Worcester 15:07 RESULTED
Class 3 12 Oct 2026

Last Monday Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 2m7f0y

Official Result

Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Novices' Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Potters Charm (IRE) Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
    1/5F
  2. 3/1
  3. 66/1
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Jupiter des Mottes silks
Jupiter des Mottes
Age 7 · 11-2
/9P11-
133
138
133OR
7
11-2
★★★★☆
—
4/1 3/1 7/2
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Potters Charm silks
Potters Charm FAV
Age 7 · 11-2
34115-
153
162
153OR
7
11-2
★★★★☆
—
1/4
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Vicomte Le Brave silks
Vicomte Le Brave
Age 7 · 11-2
2213-P
—
127
—
7
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
150/1 50/1 100/1
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Glen To Glen silks
Glen To Glen
Age 4 · 10-11
-5R138
132
130
132OR
4
10-11
★★★★☆
—
16/1 4/1 10/1
Favourable weight of 10-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Jupiter des Mottes 4/1 open 4.00 7/2 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 4.00 4/1 Bet365
2 Potters Charm 1/4 open 1.57 1/4 open 1.33 1/4 open 1.44 1/4 open 1.44 2/7 open 1.25 1/4 open 1.40 2/7 William Hill
3 Vicomte Le Brave 150/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 201.00 100/1 open 81.00 150/1 Bet365
4 Glen To Glen 16/1 open 5.00 10/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 6.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Potters Charm

High conviction

Potters Charm owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (90) and market confidence (99). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

1/4 Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies
92% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Jupiter des Mottes

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Dan Skelton
✓ Value Signal

Vicomte Le Brave

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

150/1 · Cynthia Woods
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +34.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
99 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.8 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Potters Charm
78.3 1/4
2 1. Jupiter des Mottes
64.1 4/1
3 4. Glen To Glen
56.7 16/1
4 3. Vicomte Le Brave
49.6 150/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Potters Charm
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 7 · 11-2
1/4
★★★★☆ SR 162 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 7 · 11-2
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 138 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 4 · 10-11
16/1
★★★★☆ SR 130 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Potters Charm
Confidence: Medium

Potters Charm (SR:162, 2/5) has a decisive SR edge — 24 points clear of the next best Jupiter des Mottes (SR:138) and 32+ clear of the remaining pair. In a four-runner novice chase at Class 3, that gap in ability is almost insurmountable for rivals. The Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies yard has form (13%, 261 runners) with Sam Twiston-Davies in the saddle (17%, 1,022 career rides), a competent and familiar combination. The market has held firm at 2/5 with no drift, reflecting genuine market confidence in a race where opposition is thin. Each-way alternative: Jupiter des Mottes. Main danger: Jupiter des Mottes — Jupiter des Mottes (SR:138, 10/3) is trained by Dan Skelton (22% strike rate) with Harry Skelton aboard (26%), a genuinely elite jumps partnership, and the market has backed it in 9% — suggesting yard confidence that could bring it closest to the favourite.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Potters Charm's form string ends with a '-' (most recent run unknown/absent), suggesting a potentially significant layoff or undisclosed run that could leave the horse ring-rusty on chase debut or re…
  • Jupiter des Mottes is trained by Dan Skelton (22% strike rate, 2593 runners) with Harry Skelton aboard (26%, 1674 rides) — a markedly superior handler/jockey combination to the Twiston-Davies yard's…
  • Jupiter des Mottes has drifted IN 9% in the market, suggesting informed money is backing the main rival rather than cementing Potters Charm's case — at 2/5 the value is minimal and any underperforman…
  • Class 3 novice chase over Worcester's flat, galloping circuit can expose horses stepping up in jumping demands; a '34115-' form profile with a blank last run gives no recent evidence Potters Charm ha…
Shortlist Potters Charm, Jupiter des Mottes, Glen To Glen
Each-way: Jupiter des Mottes Danger: Jupiter des Mottes

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m7f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Worcester Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade