Roscommon 17:07 RESULTED
12 Oct 2026

Last Monday Thank You For Your Support Handicap

Thank You For Your Support Handicap · 1m4f46y

Official Result

Thank You For Your Support Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Inver Bay (IRE) Robbie Colgan · Aidan Anthony Howard
    11/2
  2. 80/1
  3. Third Acanto (IRE)
    12/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Roscommon

13:30–17:07 · 8 races

Worcester

13:37–16:37 · 7 races

Musselburgh

13:47–16:50 · 7 races

Yarmouth

13:54–16:55 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:12–20:15 · 9 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:28–20:30 · 9 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 19 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Rio Doce silks
Rio Doce
Age 6 · 9-8
0649/0
51
30
58
6
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1
Rio Doce has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 58 ranks him third of 16, so he's a leading danger off an official 51 despite being winless in his last five. The main risk is fitness, with 122 days since his last run.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

?
Calamint silks
Calamint
Age 6 · 9-6
6-2830
TBA
49
43
58
6
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1
Calamint showed she can hit the frame with a third two starts back and a second four starts back, and she returns just 18 days after her last run, having been unplaced last time out. Our rating of 58 sits well clear of her official 49, but 132 lb is a hefty burden and the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 43 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

?
Walls Cross silks
Walls Cross
Age 4 · 9-5
08000
TBA
48
22
46
4
9-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1
Winless and unplaced in each of her last three outings, with an eighth four starts back the best of a poor recent run, Walls Cross is hard to fancy after 50 days off. She has run over today's trip and her official rating of 48 is modest, but 131 lb is a lot to carry.
AI verdict

SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

1
Ballaghkeen silks
Ballaghkeen FAV
Age 3 · 10-0
00-601
56
56
58
3
10-0
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1 4/1 7/2
Ballaghkeen won last time out just five days ago, but she was unplaced in three of the four runs before that, and a quick turnaround under 140 lb tempers the optimism. She has run over today's trip, and our rating of 58 ranks her fifth of 16.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Royal Belief silks
Royal Belief
Age 4 · 9-12
0050-2
55
58
56
4
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 7/2 9/2
Royal Belief signals a revival with a second last time out, yet he is winless in his last five and was unplaced in three of those, and a 173-day absence raises fitness questions. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 56 sits just above his official 55.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Acanto silks
Acanto
Age 4 · 9-11
54934
54
55
68
4
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 6/1 12/1
Fourth last time out and third two starts back, Acanto is yet to win in her last five but arrives fresh from just 11 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 68 tops the 16-runner field, though the stable's form is a slight concern.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Among The Pines silks
Among The Pines
Age 5 · 9-10
00-062
53
49
64
5
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 17/2 9/1
Fresh from a second last time out just 11 days ago, he has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 64 ranks him second of 16, so he is a leading threat off an official mark of 53. The risk is the 136 lb he carries, with the three runs before that second all unplaced.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Anightaway silks
Anightaway
Age 5 · 9-10
-08102
53
49
48
5
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 8/1 13/2
Runner-up last time out, just 11 days ago, and a winner three starts back, but he's unplaced in two of the other three and our figures rank him last of 16 on a rating of 48 against an official 53. Carrying 136 lb, he has run over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Deluca Chop silks
Deluca Chop
Age 7 · 9-10
211532
53
55
52
7
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
SP 15/2 8/1
Deluca Chop arrives in sound form, a second last time out and a third two starts back, with two wins in his last six starts and a fresh 17 days since his last run. He has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 136 lb off 53 and ranked 13 of 16 by our rating, he looks to have plenty to do.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Vervain silks
Vervain
Age 4 · 9-10
442549
53
43
55
4
9-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 FCST 11/1
Vervain is winless in her last six, with a ninth last time out following a fourth, a fifth and a second four starts back, though she has run over today's trip and going and is back after 17 days. Carrying 136 lb off an official 53 looks a stiff ask, and our rating of 55 ranks her eleventh of 16.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

8
Zesty Belle silks
Zesty Belle
Age 5 · 9-9
48-060
52
26
53
5
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 33/1 25/1
Zesty Belle is winless in her last five, with an unplaced effort last time out and a sixth two starts back, though she's fresh enough after 11 days and has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 135 lb off 52, she looks a midfield sort, and our rating of 53 ranks her twelfth of sixteen.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
Burlington House silks
Burlington House
Age 5 · 9-4
5767/0
47
26
57
5
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 33/1 25/1
Winless in his last five, Burlington House has finished no better than fifth, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns after 24 days. Our rating of 57 sits well above his official 47, but carrying 130 lb and with a string of seventh and sixth finishes, he looks held.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

10
Queen Of Astolat silks
Queen Of Astolat
Age 3 · 9-4
386073
53
48
56
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 10/1 9/1
Queen Of Astolat comes into this off a third last time out just four days ago, and she has run over today's trip and going before, but she is winless in her last six and a seventh two starts back shows how patchy she's been. Carrying 130 lb off an official mark of 53, she looks a midfield sort, with our rating of 56 ranking her ninth of 16.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Autocrat silks
Autocrat
Age 6 · 9-3
098631
46
53
49
6
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 9/2 9/1
Fresh from a win last time out and a third two starts back, Autocrat is in decent heart after just 11 days, and he has run over today's trip and going. Still, 129 lb is a hefty burden and our figures rank him 15th of 16.
AI verdict

SR 53 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Inver Bay silks
Inver Bay
Age 7 · 9-2
080-
45
40
47
7
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
15/2 12/1 7/1
Inver Bay is hard to fancy, unplaced last time out and an eighth two starts back, so she is winless in her last three, though she has run over today's trip and returns after a 14-day break. Rated 47 by us, she sits near the bottom of the ladder and carries 128 lb off an official 45.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

13
James Henry silks
James Henry
Age 7 · 9-1
300080
44
27
55
7
9-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 25/1 16/1
James Henry has been unplaced in four of his last six, with an eighth two starts back, and his only top-three finish was a third six starts back, so he is yet to win in that spell. Fit enough after 20 days off and rated 55 by us, tenth of 16, he's an official 44 carrying 127 lb.
AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

14
Thegooseiscooked silks
Thegooseiscooked
Age 9 · 9-1
003044
44
30
50
9
9-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1
Thegooseiscooked is winless in her last six, though back-to-back fourths last time out and two starts back show some consistency, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 127 lb and ranked 14th of 16 on our figures, she's hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

15
Duleek Street silks
Duleek Street
Age 8 · 8-12
89/77-
41
29
58
8
8-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 22/1 14/1
Duleek Street has finished seventh, seventh, ninth and eighth in his last four, and returns after 435 days off, with a struggling yard (1/32 in the last 14 days) adding to the doubt. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 58 ranks him sixth of 16 off an official 41.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

16
Piatra Neamt silks
Piatra Neamt
Age 5 · 8-12
-00585
41
23
46
5
8-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
11/1 22/1 9/1
Winless in her last five, Piatra Neamt was fifth last time out, a fifth three starts back and an eighth in between, so she is hard to fancy at 124 lb. She has run over today's trip and going, but our figures rank her among the lowest of the field.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Rio Doce 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 Bet365
0 Calamint 12/1 14/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Paddy Power
0 Walls Cross 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 Bet365
1 Ballaghkeen 4/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 4/1 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 Bet365
2 Royal Belief 5/1 open 5.00 9/2 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 11/2 William Hill
3 Acanto 12/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.00 15/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.00 15/1 William Hill
4 Among The Pines 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
5 Anightaway 7/1 open 9.00 13/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 15/2 Coral
6 Deluca Chop 9/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 8/1 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 Bet365
7 Vervain 14/1 11/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 15/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 15/1 William Hill
8 Zesty Belle 33/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 33/1 Bet365
9 Burlington House 33/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 33/1 Bet365
10 Queen Of Astolat 11/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 10/1 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 11/1 Bet365
11 Autocrat 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 5.50 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 10/1 Coral
12 Inver Bay 15/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 15.00 15/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 15/2 Bet365
13 James Henry 20/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 29.00 16/1 open 29.00 20/1 Bet365
14 Thegooseiscooked 20/1 20/1 open 26.00 22/1 22/1 22/1 20/1 open 23.00 22/1 Coral
15 Duleek Street 16/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 Bet365
16 Piatra Neamt 11/1 open 26.00 9/1 open 23.00 9/1 open 23.00 9/1 open 23.00 10/1 open 23.00 9/1 open 23.00 11/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ballaghkeen

Speculative

Ballaghkeen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 J S Bolger Shane Foley
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Royal Belief

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Cian Collins
✓ Value Signal

Walls Cross

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Timothy Doyle
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
28 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Ballaghkeen
50.8 4/1
2 2. Royal Belief
46.0 5/1
3 11. Autocrat
44.3 9/1
4 5. Anightaway
43.9 7/1
5 12. Inver Bay
40.6 15/2
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Royal Belief
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 10-0
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾 —

SR 56 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-12
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 9-10
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾 —

SR 49 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 7 · 9-2
15/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾 —

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

11
Age 6 · 9-3
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 9-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾 —

SR 49 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-4
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾 —

SR 48 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 5 · 8-12
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 23 🐾 —

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

0
Age 6 · 9-6
12/1
J: TBA
T: Adrian Murray
★★☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾 —

SR 43 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-11
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-10
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾 —

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

15
Age 8 · 8-12
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 29 🐾 —

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

13
Age 7 · 9-1
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 27 🐾 —

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

14
Age 9 · 9-1
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 30 🐾 —

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Royal Belief
Confidence: Speculative

Royal Belief (SR:58, 4/1, 9-12) carries the joint-highest SR in the field and is the only runner with a confirmed GoingFit:+ for soft ground — a decisive edge in a 1m4f handicap on an October Roscommon surface. The MarkMv:-42 indicates a horse running off a mark dramatically lower than its last win, which is the most significant class/mark signal in the race. Colin Keane (16% career strike rate from 2,377 runners) is a top booking and rarely takes rides without confidence. The 173-day absence and a 9% market drift are the two negatives to flag, but the going fitness advantage and the enormous drop in mark over the rest of the field make Royal Belief the likeliest winner. Each-way alternative: Ballaghkeen. Main danger: Ballaghkeen — Ballaghkeen (SR:56, 5/1, 10-0) last ran just 5 days ago finishing 1st, is trained by J S Bolger with Shane Foley booked, and the form figure '1' is the most recent on the card — though the 11% market drift and top-weight burden of 10-0 on soft ground are concerns, a horse in form off a consecutive run could easily overhaul Royal Belief's return from a 173-day absence.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 173-day absence for a trainer (Cian Collins, 9% strike rate) with no strong record returning horses fresh — layoff risk is compounded by a modest yard.
  • 9% market drift out to 4/1 in a field where Autocrat (SR:53, 6/1) and Ballaghkeen (SR:56, 5/1) are trading shorter despite Royal Belief's supposedly decisive going advantage.
  • Form reads 0050-2 — the sole recent placing (2nd) may have come on different ground, and the MarkMv:-42 drop suggests the horse has been running poorly enough to slide dramatically down the weights.
  • Ballaghkeen (SR:56, 5/1, only 5 days since last run) arrives race-sharp versus Royal Belief's 173-day absence at the same trip and likely similar going conditions.
Shortlist Royal Belief, Ballaghkeen, Acanto
Each-way: Ballaghkeen Danger: Ballaghkeen

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m4f46y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
19 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting