Yarmouth 16:24 RESULTED
Class 5 12 Oct 2026

Last Monday First Furnishings Handicap Stakes

First Furnishings Handicap Stakes · 0m6f3y

Official Result

First Furnishings Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Izzy Fast (GB) Jack Callan · Philip McBride
    11/1
  2. 12/1
  3. 5/1F
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Roscommon

13:30–17:07 · 8 races

Worcester

13:37–16:37 · 7 races

Musselburgh

13:47–16:50 · 7 races

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Kempton (AW)

16:12–20:15 · 9 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:28–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
So Sassy silks
So Sassy
Age 4 · 9-12
455118
75
68
74
4
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 9/1 12/1
Two wins in her last six, including a winner two starts back and another three starts back, but she was eighth last time out after 31 days off. She has run over today's trip and going and carries 138 lb from stall one, though our rating of 74 ranks her ninth of 13.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Deluded silks
Deluded
Age 3 · 9-11
-23354
75
68
78
3
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 11/1 17/2
Deluded arrives consistent, with a second and two thirds in his last five starts plus a fourth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before after 26 days off. Yet to win in that spell, he must prove he can finish the job from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Good Earth silks
Good Earth
Age 9 · 9-10
205641
73
70
76
9
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 13/2 14/1
Good Earth won last time out and returns after 26 days, but that came after a fourth, a sixth and a fifth in the three runs before, so consistency is the question. He has run over today's trip and going, and carries 136 lb from stall 4.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Raffles Angel silks
Raffles Angel
Age 5 · 9-10
633031
73
81
78
5
9-10
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 5/1 11/2
Fresh from a win last time out and a third two starts back, Raffles Angel arrives in good heart after 26 days off, and she has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is her 136 lb from draw ten, with our rating of 78 backing her as a leading danger.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
First Folio silks
First Folio
Age 8 · 9-8
-46047
71
68
86
8
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 20/1 12/1
First Folio has been without a win in his last five, with a seventh last time out and a fourth two starts back, but he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 86 makes him the top-rated runner, well clear of his official 71, though 58 days off is a brief reservation.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

6
Kimbara silks
Kimbara
Age 3 · 9-7
462303
71
72
75
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 9/1 6/1
Kimbara showed up well with a third last time out and a second four starts back, yet he is winless in his last six and was unplaced two runs ago. He has run over today's trip, but 58 days off and 133 lb from draw 8 leave him a midfield sort, with our rating of 75 ranking him eighth of 13.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Ribenska silks
Ribenska
Age 4 · 9-7
-29366
70
71
78
4
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 7/1 8/1
Ribenska has been in the frame before, a third three starts back and a second five starts back, and she has run over today's trip and on this going, with our rating of 78 ranking her fourth of 13. The risk is a pair of sixths in her last two outings and she remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Splash silks
Splash
Age 3 · 9-7
-90165
71
50
66
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 16/1 12/1
Splash was a fifth last time out and a sixth the run before, so she arrives without recent winning form, though she did win three starts back. Our rating has her last of 13, and 133 lb from stall five is a stiff ask, but she has run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Methgal silks
Methgal FAV
Age 4 · 9-7
212212
70
84
76
4
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 5/2 4/1
Methgal arrives in cracking form, second last time out and a winner two starts back, with two wins in his last six and a quick 13-day turnaround, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 133 lb from draw 13 and rated fifth of 13 by our figures, he may find the weight and a modest speed figure of 64 limit him.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Izzy Fast silks
Izzy Fast
Age 4 · 9-5
-19725
68
65
67
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 9/1 10/1
Last seen 89 days ago, Izzy Fast was fifth last time out and has just one win in her last five starts, a winner five starts back, so she is hard to fancy. A second two starts back and experience of today's trip are in her favour, but our rating of 67 ranks her 12th of 13.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Startled Lady silks
Startled Lady
Age 3 · 9-4
531833
68
73
72
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 6/1 10/1
Startled Lady has finished third in her last two starts and was a winner four starts back, but she is ranked 11 of 13 on our figures and the 130 lb burden is a hard ask. She has run over today's trip and going, and 26 days off is fine, yet she is tough to fancy from stall 3.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Frantic silks
Frantic
Age 3 · 9-4
-22753
68
67
75
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 12/1 8/1
Frantic is yet to win in her last five starts but arrives with a third last time out, and a second five starts back shows she can get involved; she has run over today's trip, though 41 days off and 130 lb are a concern, with our rating of 75 only ranking her seventh of 13.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Dark Side Thunder silks
Dark Side Thunder
Age 7 · 9-1
253820
64
57
74
7
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 14/1 16/1
Winless in his last six and unplaced last time out, Dark Side Thunder is hard to fancy, though a second two starts back and a break of 26 days are positives, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 127 lb from draw 11, he is ranked tenth of 13 on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 So Sassy 14/1 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365
2 Deluded 10/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 Bet365
3 Good Earth 14/1 open 7.50 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.50 18/1 Paddy Power
4 Raffles Angel 6/1 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 11/2 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 Bet365
5 First Folio 14/1 open 34.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 21.00 14/1 Bet365
6 Kimbara 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 13/2 open 10.00 7/1 Bet365
7 Ribenska 17/2 open 9.00 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 Bet365
8 Splash 16/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
9 Methgal 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.75 9/2 open 3.50 9/2 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.50 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 Coral
10 Izzy Fast 12/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 11/1 12/1 Bet365
11 Startled Lady 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 11/1 Coral
12 Frantic 17/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 17/2 Bet365
13 Dark Side Thunder 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Methgal

Speculative

Methgal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Dylan Cunha Marco Ghiani
84% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Raffles Angel

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Jack Jones
✓ Value Signal

Dark Side Thunder

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · Jessica Macey
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Methgal
57.6 4/1
2 4. Raffles Angel
48.6 6/1
3 6. Kimbara
48.3 7/1
4 11. Startled Lady
48.3 10/1
5 7. Ribenska
48.2 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Raffles Angel
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Methgal FAV
Age 4 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 9-10
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-7
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 3 · 9-4
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-11
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-4
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-5
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 9-12
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 9 · 9-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 8 · 9-8
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

8
Age 3 · 9-7
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 7 · 9-1
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Raffles Angel
Confidence: Speculative

Raffles Angel (SR:81, 5/1, Wgt:9-10) holds the second-highest SR in the field and is the only horse combining proven course form (Course:W2P3 at Yarmouth — a specialist track where familiarity matters) with market support (Mkt:in9%). The recent form string 633031 shows a last-time-out win and the return to the same class (ClassMv:=) means no step up in grade. Jockey Callum Shepherd (15% career strike rate) is a solid booking and the +3 mark rise is modest after a win. The main rival Methgal (SR:84) is the top-rated horse but has drifted 29% in the market and steps up a class (ClassMv:↑1) off a mark 7lb higher than at last win — three compounding negatives that make the favourite look vulnerable today. Each-way alternative: Startled Angel. Main danger: Methgal — Methgal's SR:84 is the highest in the field and the consistent 212212 form at a quicker turnaround (Days:13) suggests peak fitness, so if the class rise and mark rise don't blunt him, he has the raw ability to override the negatives.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 633031 shows three finishes of 6th, 3rd, 3rd before the latest win — inconsistent profile with only one win in six starts, raising doubts about back-to-back wins.
  • Carrying 9-10 makes Raffles Angel one of the heaviest-weighted runners in the field; top weight disadvantage is real against lighter rivals like Startled Lady (9-4) and Methgal (9-7).
  • The +3 mark rise off the winning run means the handicapper has responded; at 5-year-old level in a competitive Yarmouth handicap, even a small rise can be the difference between winning and reverting…
  • Trainer Jack Jones has only a 12% strike rate and no stable-form flag, while rivals Startled Lady (Tom Marquand, 16% SR) and Methgal (Marco Ghiani, 16% SR) carry meaningfully stronger jockey statisti…
Shortlist Raffles Angel, Methgal, Startled Lady, Ribenska
Each-way: Startled Angel Danger: Methgal

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f3y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Yarmouth Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade