Ireland 7yo

Bay Dream Believer (IRE)

T: Mark Walford · J: Jason Hart · O: Ursa Major Racing Ltd Partner

By New Bay (GB) out of Arabescatta (GB)

Form 59-00176153

17/2 Current odds

5/19 W/R

64 RPR

64 TS

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Active

19 runs
5 wins
placed
26% strike
9 d off
82 best RPR

Recent form

Form figures 59-00176153 9 days off

3 5 1 6 7 1

At Redcar 0/2 0 wins · 2 placed

On Good 1/7 1 win · 2 placed

Best RPR 82 Career peak

Best TS 66 Career peak

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 19 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 46
Win %: 26%
Placed %: 37%
Trend: Steady

Course Record

11 venues

Career strike 37%; best at Redcar (100% from 2 runs).

Ripon 50% 2-0-4
Doncaster 33% 1-0-3
Nottingham 33% 1-0-3
Redcar 100% 0-2-2
Pontefract 100% 1-0-1
Beverley 0% 0-0-1
Carlisle 0% 0-0-1
Hamilton 0% 0-0-1
Musselburgh 0% 0-0-1
Newcastle (AW) 0% 0-0-1
Southwell (AW) 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

5 jockeys · 1 trainer

Jockeys

Jason Hart NOW 50% 3-1-8
Rhys Elliott 33% 1-1-6
Kyle McHugh 33% 1-0-3
Joanna Mason 0% 0-0-1
Jonny Peate 0% 0-0-1

Trainers

Mark Walford NOW 37% 5-2-19

Going Record

19 classifiable runs

Firmspecialist Fires on firmer ground — 67% in-the-money on a fast surface vs 0% on softer ground.

Firm — 0 runs
Good to Firm 67% 4-0-6
Good 22% 1-1-9
Good to Soft 50% 0-1-2
Soft 0% 0-0-1
Heavy 0% 0-0-1

Distance Record

19 classifiable runs

Allrounder Versatile — handles a range of trips with similar effectiveness.

Sprint ≤ 6f — 0 runs
Seven 6½ – 7f — 0 runs
Mile 7f – 1m1f 25% 1-0-4
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f 40% 4-2-15
Staying ≥ 1m4f — 0 runs

Race history

10 of 10 runs

Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds

22 Aug 2026 Bakers Tailoring Handicap Stakes (Div I) Redcar Class 5 H 3rd/9 0.1 Good 1m2f Jason Hart OR 63 9/1

11 Aug 2026 Cummersdale Apprentice Handicap Stakes Carlisle Class 6 H 5th/8 2.75 Good 1m Kyle McHugh OR 64 9/1

18 Jul 2026 Follow @Racingtv On X Haydock Park Training Series Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) Nottingham Class 5 H 1st/6 +0 Good To Firm 1m½f Kyle McHugh OR 60 18/1

30 Jun 2026 Melissa, Arabella And Oriana Hawthorne Handicap Musselburgh Class 6 H 6th/7 2.75 Good 1m1f Jason Hart OR 61 11/1

17 Jun 2026 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap Ripon Class 5 H 7th/8 1.5 Good 1m2f Jason Hart OR 61 9/4

2 Jun 2026 KRS Property Solutions Supports The YCC Handicap Pontefract Class 5 H 1st/8 +0 Good 1m2f Jason Hart OR 58 11/2

18 Apr 2026 £9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Nottingham Class 5 H 10th/14 .75 Good 1m2f Jonny Peate OR 61 25/1

28 Mar 2026 William Hill NRMB On The Grand National Apprentice Handicap (Go Racing In Yorkshire Series) (Div II) Doncaster Class 5 H 13th/14 .75 Good To Soft 1m2f Kyle McHugh OR 63 16/1

6 Nov 2025 Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Newcastle (AW) Class 5 H 9th/10 1.25 Standard 1m2f Rhys Elliott OR 57 50/1

23 Oct 2025 PricedUp The Flat Handicap Nottingham Class 6 H 5th/15 .75 Heavy 1m2f Jason Hart OR 64 12/1

Connections

Trainer: Mark Walford 9%
Jockey: Jason Hart 14%
Owner: Ursa Major Racing Ltd Partner
Sire: New Bay (GB)
Dam: Arabescatta (GB)
Dam sire: Monsun
Country: Ireland
Age: 7yo

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