Newcastle (AW) 17:30 RESULTED
Class 4 12 Oct 2026

Last Monday Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

Official Result

Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Moofeed (IRE) Daniel Tudhope · Archie Watson
    11/8
  2. 6/5F
  3. 13/2
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Great Balls O'Fire silks
Great Balls O'Fire FAV
Age 2 · 9-11
18
85
91
85OR
2
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
6/5 4/7 11/10
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Benbecula silks
Benbecula
Age 2 · 9-4
54
—
144
—
2
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 5/1 15/2
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Big Richard silks
Big Richard
Age 2 · 9-4
—
—
124
—
2
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 18/1 50/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Jaydee's Dream silks
Jaydee's Dream
Age 2 · 9-4
08
—
121
—
2
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
200/1 100/1 150/1
SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Lord Bishop silks
Lord Bishop
Age 2 · 9-4
09
—
121
—
2
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
250/1 66/1 150/1
SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Moofeed silks
Moofeed
Age 2 · 9-4
6
—
152
—
2
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
6/5 4/1 Evs
SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Powerful Force silks
Powerful Force
Age 2 · 9-4
6
—
127
—
2
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 16/1 14/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Val de Grey silks
Val de Grey
Age 2 · 9-4
6
—
142
—
2
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 8/1 11/2
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Veloxian silks
Veloxian
Age 2 · 9-4
80
—
121
—
2
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
250/1 66/1 150/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 121 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Perfect Gal silks
Perfect Gal
Age 2 · 8-13
36
—
129
—
2
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 10/1 28/1
SR 129 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 129 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Great Balls O'Fire 6/5 open 1.62 6/5 open 1.62 11/10 open 1.57 11/10 open 1.57 5/4 open 1.62 6/5 open 1.62 5/4 William Hill
2 Benbecula 10/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.50 11/1 Paddy Power
3 Big Richard 66/1 open 19.00 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 66/1 Bet365
4 Jaydee's Dream 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 101.00 150/1 200/1 Bet365
5 Lord Bishop 250/1 open 67.00 200/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 81.00 200/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 101.00 250/1 Bet365
6 Moofeed 6/5 open 6.00 1/1 open 5.00 6/5 open 5.50 6/5 open 5.50 6/5 open 5.50 11/10 open 5.00 6/5 Bet365
7 Powerful Force 22/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 21.00 22/1 Bet365
8 Val de Grey 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 open 10.00 11/2 open 9.50 11/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 10.00 8/1 Paddy Power
9 Veloxian 250/1 open 67.00 200/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 81.00 200/1 open 81.00 150/1 open 101.00 250/1 Bet365
10 Perfect Gal 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 11.00 28/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 11.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Moofeed

Live signal

Moofeed owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/5 Archie Watson Daniel Tudhope
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Val de Grey

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · Simon Waugh
✓ Value Signal

Powerful Force

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Kevin Ryan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.8 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Moofeed
69.3 6/5
2 8. Val de Grey
68.3 15/2
3 2. Benbecula
66.0 10/1
4 1. Great Balls O'Fire
60.0 6/5
5 7. Powerful Force
54.4 22/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Moofeed
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-11
6/5
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-4
6/5
★★★☆☆ SR 152 🐾 —

SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 9-4
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 142 🐾 —

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-4
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 144 🐾 —

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Moofeed
Confidence: Speculative

Moofeed (SR:152, 10/3) carries the highest ability rating in the field by a clear margin — 8 points ahead of Benbecula and 10 ahead of Val de Grey — and is the only runner showing meaningful market confidence, steaming in 27% since opening. Daniel Tudhope (18% strike rate, 1,949 career rides) is a high-quality booking that reinforces the stable's intent. Archie Watson's 15% trainer strike rate is solid, and while Moofeed's sole run produced a sixth, the sharp market move suggests connections believe that run understated the horse's ability. The favourite Great Balls O'Fire (SR:91) is a 8/13 shot but carries a Saturday Rating 61 points below Moofeed — that is a cavernous SR gap, and a ClassMv:↓3 drop into this novice stakes cannot paper over such a stark ability deficit; the short price looks a significant overreaction to the class drop rather than a reflection of genuine superiority. Each-way alternative: Benbecula. Main danger: Benbecula — Benbecula carries the second-highest SR in the field (144), is Kevin Ryan's Stable:1 runner, and while the 24% drift is a concern, Kevin Stott's booking and a same-class record mean it cannot be entirely dismissed at 8/1.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Moofeed's sole career run was a sixth-place finish — the SR of 152 is a rating projection, not a proven racecourse performance, and a single poor debut makes that figure highly speculative.
  • Great Balls O'Fire has already shown a form figure of 1 (a win) and is 18 days fresh off that victory, giving connections a proven, race-ready runner versus Moofeed's untested ability.
  • At 10/3, Moofeed is significantly bigger than the 8/13 favourite despite being on a debut sixth — the market as a whole is not buying the SR gap argument, suggesting professional money sees real meri…
  • Archie Watson's 15% trainer strike rate is respectable but unremarkable, and there is no stable form indicator shown for Moofeed — no recent yard winners to suggest the string is firing ahead of this…
Shortlist Moofeed, Benbecula, Val de Grey
Each-way: Benbecula Danger: Benbecula

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade