Ireland 7yo

Bay Dream Believer (IRE)

T: Mark Walford · J: Saffie Osborne · O: Ursa Major Racing Ltd Partner

By New Bay (GB) out of Arabescatta (GB)

Form 5176153392

50/1 Current odds

8/54 W/R

65 RPR

66 TS

Join as Cub to vote → View in Race Explorer BETA

Active

54 runs
8 wins
placed
15% strike
4 d off
82 best RPR

Recent form

Form figures 5176153392 4 days off

2 9 3 3 5 1

At Newcastle (AW) 0/5 0 wins · 1 placed

On Good 3/18 3 wins · 8 placed

Over 1m5y 0/2 0 wins · 0 placed

Best RPR 82 Career peak

Best TS 66 Career peak

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 28 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 44
Win %: 15%
Placed %: 37%
Trend: Climbing

Course Record

19 venues

Specialist on the road. Genuine course specialist at Redcar — well clear of the 37% career baseline.

Ripon 50% 3-1-8
Redcar SPEC 67% 0-4-6
Beverley 50% 0-3-6
Pontefract 40% 1-1-5
Newcastle (AW) 20% 0-1-5
Hamilton 25% 0-1-4
Nottingham 25% 1-0-4
Doncaster 33% 1-0-3
Southwell (AW) 0% 0-0-2
Wolverhampton (AW) 0% 0-0-2
Leicester 100% 1-0-1
Wetherby 100% 1-0-1
Windsor 100% 0-1-1
Carlisle 0% 0-0-1
Epsom Downs 0% 0-0-1
Ffos Las 0% 0-0-1
Musselburgh 0% 0-0-1
Newbury 0% 0-0-1
Salisbury 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

18 jockeys · 2 trainers

Jockeys

Jason Hart 47% 3-4-15
Rhys Elliott 50% 2-4-12
David Probert 20% 0-1-5
Andrew Mullen 50% 1-1-4
Kyle McHugh 33% 1-0-3
Mark Winn 0% 0-0-2
Sam James 0% 0-0-2
Billy Garritty 100% 0-1-1
P. J. McDonald 100% 1-0-1
Saffie Osborne NOW 100% 0-1-1
Aiden Brookes 0% 0-0-1
Alex Jary 0% 0-0-1
Frederick Larson 0% 0-0-1
Jack Garritty 0% 0-0-1
Joanna Mason 0% 0-0-1
Jonny Peate 0% 0-0-1
Mia Nicholls 0% 0-0-1
Miss Alice Cooke 0% 0-0-1

Trainers

Mark Walford NOW 39% 8-11-49
Andrew Balding 20% 0-1-5

Going Record

54 classifiable runs

Firmleaning Fires on firmer ground — 50% in-the-money on a fast surface vs 12% on softer ground.

Firm — 0 runs
Good to Firm 50% 5-1-12
Good 35% 3-6-26
Good to Soft 57% 0-4-7
Soft 12% 0-1-8
Heavy 0% 0-0-1

Distance Record

54 classifiable runs

Leaning Best at seven trips (50% itm) but capable elsewhere.

Sprint ≤ 6f — 0 runs
Seven 6½ – 7f 50% 0-1-2
Mile 7f – 1m1f 39% 5-6-28
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f 33% 3-5-24
Staying ≥ 1m4f — 0 runs

Race history

10 of 10 runs

Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds

12 Oct 2026 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap Stakes Newcastle (AW) Class 5 H 2nd/11 1.25 Standard 1m Saffie Osborne OR 57 50/1

3 Oct 2026 Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II) Redcar Class 5 H 9th/9 1.25 Good 1m2f Jason Hart OR 63 13/2

9 Sep 2026 Constant Security Services Handicap Stakes (Div I) Redcar Class 5 H 3rd/9 1.75 Good 1m2f Jason Hart OR 64 12/1

22 Aug 2026 Bakers Tailoring Handicap Stakes (Div I) Redcar Class 5 H 3rd/9 0.1 Good 1m2f Jason Hart OR 63 9/1

11 Aug 2026 Cummersdale Apprentice Handicap Stakes Carlisle Class 6 H 5th/8 2.75 Good 1m Kyle McHugh OR 64 9/1

18 Jul 2026 Follow @Racingtv On X Haydock Park Training Series Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) Nottingham Class 5 H 1st/6 +0 Good To Firm 1m½f Kyle McHugh OR 60 18/1

30 Jun 2026 Melissa, Arabella And Oriana Hawthorne Handicap Musselburgh Class 6 H 6th/7 2.75 Good 1m208y Jason Hart OR 61 11/1

17 Jun 2026 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap Ripon Class 5 H 7th/8 1.5 Good 1m1f170y Jason Hart OR 61 9/4

2 Jun 2026 KRS Property Solutions Supports The YCC Handicap Pontefract Class 5 H 1st/8 +0 Good 1m2f5y Jason Hart OR 58 11/2

17 May 2026 Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Handicap Ripon Class 5 H 5th/11 .5 Good 1m2f Andrew Mullen OR 59 14/1

Connections

Trainer: Mark Walford 11%
Jockey: Saffie Osborne 14%
Owner: Ursa Major Racing Ltd Partner
Sire: New Bay (GB)
Dam: Arabescatta (GB)
Dam sire: Monsun
Country: Ireland
Age: 7yo

Cubs backing

No cubs have backed this horse yet.

Join free as a Cub →

💬 Horse Chat

Choose a line from the list below — keep it sporting. One post per race per Cub.

No posts yet — be the first Cub to comment on Bay Dream Believer (IRE).