Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f42y
SR 119 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 121 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 suggests ability but 250/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mac's Max | 250/1 open 41.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 200/1 open 81.00 | 200/1 open 81.00 | 250/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Ella Beach | 4/1 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Indhaar | evn open 2.63 | 10/11 open 2.75 | evn open 2.10 | evn open 2.10 | 1/1 open 2.10 | 10/11 open 2.10 | evn Bet365 |
| 4 Medran | 250/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 250/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Petworth | 14/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 34.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Tropbien | 2/1 open 2.25 | 2/1 open 2.20 | 11/8 open 2.50 | 11/8 open 2.50 | 2/1 open 2.50 | 15/8 open 2.38 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Brittunculi | 250/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 open 126.00 | 100/1 open 126.00 | 200/1 open 126.00 | 200/1 open 126.00 | 250/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Indhaar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (49). There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Indhaar (SR 156, 5/6) leads the field in ability and arrives with the strongest market confidence — a 21% inward move to odds-on suggests William Haggas's yard is very happy with this horse ahead of today. Haggas operates at a 23% career strike rate with 2,121 runners, the best trainer stat in this field, and the combination of top SR, strong connections, and significant market support is compelling. The single Form:3 on debut is not a red flag in a novice context — a third on first appearance for a Haggas three-year-old at this trip is a springboard run, and the 126-day gap allows for a purposeful preparation. Ella Beach (SR 155, 11/4) is the only horse that can match Indhaar on SR, but Indhaar's tighter price, superior trainer strike rate, and sharper market move give it the edge. Each-way alternative: Ella Beach. Main danger: Ella Beach — Ella Beach (SR 155, 11/4) matches Indhaar almost identically on ability, won on debut (Form:1), and David O'Meara with Daniel Tudhope is a sharp northern combination that knows how to place a horse to win first time out in novice company.