Shape Engineering Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 0m7f3y
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 125 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Amandari | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Born This Way | 13/8 open 3.25 | 6/4 | 6/4 open 2.88 | 6/4 open 2.88 | 6/4 open 2.88 | 6/4 open 2.63 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 3 Fort Mchenry | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Olympiacos | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Pigou | 12/1 open 5.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 6.00 | 11/1 open 6.00 | 11/1 open 6.00 | 11/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Solo Quest | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Stellar Max | 80/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Born This Way owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Born This Way (SR 154, 2/1) is the market favourite in a field of predominantly debutants, trained by William Haggas (23% strike rate from 2,121 runners — one of the sharpest juvenile yards in Britain) and ridden by Tom Marquand (16%, 2,575 runners). The 5% drift is modest and does not constitute a hard negative — it is well within normal market noise, especially compared to the 40% drift on Pigou and 16% on Fort McHenry. Against Amandari, the challenge process found no hard negative on Born This Way's runner line, and the 12% market move on Amandari — while positive — is insufficient in a novice of debutants to override a shorter price, a superior trainer strike rate, and the track record of the Haggas yard at this level. Each-way alternative: Solo Quest. Main danger: Amandari — Amandari (SR 155, 9/4) holds the field's highest SR, is backed 12% in, and the Gosden yard has a 24% strike rate — if Havlin has a positive gallop report this is a very live danger.