Racing TV EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race) · 7f
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 154 backed by market confidence at 11/8 — a genuine contender.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 69 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 131 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 120 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 125 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Huwa Baree | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Tredegar Square | 6/4 open 2.75 | 6/4 open 2.00 | 6/4 open 2.25 | 6/4 open 2.25 | 13/8 open 2.25 | 6/4 open 2.25 | 13/8 William Hill |
| 3 Alberich | 15/8 open 3.00 | 7/4 open 3.00 | 7/4 | 7/4 | 15/8 | 7/4 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 4 Desert Legend | 14/1 open 7.50 | 14/1 open 8.50 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 5 Harpagoside | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 15.00 | 7/2 open 9.50 | 7/2 open 9.50 | 4/1 open 10.00 | 10/3 open 10.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Saburo | 100/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Twilight Fox | 80/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 80/1 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Nil Satis Supreme | 250/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 open 67.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 open 101.00 | 250/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Taran Bolta | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Frankie Power | 150/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Alpha Bella | 100/1 open 21.00 | 80/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 open 29.00 | 80/1 open 29.00 | 80/1 open 29.00 | 80/1 open 29.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tredegar Square owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 154 backed by market confidence at 11/8 — a genuine contender.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 131 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Tredegar Square (SR 154, 11/8) is the joint-highest rated horse in the field and the only runner with proven course form (Course:W1P1 at Kempton AW), which is a significant edge in a novice where trip and surface unfamiliarity can catch horses out. Oisin Murphy at 22% career strike rate is the strongest jockey booking in the race, partnering a James Fanshawe horse that wins 18% of its runners — a formidable combination. Alberich matches the SR at 154 and has been backed (Mkt:in7%), making it the genuine danger, but it carries 4lb less than Tredegar Square which narrows the weight advantage; crucially, Tredegar Square's course form is a concrete differentiator Alberich cannot match. The 63-day gap is a minor query but Fanshawe is a trainer who prepares horses carefully and the market at 11/8 shows no concern. Each-way alternative: Alberich. Main danger: Alberich — Alberich matches Tredegar Square's SR of 154, has been backed (Mkt:in7%), and carries 4lb less in weight — if this is a horse still on the upgrade, the lighter burden could prove decisive over 7f.