time out and a sixth before that, while he carries 151 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Filly Eilish silks
Filly Eilish
Age 3 · 10-10
661554
68
58
70
3
10-10
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 8/1 12/1
Fourth last time out, and a winner four starts back, Filly Eilish arrives fit after 24 days and has run over today's trip, but she's finished fifth in her last two before that and carries 150 lb from stall one. Our rating of 70 puts her fifth of nine, so she looks a midfield type.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Motawaared silks
Motawaared FAV
Age 4 · 10-8
222521
62
82
73
4
10-8
★★★☆☆
—
evn 11/10 10/11
Motawaared won last time out and was second two starts back, a profile that makes him our pick on form, while he has run over today's trip and going and returns just four days later. Carrying 148 lb from stall two is the one reservation.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Mudita silks
Mudita
Age 3 · 10-8
330466
66
62
67
3
10-8
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 11/2 6/1
Mudita is hard to fancy, winless in her last six and beaten into sixth on each of her last two outings, though she has finished third twice in that run and has run over today's trip. Carrying 148 lb from draw 7, she is eighth of nine on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Star Start silks
Star Start
Age 6 · 10-5
221206
59
61
63
6
10-5
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 11/1 8/1
Star Start was sixth last time out and unplaced the run before, a cold spell after a second three starts back and a win four starts back, while a 1/25 stable record does not help. He has run over today's trip and going and is back after 14 days, but our figures rank him last of nine.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Ibn Altheeb silks
Ibn Altheeb
Age 3 · 10-2
034007
60
42
69
3
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 20/1 33/1
Ibn Altheeb is winless in his last six, with a seventh last time out 22 days ago, though he has run over today's trip and going and posted a third five starts back. Our rating of 68 sits above his official mark of 60, and 142 lb from draw 3 is a light weight to carry for a midfield type.
AI verdict

SR 42 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Lone Piper 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
2 Tee Aitch Aye 6/1 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 Bet365
3 Pride of Nepal 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 Bet365
4 Ephron 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 Bet365
5 Filly Eilish 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365
6 Motawaared evn open 2.50 10/11 open 2.10 evn open 2.25 evn open 2.25 1/1 open 2.25 evn open 2.10 evn Bet365
7 Mudita 7/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 6/1 7/1 Bet365
8 Star Start 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
9 Ibn Altheeb 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Motawaared

Speculative

Motawaared owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

evn Jim Goldie Miss Kayleigh Williams(5)
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ephron

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

17/2 · Gemma Tutty
✓ Value Signal

Lone Piper

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Phillip Makin
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +10.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Live signal
74 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Motawaared
55.7 evn
2 4. Ephron
50.0 17/2
3 2. Tee Aitch Aye
47.7 6/1
4 7. Mudita
44.9 7/1
5 5. Filly Eilish
43.6 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Motawaared
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 5 · 10-13
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 10-8
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 10-11
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 8 · 10-12
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 10-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 10-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Motawaared
Confidence: Medium

Motawaared (SR 82, 6/5) is the clear class leader in this field — 10 SR points clear of the next-best Ephron (SR 72) — and his form string of 222521 shows consistent competitiveness culminating in a win last time out. He runs off a mark only 2lb higher than that win (MarkMv:+2), carries a favourable 10-8 with the lightest competitive weight in the field, and has three places at Musselburgh (Course:W0P3) confirming course affinity. The GoingFit:- flag is the one genuine concern on good to soft, but only 4 days ago he ran, indicating connections are not worried about conditions, and his SR dominance over rivals is substantial enough to absorb a ground query. Jim Goldie's 14% strike rate with 2,075 runners is a reliable yard, and the price at 6/5 is fair for a horse with this SR advantage and course familiarity. Each-way alternative: Ephron. Main danger: Ephron — Ephron (SR 72, 13/2) has a form line ending in 7 then 6 then a winning 1 at this class, has been gently backed (Mkt:in6%), and jockey Miss Amy Collier carries an 18% strike rate from 40 rides — the strongest jockey strike rate in the field — giving her the best chance of any rival to peg back the favourite.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- flag is a real issue — Motawaared's HG:p (polytrack/artificial) suggests his form has been built on synthetic surfaces, not good to soft turf at Musselburgh today.
  • Ran just 4 days ago, meaning he is racing on tired legs mid-week; flat sprinters rarely back up this quickly without a performance dip, especially on ground that tests stamina.
  • Course:W0P3 shows three places but zero wins at Musselburgh — he has repeatedly underperformed on the track when it mattered, and today's conditions may expose that pattern again.
  • Jockey Miss Kayleigh Williams carries a 5lb claim but has no recorded strike rate in the data, raising a meaningful doubt about her ability to get the best from the market leader under pressure.
Shortlist Motawaared, Ephron, Tee Aitch Aye
Each-way: Ephron Danger: Ephron

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m0f208y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Musselburgh Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade